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  US President - R Primaries
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open January 15, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Close June 04, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedRP September 02, 2024 08:49pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJoe Biden Votes81,285,571 (51.31%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin7,060,533 (+4.46%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/05/2024
NameDonald J. Trump Votes77,302,580 (49.80%)
Term01/20/2025 - 01/20/2029 Margin2,284,967 (+1.47%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Popular Vote 11/05/2024
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/08/2020 06/04/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Lawrence J. Hogan, Jr. 1 ------
Ron DeSantis 2 ------
Nikki Haley 2 ------
Donald J. Trump 2 --2 13
Leaning Call: Donald J. Trump (92.31%)
Weighted Call: Donald J. Trump (99.20%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

08/04/2020 12/18/2023

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name President Donald J. Trump UN Ambassador Nikki Haley Gov. Ron DeSantis Uncommitted Gov. Chris Christie Vivek Ramaswamy (W) Write-In
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.00% in) 17,046,509 (76.07%) 4,440,730 (19.82%) 354,282 (1.58%) 206,871 (0.92%) 139,916 (0.62%) 94,375 (0.42%) 49,382 (0.22%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -12,605,779 (-56.25%) -16,692,227 (-74.49%) -16,839,638 (-75.15%) -16,906,593 (-75.45%) -16,952,134 (-75.65%) -16,997,127 (-75.85%)
Estimated Final62,984,825 (4.55%) 4,485,137 (0.32%) 357,824 (0.03%) 62,984,825 (4.55%) 141,315 (0.01%) 95,318 (0.01%) 62,984,825 (4.55%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 11/15/2022 02/14/2023
Dropped Out
03/06/2024 		05/24/2023
Dropped Out
01/21/2024 		01/01/1854 06/06/2023
Dropped Out
01/10/2024 		02/21/2023
Dropped Out
01/15/2024 		01/01/2024
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (100 from 37 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg63.05%-- 11.43%-- 14.02%-- 0.00%-- 2.55%-- 3.99%-- 0.00%--
Quinnipiac University 
12/14/23-12/18/23		 67.00% 3.0 11.00% 3.0 11.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 3.00% -- 4.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
11/30/23-12/04/23		 58.00% 3.0 12.00% 5.0 18.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/26/23-10/30/23		 64.00% 2.0 8.00% 3.0 15.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 3.00% 1.0 3.00% 3.0 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
10/17/23-10/20/23		 58.00% 15.2 11.00% 8.3 12.00% 22.1 0.00% -- 1.00% 0.4 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
09/28/23-09/28/23		 63.00% 5.0 5.00% 2.0 12.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 3.00% 1.0 7.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
09/22/23-09/24/23		 58.00% 1.0 7.00% 1.0 15.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 9.00% 1.0 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Earl W. Jackson 🔗
R Francis Suarez 🔗
R Ryan L. Binkley 🔗
R Steve Mnuchin 🔗
R Wilbur L. Ross, Jr. 🔗
R Ron DeSantis 🔗
R Tim Scott 🔗
CON Boris Johnson 🔗
R Vivek Ramaswamy 🔗
R David Bossie 🔗
R Doug Burgum 🔗
W 🚫Arthur
CU 🚫Shady Hosam Morsi
R Ben Carson 🔗
R Larry A. Elder 🔗
R Kristi Noem 🔗
R Gary Palmer 🔗
R Mike D. Rogers 🔗
R Robert Aderholt 🔗
R Jerry Carl 🔗
R Robert O'Brien 🔗
R Andrew Clyde 🔗
R M.A. "Mike" Collins 🔗
R Daniel Bongino 🔗
R Andy Ogles 🔗
R Josh Brecheen 🔗
R Steve Daines 🔗
R Lee M. Zeldin 🔗
R Diana Harshbarger 🔗
R Bill Hagerty 🔗
R John Rose 🔗
R Ted Budd 🔗
R Cory Mills 🔗
R Byron Donalds 🔗
R Mike Bost 🔗
R Cindy Hyde-Smith 🔗
R Mike Huckabee 🔗
R 🚫Kyle
R Matt Gaetz 🔗
R Marjorie Taylor Greene 🔗
R Markwayne Mullin 🔗
R 🚫Paul Ryan 🔗
R Eric Schmitt 🔗
R JD Vance 🔗
R Barry Moore 🔗
R Dale Strong 🔗
R Clay Higgins 🔗
R Sid Miller 🔗
R Tommy Tuberville 🔗
R Mike Carey 🔗
R Ken Paxton 🔗
R Troy E. Nehls 🔗
R Mary Miller 🔗
R Max Miller 🔗
R Ronny Jackson 🔗
R Elise Stefanik 🔗
R Bensq1
I Mark Cuban 🔗
  Americans for Prosperity (Koch Brothers)
R 🚫Rand Paul 🔗
R Kyle
For Luzerne County Historian
R Will Hurd 🔗
R CincinnatiReds1990
R Ralph W. Norman 🔗
D Tristy100
R Jim Bridenstine 🔗
R Tom McClintock 🔗
R Maryland Republican93
R Rich McCormick 🔗
R Robert G. "Bob" Good 🔗
R Laurel Lee 🔗
R Thomas Massie 🔗
R Ken Cuccinelli 🔗
R Lou Barletta 🔗
R Chip Roy 🔗
R Jeb Bush 🔗
R Donald R. Tapia 🔗
GP Didp1234
I ThatAlabamaGuy
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
R O. J. Simpson 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Ryan L. Binkley Gov. Asa Hutchinson David Stuckenberg Rachel Swift Perry Johnson Vice President Mike Pence Sen. Tim Scott
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.00% in) 26,904 (0.12%) 20,960 (0.09%) 11,056 (0.05%) 7,038 (0.03%) 3,928 (0.02%) 3,495 (0.02%) 2,675 (0.01%)
Margin-17,019,605 (-75.95%) -17,025,549 (-75.98%) -17,035,453 (-76.02%) -17,039,471 (-76.04%) -17,042,581 (-76.05%) -17,043,014 (-76.06%) -17,043,834 (-76.06%)
Estimated Final27,173 (0.00%) 21,169 (0.00%) 62,984,825 (4.55%) 62,984,825 (4.55%) 3,967 (0.00%) 3,529 (0.00%) 2,701 (0.00%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 04/23/2023
Dropped Out
02/27/2024 		04/02/2023
Dropped Out
01/16/2024 		01/01/2024 01/01/2024 Speculative
Dropped Out
10/20/2023 		06/05/2023
Dropped Out
10/28/2023 		05/22/2023
Dropped Out
11/12/2023
MATCHUP POLLS (100 from 37 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.22%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.10%-- 3.43%-- 3.01%--
Quinnipiac University 
12/14/23-12/18/23		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 3.0
Monmouth University 
11/30/23-12/04/23		 0.00% -- 0.50% 0.5 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 3.0 0.00% 5.0
Quinnipiac University 
10/26/23-10/30/23		 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 5.0 3.00% --
Suffolk University 
10/17/23-10/20/23		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% 6.0 3.00% --
Morning Consult 
09/28/23-09/28/23		 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 5.00% 1.0 2.00% --
Morning Consult 
09/22/23-09/24/23		 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 6.00% 1.0 2.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
GP Didp1234
R Dan Coats 🔗
R Larry D. Bucshon 🔗
R Karen Pence 🔗
R Peter T. King 🔗
R Larry Kudlow 🔗
R Jeb Hensarling 🔗
R Greg Pence 🔗
R John Thune 🔗
R Michael "Mike" Rounds 🔗
VIEW 18 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Earl W. Jackson (R)
Jan 23, 2024 		Greg Abbott (R)
Nov 19, 2023 		Hirsh Singh (R)
Jul 27, 2023 - Oct 31, 2023 		Larry A. Elder (R)
Apr 20, 2023 - Oct 26, 2023 		Corey Stapleton (R)
Nov 12, 2022 - Oct 13, 2023 		Will Hurd (R)
Jun 22, 2023 - Oct 09, 2023 		Stephen Laffey (R)
Feb 02, 2023 - Oct 06, 2023 		Michael J. "Mike" Rogers (R)
Sep 06, 2023
Francis Suarez (R)
Jun 14, 2023 - Aug 29, 2023 		Brian Kemp (R)
Jul 17, 2023 		Kristi Noem (R)
Jun 28, 2023 		Rick Scott (R)
Jun 22, 2023 		Chris Sununu (R)
Jun 05, 2023 		Daniel Bongino (R)
May 11, 2023 		Glenn Youngkin (R)
Apr 15, 2023 		Mike Pompeo (R)
Apr 14, 2023
Lawrence J. Hogan, Jr. (R)
Mar 05, 2023 		Rand Paul (R)
Feb 26, 2023 		Marco A. Rubio (R)
Feb 26, 2023 		Joe Manchin (R)
Feb 22, 2023 		Ted Cruz (R)
Feb 14, 2023 		Marsha Blackburn (R)
Jan 13, 2023 		Adam Kinzinger (R)
Jan 01, 2023 		Josh Hawley (R)
Dec 08, 2022
Matt Gaetz (R)
Nov 15, 2022 		Marjorie Taylor Greene (R)
Nov 15, 2022 		Ivana Marie "Ivanka" Trump (R)
Nov 15, 2022 		Eric Trump (R)
Nov 15, 2022 		Donald Trump, Jr. (R)
Nov 15, 2022 		Tom Cotton (R)
Nov 06, 2022 		Mitt Romney (R)
Apr 28, 2022 		Paul Ryan (R)
Aug 31, 2021
Daniel Crenshaw (R)
Mar 04, 2021 		Joni Ernst (R)
Feb 18, 2021 		Tucker Carlson (R)
Jul 15, 2019 		Dan Patrick (R)
Jan 11, 2019 		Scott Walker (R)
Oct 28, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Aug 23, 2023 08:00pm Aug 23, 2023 10:00pm Debate Republican US Presidential Primary First Debate  RP 
Sep 27, 2023 08:00pm Sep 27, 2023 10:00pm Debate Republican US Presidential Primary Second Debate   RP 
Nov 08, 2023 09:00pm Nov 08, 2023 11:00pm Debate Republican US Presidential Primary Third Debate   RP 
Dec 06, 2023 07:00pm Dec 06, 2023 09:00pm Debate Republican US Presidential Primary Fourth Debate   RP 
Jan 10, 2024 07:00pm Jan 10, 2024 09:00pm Debate Republican US Presidential Primary Fifth Debate   RP 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/01/2023 Donald J. Trump TVAd Attack eng Trump's new ad  00:01:00 RP 
06/05/2023 Doug Burgum Web Only Ad Biography eng Announcement Preview: Change  00:03:30 BrentinCO 

BOOKS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jul 12, 2024 07:00pm News Mike Pence's 2024 campaign for the Republican presidential nomination  Not Available Chronicler 
Oct 06, 2023 11:00am Poll New ranked choice poll examines the Republican presidential field after second debate  Article RP 
Sep 19, 2023 10:00am News Fort Collins [CO] Republican Steve Laffey eyes breakthrough in longshot White House bid  Article BrentinCO 
Aug 06, 2023 07:15am Statement Vivek Ramaswamy calls Juneteenth 'useless' 2 months after posting a video celebrating it  Article RP 
Jul 26, 2023 11:00am News DeSantis lets go of more than a third of campaign staff as reset continues  Article WA Indy 
Jun 19, 2023 11:00am News The GOP field discovers there are only side acts in the Trump show  Article WA Indy 

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