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  CAN House of Commons - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Canada > House of Commons > Popular Vote
OfficeParliament
HonorificMember of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open October 14, 2008 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close October 14, 2008 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start October 15, 2008 - 12:00pm
Term End October 15, 2013 - 12:00pm
ContributorMonsieur
Last ModifiedScott³ August 23, 2011 11:58am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/09/2006 10/14/2008
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Conservative Party 9 4 ----
Liberal Party 1 ------
Leaning Call: Conservative Party (94.44%)
Weighted Call: Conservative Party (99.98%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/04/2005 10/12/2008

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Conservative Party Liberal Party New Democratic Party Bloc Québécois Green Party Independent Christian Heritage Party
PartyConservative Liberal New Democratic Bloc Québécois Green Independent Christian Heritage
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 5,209,069 (37.65%) 3,633,185 (26.26%) 2,515,288 (18.18%) 1,379,991 (9.98%) 937,613 (6.78%) 94,844 (0.69%) 26,475 (0.19%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,575,884 (-11.39%) -2,693,781 (-19.47%) -3,829,078 (-27.68%) -4,271,456 (-30.88%) -5,114,225 (-36.97%) -5,182,594 (-37.46%)
Predict Avg.35.00% 31.00% 10.00% 5.00% 8.50% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 09/07/2008 09/07/2008 09/07/2008 09/07/2008 09/07/2008 -- --
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (60 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg36.69%-- 26.22%-- 18.98%-- 9.72%-- 7.58%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Nanos Research 
10/12/08-10/12/08
34.00% 1.0 27.00% -- 21.00% 1.0 10.00% -- 8.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
10/09/08-10/12/08
34.00% 1.0 25.00% 1.0 19.00% 1.0 11.00% 1.0 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
10/11/08-10/11/08
33.00% 1.0 27.00% 2.0 22.00% 2.0 10.00% 1.0 9.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
10/10/08-10/11/08
33.00% 2.0 28.00% 3.0 18.00% 1.0 10.00% -- 11.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
10/08/08-10/11/08
35.00% 3.0 26.00% 1.0 18.00% 3.0 10.00% 2.0 9.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
10/05/08-10/05/08
34.00% 1.0 29.00% 1.0 20.00% 1.0 11.00% 1.0 6.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
10/02/08-10/05/08
32.00% 4.0 25.00% 1.0 21.00% 2.0 8.00% -- 12.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
10/02/08-10/02/08
35.00% 1.0 28.00% 1.0 19.00% -- 10.00% 1.0 8.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
09/25/08-09/28/08
36.00% -- 26.00% 1.0 19.00% -- 8.00% 1.0 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/27/08-09/27/08
36.00% 3.0 27.00% 2.0 19.00% -- 9.00% 1.0 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
09/24/08-09/27/08
36.00% 2.0 25.00% 2.0 19.00% -- 9.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/26/08-09/26/08
39.00% -- 25.00% 1.0 19.00% -- 8.00% 1.0 9.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
09/23/08-09/26/08
38.00% 1.0 23.00% 1.0 19.00% 2.0 9.00% 1.0 9.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/25/08-09/25/08
39.00% 1.0 24.00% 3.0 19.00% 2.0 9.00% 1.0 8.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/22/08-09/22/08
38.00% 2.0 27.00% 4.0 21.00% 1.0 8.00% 1.0 6.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
09/19/08-09/22/08
37.00% 1.0 24.00% 3.0 17.00% 1.0 8.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/20/08-09/20/08
36.00% 3.0 31.00% 1.0 20.00% 2.0 7.00% -- 7.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
09/17/08-09/18/08
38.00% 1.0 24.00% 1.0 19.00% 1.0 9.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/17/08-09/17/08
39.00% 1.0 30.00% 1.0 18.00% 1.0 7.00% -- 6.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/16/08-09/16/08
38.00% -- 31.00% -- 17.00% -- 7.00% 1.0 7.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
09/13/08-09/16/08
36.00% 4.0 27.00% 6.0 16.00% 1.0 8.00% 2.0 11.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/15/08-09/15/08
38.00% 1.0 31.00% -- 17.00% 1.0 8.00% 2.0 6.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/14/08-09/14/08
37.00% 1.0 31.00% 1.0 18.00% 1.0 6.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/13/08-09/13/08
38.00% -- 30.00% -- 17.00% -- 6.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
09/10/08-09/12/08
39.00% -- 23.00% -- 18.00% -- 9.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
08/07/08-08/10/08
32.00% 2.0 33.00% 2.0 15.00% 1.0 6.00% 4.0 13.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
06/26/08-06/29/08
30.00% -- 31.00% 1.0 16.00% 1.0 10.00% -- 12.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
12/13/07-12/16/07
30.00% -- 32.00% -- 15.00% -- 0.00% -- 12.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
07/12/07-07/15/07
31.00% 3.0 31.00% -- 17.00% 1.0 10.00% -- 10.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
05/14/07-05/17/07
34.00% 5.0 31.00% -- 16.00% 3.0 10.00% 2.0 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SES Research 
04/26/07-05/01/07
32.00% 2.0 33.00% 1.0 17.00% 1.0 9.00% 4.0 10.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
04/26/07-04/29/07
30.00% 5.0 31.00% -- 15.00% 2.0 8.00% -- 13.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos-Reid 
04/24/07-04/26/07
38.00% 4.0 31.00% 5.0 14.00% 1.0 8.00% 2.0 8.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
03/20/07-03/28/07
39.00% -- 22.00% -- 17.00% -- 10.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
03/22/07-03/25/07
35.00% -- 31.00% 2.0 13.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 10.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
03/20/07-03/21/07
39.00% 3.0 31.00% -- 13.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 9.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
03/10/07-03/13/07
36.00% 2.0 31.00% 2.0 15.00% 1.0 9.00% 2.0 10.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
03/01/07-03/04/07
35.00% 3.0 29.00% 6.0 15.00% 3.0 7.00% 4.0 11.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
02/15/07-02/18/07
34.00% 3.0 29.00% 6.0 14.00% 1.0 11.00% -- 12.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
01/11/07-01/14/07
31.00% -- 35.00% 2.0 15.00% 1.0 11.00% -- 8.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos-Reid 
12/12/06-12/14/06
34.00% 2.0 36.00% 2.0 13.00% -- 10.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
12/07/06-12/11/06
32.00% 1.0 35.00% -- 12.00% -- 11.00% -- 7.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos-Reid 
12/05/06-12/07/06
32.00% -- 38.00% -- 13.00% -- 11.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ekos Research Associates 
12/05/06-12/06/06
33.50% -- 40.10% -- 10.20% -- 8.60% -- 7.60% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
12/03/06-12/03/06
31.00% 1.0 37.00% 5.0 14.00% 3.0 11.00% -- 7.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
11/30/06-12/03/06
31.00% -- 35.00% 2.0 12.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
11/09/06-11/13/06
31.00% 1.0 33.00% 2.0 15.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SES Research 
11/05/06-11/09/06
34.00% 1.0 32.00% 2.0 16.00% 2.0 13.00% 4.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
10/12/06-10/15/06
32.00% 3.0 32.00% 1.0 17.00% 1.0 11.00% 1.0 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
07/27/06-07/31/06
32.00% 3.0 31.00% 6.0 16.00% 8.0 0.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos-Reid 
05/16/06-05/18/06
43.00% 4.0 25.00% 2.0 15.00% 5.0 9.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
05/03/06-05/04/06
35.00% -- 31.00% -- 16.00% -- 10.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
04/20/06-04/23/06
41.00% 2.0 26.00% 2.0 19.00% -- 0.00% 11.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Environics 
03/09/06-03/31/06
41.00% -- 22.00% -- 21.00% -- 10.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
03/22/06-03/25/06
39.00% 2.0 28.00% -- 19.00% -- 11.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
03/09/06-03/13/06
37.00% -- 28.00% -- 19.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
02/16/06-02/19/06
39.00% -- 28.00% -- 19.00% -- 9.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos-Reid 
02/14/06-02/16/06
39.00% -- 27.00% -- 20.00% -- 8.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
02/09/06-02/13/06
35.00% -- 25.00% -- 24.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SES Research 
02/04/05-02/09/06
33.00% -- 34.00% -- 18.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Marxist-Leninist Party Libertarian Party Progressive Canadian Party Communist Party Canadian Action Party Marijuana Party neorhino.ca
PartyMarxist-Leninist Libertarian Progressive Canadian Communist Canadian Action Marijuana Neorhino.ca
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 8,565 (0.06%) 7,300 (0.05%) 5,860 (0.04%) 3,572 (0.03%) 3,455 (0.03%) 2,298 (0.02%) 2,122 (0.02%)
Margin-5,200,504 (-37.59%) -5,201,769 (-37.60%) -5,203,209 (-37.61%) -5,205,497 (-37.63%) -5,205,614 (-37.63%) -5,206,771 (-37.64%) -5,206,947 (-37.64%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website]
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- -- --
MATCHUP POLLS (60 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Nanos Research 
10/12/08-10/12/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
10/09/08-10/12/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
10/11/08-10/11/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
10/10/08-10/11/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
10/08/08-10/11/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
10/05/08-10/05/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
10/02/08-10/05/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
10/02/08-10/02/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
09/25/08-09/28/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/27/08-09/27/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
09/24/08-09/27/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/26/08-09/26/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
09/23/08-09/26/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/25/08-09/25/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/22/08-09/22/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
09/19/08-09/22/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/20/08-09/20/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
09/17/08-09/18/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/17/08-09/17/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/16/08-09/16/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
09/13/08-09/16/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/15/08-09/15/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/14/08-09/14/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nanos Research 
09/13/08-09/13/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
09/10/08-09/12/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
08/07/08-08/10/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
06/26/08-06/29/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris/Decima 
12/13/07-12/16/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
07/12/07-07/15/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
05/14/07-05/17/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SES Research 
04/26/07-05/01/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
04/26/07-04/29/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos-Reid 
04/24/07-04/26/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
03/20/07-03/28/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
03/22/07-03/25/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
03/20/07-03/21/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
03/10/07-03/13/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
03/01/07-03/04/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
02/15/07-02/18/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
01/11/07-01/14/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos-Reid 
12/12/06-12/14/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
12/07/06-12/11/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos-Reid 
12/05/06-12/07/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ekos Research Associates 
12/05/06-12/06/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
12/03/06-12/03/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
11/30/06-12/03/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
11/09/06-11/13/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SES Research 
11/05/06-11/09/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
10/12/06-10/15/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
07/27/06-07/31/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos-Reid 
05/16/06-05/18/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
05/03/06-05/04/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
04/20/06-04/23/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Environics 
03/09/06-03/31/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
03/22/06-03/25/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
03/09/06-03/13/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Counsel 
02/16/06-02/19/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos-Reid 
02/14/06-02/16/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Decima 
02/09/06-02/13/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SES Research 
02/04/05-02/09/06
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 6 MORE CANDIDATES


EVENTS
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Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 16, 2008 06:00am Editorial Back to the table  Article Craverguy 
Oct 15, 2008 10:30pm Op-Ed by Candidate 21st-century Canada, home of 19th-century democracy  Article Craverguy 
Oct 13, 2008 01:00pm Poll Conservatives poised for another minority government  Article Monsieur 
Oct 13, 2008 11:50am Endorsement Vote Liberal or Green, Nader urges Canada  Article Craverguy 
Oct 12, 2008 10:00pm Poll Liberals, Tories stumbling to finish line  Article Monsieur 
Oct 08, 2008 04:00pm Election Guide Liberals inch closer to Tories, poll suggests  Article Monsieur 

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