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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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Pennsylvanian
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USER DETAILS |
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| Screen Name | Pennsylvanian |
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| Name | |
| Location | , , |
| Email | |
| Birthday | May 10, 0000 |
| Affiliation | Independent |
| First Login | May 03, 2012 06:36pm |
| Last Login | January 22, 2025 07:23pm |
| Predictions |
Points: 404.5480
Predictions: 305/335 (91.04%)
Points Per: 404.5480/335 (1.21)
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| Messages Posted |
297
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| DISCUSSION |
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What possessed me to watch the rally at Capital One Arena on Monday evening, I don't know - perhaps a morbid fascination.
If there's one thing this guy is good at, it's turning the Presidency into a spectator sport, and this was the most tangible manifestation. Trump actually throwing pens into a raving crowd as people trampled each other to grab at them. 33% campaign rally, 33% ceremony, 33% WWE Monday Night RAW. 100% most Trump thing I ever did see.
I honest-to-heaven thought he was gonna whip out the t-shirt cannon.
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Candidate
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BrentinCO: A great man who walked confidently into peace. He lived as a man of great faith everyday and served as an example to others.
Home with the Lord.
Well put. RIP President Carter.
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I have to be honest. At first, I thought the headline itself was from The Onion. This is better.
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News
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Maryland Republican93: A 30,000 vote margin heading to a recount? Sure weird things have happened, but realistically this isn’t changing. The Minnesota 2008 Senate race or the Virginia 2013 AG race changed a few vote totals here or there when the margin was under 1,000 votes, Casey isn’t coming back.
Agree. Within 0.5% in PA, however, is a statutorily mandated recount (unless Casey waives it, which we won't).
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Race
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My Congressman is a Weiner: <q 11727="">There won't be a U.S Senate election in Pennsylvania in 4 years because Class 2 is up next.
So there WILL be one in four years, because Class 2 is up in 2028.
Pennsylvania has a Class I seat and a Class III seat. Class II is up in '26, Class III is up in '28.
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Race
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LSjustbloggin: Schumer should just delay the Senate orientation until every senator-elect is a certified winner by their states.
The orientation is a formality. It's cocktails and elbow-rubbing for new initiants into the Club. I'm not concerned about orientation. It's optics, a Schumer power play. More concerned about the practical. The resources to set up an office, which McCormick should be availed of right now if he is not already.
LSjustbloggin: Don't worry, he'll get a better paying job than a U.S Senator.
Yes, Casey will get his recount (that is, if the margin falls within that set out by the applicable statute), will accept the inevitable, and will move on. Everyone else will, even if he doesn't. I have. He'll take his check and be just fine.
LSjustbloggin: Red to blue seat 2 years ago, Blue to red seat 2 years later. Interesting.
I'd seen that this one is the closest Senate race in PA since James Duff's loss in 1956. I'd have to eye that myself, but I don't doubt it. Toomey's re-election in 2016 was close, but not as close as 2024. That result surprised me as well. A Trump effect on both races. Not far behind was Genevieve Blatt's loss to Hugh Scott in 1964, by about 70,000 votes, in spite of the LBJ landslide.
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Race
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If Casey has the statutory right to a recount, he should be able to exercise it. But McCormick, much as I dislike him, ought be afforded transitional resources as Senator-elect. I see Schumer's made a show of not inviting McCormick (and Gallego) to orientation. My hope is that the back-end support for setting up an office is not withheld, lest either or both states' representation is hamstrung by a short-changed freshman senator's inability to hit the ground running.
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Race
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Pennsylvanian: I imagine McCormick flew back to his residence in Connecticut promptly after his victory speech Friday. That is the most grating aspect of this.
And I thought I was joking. Guess Dave really couldn't stand to be away any longer after a long and hard-fought campaign so far from home.
Flight records show a private plane previously connected to McCormick left Pittsburgh the morning of Nov. 9 bound for Bridgeport
[Link]
Back in PA last night after his daughter's soccer match, according to his comms director. But I am sure there will be many more such sojourns for Dave "definitely lives in PA" McCormick.
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Rosen, Baldwin, and Slotkin all won Senate races despite Trump having flipped each. Have to admit that I did not imagine Casey being the exception. I imagine McCormick flew back to his residence in Connecticut promptly after his victory speech Friday. That is the most grating aspect of this. Oh, and the touting of the creation of jobs in Pittsburgh that no longer exist at a company that no longer has a presence. That one got to me too.
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Race
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CA Pol Junkie: Political polarization by gender isn't necessarily a long-term trend. Abortion will of course be a key issue until it is settled in favor of the pro-choice side, but alot of the gender imbalance this year also comes from Trump being creepy as f***. If Republicans manage to nominate someone half way normal next time some of the women's vote will come back to them and some of Trump's bro cult will stay home.
No disagreement from me. Though "creepy as f***" is and will be an apt description for many a current and forthcoming male candidate seeking to emulate Trump's brand of comical hypermasculinity, even absent the abortion issue and even discounting the classic and recurring foot-in-mouth-Todd Akin social conservative. The trend very well may not be long-term...
CA Pol Junkie: If Republicans manage to nominate someone half way normal next time
...but I'm sure the Republicans will do their level best to make it so.
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Race
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Unseasonably warm for trick-or-treat this year here in Western PA. Runs 6-8 in our neighborhood, but typically stems quickly after nightfall about 6:45 or so. But the mid-70s temps meant a steady stream of trick-or-treaters all the way until the end of the evening. Ran out of candy for the first time in years. I may have had some part in this. Two variety bags worth of Three Musketeers, Hershey's Milk Chocolate, Reese's, Kit-Kat, Whoppers, Milk Duds. Obviously, a (shameless) Hershey's homer.
Mallow Cups are a local favorite as well, among an older demographic.
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Issue
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Trump and Harris will be holding rallies, with about an hour of crossover, just a few miles apart in downtown Pittsburgh on Monday afternoon/evening. Needless to say, I shall be avoiding that giant cluster by all means necessary.
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Race
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Jason: My question is how real Trump's appeal is among disaffected young men, and the extent to which they show up. It's a gamble in a space we don't have obvious precedent for, but if it pays off then Trump may have also unlocked a key demographic for the GOP in future elections as well.
I suspect support among disaffected young men is quite soft, particularly into future elections. The cult-like, comically exaggerated hyper-masculinity of a Donald Trump might have specific appeal to a Nelk Boys-consuming "bro" voter demographic whose political inclination is otherwise disengaged cynicism, but other Republicans' attempts to harness such absurd quasi-bravado has had disastrously comedic result, if any at all. The interesting, broader trend, of course, is the increasing genderification of the voting-eligible populace more generally, whether the young men otherwise perhaps inclined to vote Trump show up or not.
Luzerne County Historian: I have a feeling Harris is underperforming in the polls in PA. Young people are not going to answer polls but they are engaged and, as long as they actually go vote, it'll be heavily in Harris's favor.
Not an unreasonable take two years after most polls had Oz narrowly beating Fetterman. Though the presence of jackass fringe lunatic Doug Mastriano at the top of the ticket had some effect as well. Occam's razor and all.
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Race
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"Oh, I am, I'm up on your bankruptcy too, sir."
Stone cold zinger from a 12 year old.
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KeystoneProgressive: It's a sign we live in a negative political environment when any sign of bipartisan political cooperation is seen as the "elite" working against the American people. This makes it significantly harder to get anything meaningful done, because now most politicians are afraid of their own base.
The commodification of political division is one of the more compelling explanatory factors in the appeal of a two-bit TV pitchman to a cult-like following, a symptom that now exacerbates the cause.
I like to think there's a parallel universe wherein Donald Trump is an eccentric rando doing Oxi-Clean paid infomercials that you'd wake up to on TV Land at 3am.
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Trump may make a run at this, the way his "pivot" post-Biden exit has gone...
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Certainly puts a new spin on "childless cat ladies".
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He doesn't have to be a dictator. After four more years, one could convincingly argue the courts he'll have stacked will do it for him. At least in terms of policy implementation.
He seems to have been, if anything, emboldened by the (failed, for which I'm glad) attempt on his life. Unsurprising, given such pathological egomania.
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Heh. Perhaps then an endorsement of Trump might've incited enough moral clarity for him to drop out and plead guilty on everything. Or perhaps I should just take what I'm given.
/s
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Still bringing the hard hitting commentary. Yes, I am very aware and expected as much. Void ab initio. I was in Rehoboth as well this past weekend. Got me thinking about Joe on a human level. I respect and like Joe. I’d have supported his reelection should he have been the Democratic nominee. And the Democrats’ ability to f*** up an open nomination is beyond reproach.
I’d always been of two minds about Joe. But Joe made the right decision for the country and for himself. Six months late, but the right one nonetheless. He is passing the torch (his Irish obstinance notwithstanding). I respect that.
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Old LW: one of the best Yinzers of all time, Rick Sebak
Can confirm.
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News
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Happy birthday, Indy. Enjoy!
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Chronicler: Is your campaign button one of those pictured?
Indeed -- first one, top left. That was the only one I can recall having seen before. It's in a box with an assortment of other buttons, political and non-political. Interestingly, there's a Ray Shafer (Shapp's Republican predecessor) button from '66 and a Broderick-Scalera button from '70 (Shapp-Kline's opponents in their first run). And a lot of vintage Penn State football buttons...
Old LW: I think Shapp overall was a good Governor, but it's not hard to imagine a lot of Yinzers really not liking him what with the steel industry collapsing right at that time.
History will be fairly kind to Shapp, and it isn't entirely unjustified. Some of the corruption in the late 1970s Pennsylvania Democratic establishment (think Henry Cianfrani, among others) and Shapp's ill-fated White House run (and ensuing FEC difficulties) were damaging to him in his second term, which I think turned out not to be quite the victory lap he'd hoped for.
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Those who were around during the Shapp administration will remember Hurricane Agnes flooding out the brand new Governor's Mansion (which is right on the bank of the Susquehanna), culiminating in Shapp and his wife being famously (or infamously) rescued by boat. Can't say that's why his campaign never picked up steam, but suffice to say Shapp had *interesting* ideas about the federal budget. Namely, splitting between a perpetually balanced, daily operating budget and long-term investment expenditure. I have a Shapp '76 button around somewhere; no idea how I ended up with it. Don't think anybody in my family particularly liked the guy.
Infamy precedes Shapp's name in Pennsylvania also, for enacting the Commonwealth's flat income tax. My dad maintains he never heard anyone booed as loudly as Shapp was at a Pittsburgh Pirates game shortly thereafter. That is his primary memory of Shapp. Bloodied him pretty good here, but you could certainly argue in good faith that Shapp brought the Commonwealth back from the brink of dire straights on that account -- and in the end Watergate was probably his saving grace.
Chronicler, thanks for writing these up
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