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  NY District 19
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > New York > NY - District 19
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline August 24, 2024 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
Turnout 89.64% Registered 57.67% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last Modifiedev December 09, 2024 09:07pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Incumbent (R) in 2020 Biden District
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2022
NameMarcus J. Molinaro Votes146,004 (50.76%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2025 Margin4,495 (+1.56%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/15/2024 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Josh Riley 7 ------
Marcus J. Molinaro 3 ------
Tossup 1 ------
Leaning Call: Josh Riley (63.64%)
Weighted Call: Josh Riley (64.84%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

09/05/2024 10/16/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Josh Riley (I) Rep. Marcus J. Molinaro (W) Write-In  
PartyDemocratic Republican Nonpartisan  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 192,647 (51.05%) 184,290 (48.84%) 406 (0.11%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -8,357 (-2.21%) -192,241 (-50.95%)  
Fusion Votes
D Democratic170,049
WFP Working Families22,598
R Republican164,001
C Conservative20,289
 
Predict Avg.50.50% 49.50% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 6/30 $4,001,183.25 6/30 $2,260,324.75 $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 04/11/2023 01/01/2023 08/24/2024  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg43.83%-- 42.93%-- 0.00%--  
Survey USA 
10/11/24-10/16/24		 46.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% --
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
10/09/24-10/13/24		 48.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% --
RMG Research 
09/05/24-09/12/24		 42.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
WFP BigZuck08
I Elon Musk 🔗
 


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DISCUSSION
 
W:11230Arthur ( 520.6107 points)
Wed, November 6, 2024 12:41:10 PM UTC0:00
Yikes, Molinaro was weaker than I thought.