Rs tend to do better in higher turnout environments these days, the lower the turnout the better Dems generally perform. It used to be the opposite a decade ago.

I get this is a special election and Democrats almost always overperform in them, but this is still quite significant. I thought this seat would be an easy Republican hold. Rs tend to do better in higher turnout environments these days, the lower the turnout the better Dems generally perform. It used to be the opposite a decade ago. Turnout appears to have crashed by over half compared to the last election.