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  CA District 47
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > CA - District 47
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
Turnout 91.53% Registered 55.28% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH December 13, 2024 04:57pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2022
NameKatie Porter Votes137,374 (51.72%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2025 Margin9,113 (+3.43%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 05, 2024 CA District 47 - Open Primary
Scott R. Baugh
R 88,964D 84,553NPA 5,551
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/06/2024 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Scott R. Baugh 7 ------
Tossup 3 ------
Dave Min 5 ------
Leaning Call: Scott R. Baugh (46.67%)
Weighted Call: Scott R. Baugh (70.72%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

09/14/2024 10/18/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name St. Sen. Dave Min St. Rep. Scott R. Baugh  
PartyDemocratic Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 181,721 (51.44%) 171,554 (48.56%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -10,167 (-2.88%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 6/30 $1,525,656.62 6/30 $2,277,890.75  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date -- --  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg41.30%-- 44.35%--  
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
10/17/24-10/18/24		 40.00% -- 43.00% --
USC Dornsife/LA Times 
09/14/24-09/21/24		 42.50% -- 46.20% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
NDP BigZuck08
  Red to Blue
D NCdem
R Maryland Republican93
W Arthur
 


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DISCUSSION
 
W:11230Arthur ( 520.6107 points)
Mon, November 11, 2024 11:01:50 AM UTC0:00
Min probably wins this in the end, frustrating for Rs considering his numerous scandals. Baugh is a weak candidate.
 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 5444.7002 points)
Wed, November 13, 2024 02:52:51 AM UTC0:00
Min took 58% of the vote in today's chunk - at that rate he will win by 16,904 votes.