BASED!

And with this, Sheldon Whitehouse is the last man standing out of those 6 Senate seats the Democrats picked up in 2006 wave.

A bit shocked that Casey (probably) went down but Baldwin held on in a (nominally) redder state. Though Trump is also doing better in PA than WI for whatever reason in contrast with the previous two elections.

Casey will probaly hang on, a vote dump in the Philly area will put him on top. The 130k vote dump at 5am in Milwaukee put Tammy Baldwin over the top in Wisconsin.

I don't know why about 100k Trump voters didn't stick with McCormick. More people voted third party in these Senate elections than the presidential elections and it's a mystery.

Guys......Casey's on track to lose. Wait for it, a favorable Democrat vote dump is coming.

I don't know why about 100k Trump voters didn't stick with McCormick. More people voted third party in these Senate elections than the presidential elections and it's a mystery. McCormick did have base issues, as he came off as more of a neocon type, so there were some MAGAs who probably voted third party or didnt vote down here. Not to mention when he ran back in `22 Trump attacked him, calling him "liberal". Guys......Casey's on track to lose. Wait for it, a favorable Democrat vote dump is coming. If this dump puts Casey over the top, this should be a learning experience for him, and he should take his elections more seriously for now on. Casey didn't really campaign as much, he probably thought that he had little chance of losing. McCormick was gaining momentum towards the end but I had no idea that this momentum might actually be enough to flip the seat.

Dave McCormick (R) 3,338,963 48.9% Bob Casey* (D) 3,307,704 48.5% John Thomas (Oth.) 87,689 1.3% Leila Hazou (Oth.) 64,078 0.9% Marty Selker (Oth.) 23,067 0.3%

AP just called it for McCormick

And with this, Sheldon Whitehouse is the last man standing out of those 6 Senate seats the Democrats picked up in 2006 wave. That's right, bye bye Sherrod Brown, bye bye Jon Tester, Bye Bye Bob Casey. Jim Webb did not seek re-election in 2012 and Claire McCaskill was defeated in 2018.

I think this is the first time a Casey has ever lost reelection in PA. His father lost primaries but never a general election and this was Jr.'s first general defeat in his career.

With Casey gone, John Fetterman becomes senior senator.

The final result won't even be close, expect Casey to win by a knockout margin. I was wrong with my prediction. I believed that Casey was unbeatable because he came from a prominent political family.

Updated results Dave McCormick (R) 3,357,541 49.0% Bob Casey* (D) 3,320,123 48.4% John Thomas (Oth.) 88,045 1.3% Leila Hazou (Oth.) 64,346 0.9% Marty Selker (Oth.) 23,197 0.3% Collapse * Incumbent 98.2% of expected vote in

One of the funniest things I've heard from people who voted for McCormick was that they were surprised he actually won. Most voted him because he was an R but didn't expect him to win.

Updated Results Dave McCormick (R) 3,365,076 49.0% Bob Casey* (D) 3,325,841 48.4% John Thomas (Oth.) 88,223 1.3%

Updated results Dave McCormick (R) 3,368,597 49.0% Bob Casey* (D) 3,327,125 48.4% John Thomas (Oth.) 88,279 1.3% Leila Hazou (Oth.) 64,534 0.9% Marty Selker (Oth.) 23,278 0.3%

Rosen, Baldwin, and Slotkin all won Senate races despite Trump having flipped each. Have to admit that I did not imagine Casey being the exception. I imagine McCormick flew back to his residence in Connecticut promptly after his victory speech Friday. That is the most grating aspect of this. Oh, and the touting of the creation of jobs in Pittsburgh that no longer exist at a company that no longer has a presence. That one got to me too.

Rosen, Baldwin, and Slotkin all won Senate races despite Trump having flipped each. Have to admit that I did not imagine Casey being the exception. I imagine McCormick flew back to his residence in Connecticut promptly after his victory speech Friday. That is the most grating aspect of this. Oh, and the touting of the creation of jobs in Pittsburgh that no longer exist at a company that no longer has a presence. That one got to me too. Don't forget to add Gallego in Arizona, a recent vote dump just gave him a slight boost.

I imagine McCormick flew back to his residence in Connecticut promptly after his victory speech Friday. That is the most grating aspect of this. And I thought I was joking. Guess Dave really couldn't stand to be away any longer after a long and hard-fought campaign so far from home. Flight records show a private plane previously connected to McCormick left Pittsburgh the morning of Nov. 9 bound for Bridgeport https://penncapital-star.com/election-2024/casey-urges-patience-in-vote-counting-for-pa-u-s-senate-race-as-mccormick-returns-to-connecticut/ Back in PA last night after his daughter's soccer match, according to his comms director. But I am sure there will be many more such sojourns for Dave "definitely lives in PA" McCormick.

Democrats are in denial of the result. Several corporate outlets are refusing to call this race.

If Casey has the statutory right to a recount, he should be able to exercise it. But McCormick, much as I dislike him, ought be afforded transitional resources as Senator-elect. I see Schumer's made a show of not inviting McCormick (and Gallego) to orientation. My hope is that the back-end support for setting up an office is not withheld, lest either or both states' representation is hamstrung by a short-changed freshman senator's inability to hit the ground running.

Schumer should just delay the Senate orientation until every senator-elect is a certified winner by their states.

Casey Jr's last election is the one he finally loses. Don't worry, he'll get a better paying job than a U.S Senator. Red to blue seat 2 years ago, Blue to red seat 2 years later. Interesting.

Schumer should just delay the Senate orientation until every senator-elect is a certified winner by their states. The orientation is a formality. It's cocktails and elbow-rubbing for new initiants into the Club. I'm not concerned about orientation. It's optics, a Schumer power play. More concerned about the practical. The resources to set up an office, which McCormick should be availed of right now if he is not already. Don't worry, he'll get a better paying job than a U.S Senator. Yes, Casey will get his recount (that is, if the margin falls within that set out by the applicable statute), will accept the inevitable, and will move on. Everyone else will, even if he doesn't. I have. He'll take his check and be just fine. Red to blue seat 2 years ago, Blue to red seat 2 years later. Interesting. I'd seen that this one is the closest Senate race in PA since James Duff's loss in 1956. I'd have to eye that myself, but I don't doubt it. Toomey's re-election in 2016 was close, but not as close as 2024. That result surprised me as well. A Trump effect on both races. Not far behind was Genevieve Blatt's loss to Hugh Scott in 1964, by about 70,000 votes, in spite of the LBJ landslide.