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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | March 04, 2025 05:41am |
Brown seems like one of those candidates that look amazing on paper but end up underperforming expectations when they do actually run.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | February 13, 2025 06:22am |
LSjustbloggin: I hope swamp creature McConnell retires at long last.
If he was seeking reelection he wouldn't be actively defying Trump by voting against his more controversial cabinet nominees, i.e. being the only R to vote against Gabbard. Considering this, I think it's pretty obvious he's retiring.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | January 29, 2025 06:12am |
Rs tend to do better in higher turnout environments these days, the lower the turnout the better Dems generally perform.
It used to be the opposite a decade ago.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | December 06, 2024 05:12am |
E Pluribus Unum: Anyone have any info on who those 6 other people voted for?
5 voted for George A. Nelson
1 voted for Thomas Charles O'Brien
[Link]
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 17, 2024 06:30am |
Peltola's not much of an electoral juggernaut when her opposition is united and she's running against only one Republican, color me shocked.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 14, 2024 09:16am |
If this district fails to meet the compactness criteria then it should have been redrawn to be more compact, simple as. There is no reason to follow any of these criteria if you're not going to apply them to ALL of the districts.
The Cali map is also poor with regards to communities of interest. It literally splits Bakersfield in half, following racial lines. That seems problematic to me, but what do I know.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 14, 2024 05:21am |
Trump becomes the first R presidential candidate to receive over a million votes in Maryland since George W. twenty years ago.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 14, 2024 04:52am |
Don't know much about daddy Gaetz but he can't be worse than his son.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 14, 2024 04:49am |
Allegheny is shifting to the left but that's obviously not enough for Ds to win statewide with.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 14, 2024 04:47am |
The suburban trends toward the left are obviously still ongoing but have stagnated this cycle. I was shocked Harris did as poorly in the suburbs as she did, anyone saying Harris was at all good candidate is delusional.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 14, 2024 04:42am |
Campari_007: Kinda feel this one is gerrymandered to hell.
Like half of the California districts are gerrymandered to hell, districts with this sort of shape should be illegal. Compactness above all else.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 14, 2024 04:35am |
Luzerne County Historian: What a weird rule.
Not only weird but archaic and undemocratic, it should be repealed.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 13, 2024 06:19am |
Republicans officially unofficially hold the House according to DDHQ, might be an even smaller GOP majority than last time. Subpar results to say the least.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 13, 2024 06:07am |
Begich is favored to flip this seat as of now, RCV repeal is also still leading by 1 point. Would be great if these results hold.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 13, 2024 05:54am |
This district is too blue for Republicans to win in this day and age.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 12, 2024 06:44am |
Sad! Garcia's winning streak here was amazing while it lasted.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 12, 2024 06:39am |
Campari_007: Man, this is such a slow count here.
Welcome to California.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 11, 2024 10:38am |
The Massachusetts GOP still has a pulse, sort of.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 11, 2024 10:35am |
They rigged the election against her but forgot to rig it against Trump LOL
But on a serious note, if the GOP nominated anyone but Lake here this would be seat #54 in the GOP caucus, no other Republican would underperform Trump by SEVEN like she did. Absolute wasted opportunity.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 11, 2024 05:01am |
Min probably wins this in the end, frustrating for Rs considering his numerous scandals. Baugh is a weak candidate.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 11, 2024 04:59am |
A rare bright spot for Colorado Rs in an increasingly blue state.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 11, 2024 04:57am |
Campari_007: This is the most exciting win for the Dems IMO.
Fair, but everybody with a brain knew Gallego was winning this so not that impressive.
LSjustbloggin: Why would somebody have the balls to vote for Trump but not Lake ?.
Because people hate Trump wannabees and sycophants far more than they hate Trump himself.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 11, 2024 04:55am |
And Casey is refusing to concede several days after obviously losing, what a joke.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 09, 2024 04:40am |
That Shaprio anti-endorsement doomed McClelland to a landslide* loss.
*Relative landslide, it's practically unheard of for PA Rs to win by this much statewide. PA Ds can win landslides with relative ease, see 2022 Gubernatorial race.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 07, 2024 09:11am |
Shocking, the Republican candidate that massively underperformed in 2022 is also massively underperforming in 2024.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 07, 2024 04:22am |
A bit crazy how a random some dude candidate with no name recognition like Deaton cracked 40% in Massachusetts of all places against a well-known quantity like Liz Warren. Makes me think Charlie Baker would have absolutely destroyed her had he chosen to run here.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 02:53pm |
CA Pol Junkie: Harris repeated same stump speech each time, which is the normal thing candidates do to reinforce a simple message for voters.
The problem with that is that her simple message was tone-deaf and not in line with how voters were thinking. We can clearly see that in the results.
And while a lot of Trump's speeches were rambly and hard to listen to, he was clearly speaking from the heart and not reading off a piece of paper his staffers gave him, which resonates with voters at least somewhat.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 02:29pm |
A bit shocked that Casey (probably) went down but Baldwin held on in a (nominally) redder state. Though Trump is also doing better in PA than WI for whatever reason in contrast with the previous two elections.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 02:25pm |
Trump isn't some unbeatable juggernaut, Biden proved that 4 years ago.
Harris lacked charisma and frankly seemed like a bit of an intellectual lightweight and unpresidential with her word salads and constantly repeating the same talking points her staffers told her to repeat. She also tried to pull an Obama and naively billed herself as the "change candidate" when nobody but the most partisan of partisan Dems would have bought that. She also didn't distance herself from Biden at all so that shtick fell even more flat with voters. Had she not been so robotic and had her campaign not been so tone-deaf she would have done better. But maybe regular people didn't care about all that, I don't know.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 02:07pm |
Jason: The polls weren't even that great for Harris in the end, and even a small polling error in Trump's favor would lead to him sweeping the battlegrounds. AtlasIntel and Rasmussen were largely on the money (at least from a cursory glance in the high-profile races).
A lot of Dems online were complaining before the election that GOP-favorable polls were "flooding the zone" and that the polling averages were underestimating Harris because of that.
The "GOP flooded" polling averages ironically overestimated her big time.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 01:58pm |
Also, maybe the D establishment shouldn't have switched Biden out with her like they did considering she flopped hard in the 2020 primaries and had no real appeal to any voters. That obviously translated over into the general election 4 years later.
Hindsight is, of course, 20/20 though.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 01:49pm |
Worst Democratic presidential candidate since Mike Dukakis. Kerry kept it closer in the electoral count & Hillary at least won the popular vote.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 09:40am |
Bacon always had a great chance of winning, polls of congressional districts are notoriously unreliable. He's probably done in 2026 though, but who knows.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 08:35am |
Ralston calls it for Trump after previously saying Harris was gonna carry NV
L.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 06:41am |
Yikes, Molinaro was weaker than I thought.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 06:12am |
Guess the Washington primary wasn't very predictive of how the nation would vote this time around.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 06:10am |
Rodgers is ahead with >95% of the vote counted.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 06:06am |
Nearly the entire Rio Grande Valley is red, Hispanics bolted to Trump. What a disaster for Dems.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 05:28am |
NYT called it for Sheehy. Tester is DONE!
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 05:24am |
BASED!
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 05:20am |
CA Pol Junkie: If by that you mean he might win by 2% this time then I agree. With abortion and marijuana amendments on the ballot the electorate will be as unfriendly to Republicans as it ever gets in Florida. Scott might still be a favorite to win but safe he is not.
Scott won by 13 and both ballot measures failed, FL Dems keep taking massive Ls.
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| W:11230 | Arthur ( 520.61 points) | November 06, 2024 05:15am |
Guess the fake progressive in this race didn't alter the results in any meaningful way. Jones was such a disaster of a candidate he lost a Biden+10 seat by 16!
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