Poll Average Details- CAN House of Commons - Popular Vote - 2008-10-14 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Conservative Party	Liberal Party	New Democratic Party	Bloc Québécois	Green Party	Communist Party	Christian Heritage Party	Progressive Canadian Party	Marxist-Leninist Party	Marijuana Party	Canadian Action Party	Libertarian Party	First Peoples National Party	Western Block	Animal Alliance Environment Voters	Independent	neorhino.ca	Newfoundland and Labrador First	People's Political Power	Work Less Party
Harris/Decima	10/12	X 1.00000		34.0000 - -2.9594 bias	25.0000 - 0.2145 bias	19.0000 - -0.7088 bias	11.0000 - 1.2493 bias	9.0000 - 2.2424 bias
Nanos Research	10/12	X 1.00000		34.0000 - -1.4259 bias	27.0000 - 0.0404 bias	21.0000 - 1.4413 bias	10.0000 - -0.3086 bias	8.0000 - 0.7857 bias
Strategic Counsel	10/11	X 0.98333		33.0000 - -1.9518 bias	28.0000 - -1.2447 bias	18.0000 - -1.0545 bias	10.0000 - 0.2748 bias	11.0000 - 2.9469 bias
Angus Reid	9/18	X 0.60000		38.0000 - -3.1788 bias	24.0000 - 1.6021 bias	19.0000 - 2.3125 bias	9.0000 - 0.3465 bias	10.0000 - 1.2338 bias
TOTAL				36.687028	26.216129	18.981467	9.715678	7.576884	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000