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  IA US President - R Caucus
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Iowa > President
Parent RaceUS President - R Primaries
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 15, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open January 15, 2024 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Close January 15, 2024 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedNCdem April 13, 2024 01:36pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
40 delegates at stake, awarded proportionally
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameDonald J. Trump Votes897,672 (53.09%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin138,611 (+8.20%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/05/2024
NameDonald J. Trump Votes927,019 (55.73%)
Term01/20/2025 - 01/20/2029 Margin219,741 (+13.21%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceIA US President 11/05/2024
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/15/2023 01/15/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Donald J. Trump 1 --1 12
Leaning Call: Donald J. Trump (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Donald J. Trump (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/11/2022 01/12/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name President Donald J. Trump Gov. Ron DeSantis UN Ambassador Nikki Haley Vivek Ramaswamy Ryan L. Binkley Gov. Asa Hutchinson Others
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 56,243 (51.00%) 23,491 (21.30%) 21,027 (19.07%) 8,430 (7.65%) 768 (0.70%) 188 (0.17%) 90 (0.08%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -32,752 (-29.70%) -35,216 (-31.94%) -47,813 (-43.36%) -55,475 (-50.31%) -56,055 (-50.83%) -56,153 (-50.92%)
Predict Avg.54.00% 18.70% 16.60% 6.60% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 00/00/2022 00/00/2023 00/00/2023 00/00/2023 00/00/2023 00/00/2023 01/15/2024
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (21 from 13 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg52.60%-- 14.50%-- 18.67%-- 7.73%-- 1.00%-- 0.98%-- 0.00%--
Selzer & Co. 
01/07/24-01/12/24		 48.00% -- 16.00% -- 20.00% -- 8.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
12/01/23-01/07/24		 58.00% -- 14.00% -- 15.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
01/05/24-01/06/24		 54.00% -- 13.00% -- 22.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
12/15/23-12/17/23		 50.00% -- 15.00% -- 17.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arc Insights 
11/09/23-11/14/23		 44.00% -- 17.00% -- 17.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
10/22/23-10/26/23		 43.00% -- 16.00% -- 16.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
09/28/23-09/30/23		 51.10% 6.1 13.60% 29.4 5.70% -- 8.70% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/15/23-09/24/23		 51.00% -- 21.00% -- 8.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Fox Business 
09/14/23-09/18/23		 46.00% -- 15.00% 1.0 11.00% 6.0 7.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Emerson College 
09/07/23-09/09/23		 49.00% 13.0 14.00% 6.0 7.00% 2.0 7.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 
08/24/23-08/24/23		 41.00% 1.0 21.00% 7.0 11.00% 8.0 7.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 1.00% 0.5 0.00% --
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 
08/23/23-08/23/23		 42.00% -- 14.00% -- 3.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% --
Fox Business 
07/15/23-07/19/23		 46.00% -- 16.00% -- 5.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
co/efficient 
07/15/23-07/17/23		 46.00% -- 16.00% -- 3.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
National Research Inc. (R) 
07/05/23-07/06/23		 42.00% 3.0 21.00% 3.0 2.00% 2.0 3.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
06/10/23-06/12/23		 51.00% -- 19.00% -- 4.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
National Research Inc. (R) 
06/05/23-06/07/23		 39.00% -- 24.00% -- 4.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Victory Insights 
06/03/23-06/06/23		 44.00% -- 21.00% -- 5.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
05/30/23-06/01/23		 45.00% 8.0 43.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
05/19/23-05/22/23		 62.00% -- 20.00% -- 5.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
11/11/22-11/13/22		 37.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Ashley Hinson 🔗
R Bruce Rastetter 🔗
R David Pautsch 🔗
R Brenna Bird 🔗
R Kitty Rehberg 🔗
R Jeffrey Reichman 🔗
R Jeremy Davis 🔗
R David Kerr 🔗
R Mike Sexton 🔗
R Shannon Lundgren 🔗
R Tim Kraayenbrink 🔗
R Brooke Boden 🔗
R Stan Gustafson 🔗
R Julian B. Garrett 🔗
R Cherielynn Westrich 🔗
R Jon A. Jacobsen 🔗
R Brad Zaun 🔗
R K. Lynn Evans 🔗
R Steve King 🔗
R Cindy Golding 🔗
R Brad Sherman 🔗
R Heather Hora 🔗
R Derek Wulf 🔗
R Steven P. Bradley 🔗
R Mike Cisneros 🔗
R Anne Osmundson 🔗
R Craig Johnson 🔗
R Charlie McClintock 🔗
R Rod Blum 🔗
R Matt Whitaker 🔗
R Matt Whitaker 🔗
R Bobby Kaufmann 🔗
R Steven Holt 🔗
R Barb Kniff McCulla 🔗
R Bob Vander Plaats 🔗
R Greg Ganske 🔗
R Thomas Jeneary 🔗
R Kim Reynolds 🔗
R Ross C. Paustian 🔗
R Thomas R. Sands 🔗
R Guy Vander Linden 🔗
R Tim Goodwin 🔗
R Mark Chelgren 🔗
R Joshua Meggers 🔗
R Jack Whitver 🔗
R Jeffrey Reichman 🔗
R Scott Webster 🔗
R Gary D. Leffler 🔗
R Hans C. Wilz 🔗
R Mike Vondran 🔗
R Taylor R. Collins 🔗
R Dan Gehlbach 🔗
R Tom Determann 🔗
R Bill Gustoff 🔗
R Devon Wood 🔗
R Robert Henderson 🔗
R Ken E. Carlson 🔗
R Carter Nordman 🔗
R Phil Thompson 🔗
R Ann Meyer 🔗
R David Sieck 🔗
R Norlin Mommsen 🔗
R Skyler Wheeler 🔗
R Tom Moore 🔗
R Brian Best 🔗
R Dean C. Fisher 🔗
R Michael T. Klimesh 🔗
R Dave Deyoe 🔗
R Tom Shipley 🔗
R David "Dave" Rowley 🔗
R Dan Zumbach 🔗
R Dennis Guth 🔗
R Ken Rozenboom 🔗
R Mark Costello 🔗
R Jesse Green 🔗
R Adrian Jeremy Dickey 🔗
R Jon Dunwell 🔗
R John H. Wills 🔗
R Henry Stone 🔗
R Brent Siegrist 🔗
R Waylon Brown 🔗
R Matt Windschitl 🔗
R Amy Sinclair 🔗
R DeShawn Bird-Sell 🔗
R Megan Jones 🔗
R Steve Sukup 🔗
R Mary Ann Hanusa 🔗
R Maggie Tinsman 🔗
R Libby Jacobs 🔗
R Christine Hensley 🔗
R Scott Raecker 🔗
R George S. Eichhorn 🔗
R Dan Clute 🔗
R Kevin Koester 🔗
R Doug Gross 🔗
R Bob Brunkhorst 🔗
R Carmine Boal 🔗
R David A. Oman 🔗
R Jane Bloomingdale 🔗
R Brian K. Lohse 🔗
R Jacob Bossman 🔗
R Shannon Latham 🔗
R Dawn Roberts 🔗
R Chris Cournoyer 🔗
R Austin Harris 🔗
R Sandy Salmon 🔗
R Jeff Shipley 🔗
R Steven Holt 🔗
R Steve King 🔗
R Eddie Andrews 🔗
R Roby Smith 🔗
R Rocky De Witt 🔗
R Matt Schultz 🔗
R Jake Chapman 🔗
R Scott Webster 🔗
  Storm Lake Times (Iowa)
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Gov. Chris Christie  
PartyRepublican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 35 (0.03%)  
Margin-56,208 (-50.97%)  
Predict Avg.3.80%  
Cash On Hand $--  
Website [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 00/00/2023  
MATCHUP POLLS (21 from 13 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg3.97%--  
Selzer & Co. 
01/07/24-01/12/24		 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
12/01/23-01/07/24		 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
01/05/24-01/06/24		 0.00% --
Emerson College 
12/15/23-12/17/23		 4.00% --
Arc Insights 
11/09/23-11/14/23		 3.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
10/22/23-10/26/23		 4.00% --
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
09/28/23-09/30/23		 3.80% --
YouGov 
09/15/23-09/24/23		 1.00% --
Fox Business 
09/14/23-09/18/23		 3.00% --
Emerson College 
09/07/23-09/09/23		 2.00% --
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 
08/24/23-08/24/23		 1.00% 2.0
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 
08/23/23-08/23/23		 3.00% --
Fox Business 
07/15/23-07/19/23		 0.00% --
co/efficient 
07/15/23-07/17/23		 0.00% --
National Research Inc. (R) 
07/05/23-07/06/23		 0.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
06/10/23-06/12/23		 0.00% --
National Research Inc. (R) 
06/05/23-06/07/23		 0.00% --
Victory Insights 
06/03/23-06/06/23		 0.00% --
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
05/30/23-06/01/23		 0.00% --
Emerson College 
05/19/23-05/22/23		 0.00% --
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
11/11/22-11/13/22		 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Chris Sununu (R)
 00, 2023 - Jun 05, 2023 		Doug Burgum (R)
 00, 2023 -  00, 2023 		Larry A. Elder (R)
 00, 2023 -  00, 2023 		Will Hurd (R)
 00, 2023 -  00, 2023 		Perry Johnson (R)
 00, 2023 -  00, 2023 		Mike Pence (R)
 00, 2023 -  00, 2023 		Tim Scott (R)
 00, 2023 -  00, 2023

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