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PA US Senate
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> United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class I
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Office | Senate |
Honorific | Senator - Abbr: Sen. |
Type | General Election |
Filing Deadline | --- |
Polls Open | November 05, 2024 - 06:00am Central |
Polls Close | November 05, 2024 - 07:00pm Central |
Term Start | January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm |
Term End | January 03, 2031 - 12:00pm |
Contributor | RP |
Last Modified | ev December 05, 2024 07:32am |
Data Sources | [Link] |
Description |
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| VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS |
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Start Date |
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08/06/2024 |
David H. McCormick vs Bob Casey Jr. |
Web Only Ad |
Attack |
eng |
Weakness
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00:00:30 |
data |
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| INFORMATION LINKS |
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DISCUSSION |
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I:8766 | Pennsylvanian ( 404.5480 points)
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Tue, November 12, 2024 01:01:33 AM UTC0:00
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Schumer should just delay the Senate orientation until every senator-elect is a certified winner by their states.
The orientation is a formality. It's cocktails and elbow-rubbing for new initiants into the Club. I'm not concerned about orientation. It's optics, a Schumer power play. More concerned about the practical. The resources to set up an office, which McCormick should be availed of right now if he is not already.
Don't worry, he'll get a better paying job than a U.S Senator.
Yes, Casey will get his recount (that is, if the margin falls within that set out by the applicable statute), will accept the inevitable, and will move on. Everyone else will, even if he doesn't. I have. He'll take his check and be just fine.
Red to blue seat 2 years ago, Blue to red seat 2 years later. Interesting.
I'd seen that this one is the closest Senate race in PA since James Duff's loss in 1956. I'd have to eye that myself, but I don't doubt it. Toomey's re-election in 2016 was close, but not as close as 2024. That result surprised me as well. A Trump effect on both races. Not far behind was Genevieve Blatt's loss to Hugh Scott in 1964, by about 70,000 votes, in spite of the LBJ landslide.
LSjustbloggin: Schumer should just delay the Senate orientation until every senator-elect is a certified winner by their states.
The orientation is a formality. It's cocktails and elbow-rubbing for new initiants into the Club. I'm not concerned about orientation. It's optics, a Schumer power play. More concerned about the practical. The resources to set up an office, which McCormick should be availed of right now if he is not already.
LSjustbloggin: Don't worry, he'll get a better paying job than a U.S Senator.
Yes, Casey will get his recount (that is, if the margin falls within that set out by the applicable statute), will accept the inevitable, and will move on. Everyone else will, even if he doesn't. I have. He'll take his check and be just fine.
LSjustbloggin: Red to blue seat 2 years ago, Blue to red seat 2 years later. Interesting.
I'd seen that this one is the closest Senate race in PA since James Duff's loss in 1956. I'd have to eye that myself, but I don't doubt it. Toomey's re-election in 2016 was close, but not as close as 2024. That result surprised me as well. A Trump effect on both races. Not far behind was Genevieve Blatt's loss to Hugh Scott in 1964, by about 70,000 votes, in spite of the LBJ landslide.
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Casey Jr's last election is the one he finally loses. Don't worry, he'll get a better paying job than a U.S Senator.
Red to blue seat 2 years ago, Blue to red seat 2 years later. Interesting.
It makes sense. PA is a very purple state. We've usually either had two moderate Republicans (Specter and Heinz, Scott and Schweiker) or an R/D combo (Casey and Toomey, Scott and Clark) for decades.
LSjustbloggin: Casey Jr's last election is the one he finally loses. Don't worry, he'll get a better paying job than a U.S Senator.
Red to blue seat 2 years ago, Blue to red seat 2 years later. Interesting.
It makes sense. PA is a very purple state. We've usually either had two moderate Republicans (Specter and Heinz, Scott and Schweiker) or an R/D combo (Casey and Toomey, Scott and Clark) for decades.
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Tue, November 12, 2024 04:53:47 AM UTC0:00
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Updated Results
Dave McCormick (R)
3,371,062
49.0%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,335,940
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,460
1.3%
Leila Hazou (Oth.)
64,815
0.9%
Marty Selker (Oth.)
23,333
0.3%
Updated Results
Dave McCormick (R)
3,371,062
49.0%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,335,940
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,460
1.3%
Leila Hazou (Oth.)
64,815
0.9%
Marty Selker (Oth.)
23,333
0.3%
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Tue, November 12, 2024 09:41:24 AM UTC0:00
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There won't be a U.S Senate election in Pennsylvania in 4 years because Class 2 is up next.
There won't be a U.S Senate election in Pennsylvania in 4 years because Class 2 is up next.
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Tue, November 12, 2024 06:45:37 PM UTC0:00
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No, Class 2 is up in 2026
No, Class 2 is up in 2026
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Tue, November 12, 2024 06:56:05 PM UTC0:00
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Updated Results
Dave McCormick (R)
3,373,863
49.0%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,339,751
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,555
1.3%
Other candidates
88,316
1.3%
Updated Results
Dave McCormick (R)
3,373,863
49.0%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,339,751
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,555
1.3%
Other candidates
88,316
1.3%
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I:8766 | Pennsylvanian ( 404.5480 points)
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Tue, November 12, 2024 07:07:47 PM UTC0:00
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There won't be a U.S Senate election in Pennsylvania in 4 years because Class 2 is up next.
So there WILL be one in four years, because Class 2 is up in 2028.
Pennsylvania has a Class I seat and a Class III seat. Class II is up in '26, Class III is up in '28.
My Congressman is a Weiner: <q 11727="">There won't be a U.S Senate election in Pennsylvania in 4 years because Class 2 is up next.
So there WILL be one in four years, because Class 2 is up in 2028.
Pennsylvania has a Class I seat and a Class III seat. Class II is up in '26, Class III is up in '28.
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Tue, November 12, 2024 09:23:33 PM UTC0:00
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Updated Results
Dave McCormick (R)
3,377,180
49.0%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,344,610
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,652
1.3%
Leila Hazou (Oth.)
65,116
0.9%
Marty Selker (Oth.)
23,391
0.3
Updated Results
Dave McCormick (R)
3,377,180
49.0%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,344,610
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,652
1.3%
Leila Hazou (Oth.)
65,116
0.9%
Marty Selker (Oth.)
23,391
0.3
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Tue, November 12, 2024 09:38:49 PM UTC0:00
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Updated results, it's getting tighter.
Dave McCormick (R)
3,377,667
48.9%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,348,180
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,719
1.3%
Leila Hazou (Oth.)
65,252
0.9%
Marty Selker (Oth.)
23,406
0.3%
Updated results, it's getting tighter.
Dave McCormick (R)
3,377,667
48.9%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,348,180
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,719
1.3%
Leila Hazou (Oth.)
65,252
0.9%
Marty Selker (Oth.)
23,406
0.3%
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Tue, November 12, 2024 10:00:55 PM UTC0:00
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I might be wrong to believe McCormick won this as of now.
I might be wrong to believe McCormick won this as of now.
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D:7 | CA Pol Junkie ( 4953.9048 points)
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Tue, November 12, 2024 10:27:40 PM UTC0:00
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I might be wrong to believe McCormick won this as of now.
Casey got 65% of the 2 party vote between your last update and your update of 11/11 10:53 PM, and 88% of the vote between your last two updates. Alot depends on where the remaining ballots are from.
LSjustbloggin: I might be wrong to believe McCormick won this as of now.
Casey got 65% of the 2 party vote between your last update and your update of 11/11 10:53 PM, and 88% of the vote between your last two updates. Alot depends on where the remaining ballots are from.
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Wed, November 13, 2024 04:43:37 AM UTC0:00
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Updated results
Dave McCormick (R)
3,380,144
48.9%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,350,879
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,803
1.3%
Leila Hazou (Oth.)
65,334
0.9%
Marty Selker (Oth.)
23,428
0.3%
Updated results
Dave McCormick (R)
3,380,144
48.9%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,350,879
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,803
1.3%
Leila Hazou (Oth.)
65,334
0.9%
Marty Selker (Oth.)
23,428
0.3%
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Wed, November 13, 2024 09:33:21 PM UTC0:00
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Updated Results
Dave McCormick (R)
3,381,439
48.9%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,353,421
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,859
1.3%
Leila Hazou (Oth.)
65,401
0.9%
Marty Selker (Oth.)
23,442
0.3
Updated Results
Dave McCormick (R)
3,381,439
48.9%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,353,421
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,859
1.3%
Leila Hazou (Oth.)
65,401
0.9%
Marty Selker (Oth.)
23,442
0.3
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D:7 | CA Pol Junkie ( 4953.9048 points)
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Wed, November 13, 2024 09:48:12 PM UTC0:00
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Casey got 58% of the 2 party vote since the update of 11/12 3:38 PM. Any idea how many ballots are left?
Casey got 58% of the 2 party vote since the update of 11/12 3:38 PM. Any idea how many ballots are left?
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Wed, November 13, 2024 10:00:52 PM UTC0:00
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I don't know if there's enough votes to put him on top, if there are, then dang.
I don't know if there's enough votes to put him on top, if there are, then dang.
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Wed, November 13, 2024 10:08:07 PM UTC0:00
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Last week the Secretary of State said there were 100,000 ballots left to be counted, well by now, the vast majority of them have been counted.
Last week the Secretary of State said there were 100,000 ballots left to be counted, well by now, the vast majority of them have been counted.
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https://x.com/Owens_abc27/status/1856820644937117698
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Wed, November 13, 2024 10:41:52 PM UTC0:00
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Updated results, Decision Desk HQ
David McCormick
GOP 3,383,832 48.9%
Bob Casey Jr. *
DEM 3,356,092 48.5%
John Thomas
LIB 88,945 1.3%
Leila Hazou
GRE 65,514 1%
Marty Selker
CONST 23,462 0.3%
Updated results, Decision Desk HQ
David McCormick
GOP 3,383,832 48.9%
Bob Casey Jr. *
DEM 3,356,092 48.5%
John Thomas
LIB 88,945 1.3%
Leila Hazou
GRE 65,514 1%
Marty Selker
CONST 23,462 0.3%
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D:6149 | Campari_007 ( 1066.4170 points)
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Wed, November 13, 2024 10:56:24 PM UTC0:00
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This race should be uncalled honestly. For the moment.
This race should be uncalled honestly. For the moment.
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Thu, November 14, 2024 12:20:20 AM UTC0:00
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Updated results
David McCormick
GOP 3,384,179 48.9%
Bob Casey Jr. *
DEM 3,357,658 48.5%
John Thomas
LIB 88,956 1.3%
Leila Hazou
GRE 65,558 1%
Marty Selker
CONST 23,465 0.3%
Updated results
David McCormick
GOP 3,384,179 48.9%
Bob Casey Jr. *
DEM 3,357,658 48.5%
John Thomas
LIB 88,956 1.3%
Leila Hazou
GRE 65,558 1%
Marty Selker
CONST 23,465 0.3%
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A 30,000 vote margin heading to a recount? Sure weird things have happened, but realistically this isn’t changing. The Minnesota 2008 Senate race or the Virginia 2013 AG race changed a few vote totals here or there when the margin was under 1,000 votes, Casey isn’t coming back.
A 30,000 vote margin heading to a recount? Sure weird things have happened, but realistically this isn’t changing. The Minnesota 2008 Senate race or the Virginia 2013 AG race changed a few vote totals here or there when the margin was under 1,000 votes, Casey isn’t coming back.
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Thu, November 14, 2024 02:40:38 AM UTC0:00
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A 30,000 vote margin heading to a recount? Sure weird things have happened, but realistically this isn’t changing. The Minnesota 2008 Senate race or the Virginia 2013 AG race changed a few vote totals here or there when the margin was under 1,000 votes, Casey isn’t coming back.
They're still counting votes and there's the possibly of there being enough to put the senator on top.
Maryland Republican93: A 30,000 vote margin heading to a recount? Sure weird things have happened, but realistically this isn’t changing. The Minnesota 2008 Senate race or the Virginia 2013 AG race changed a few vote totals here or there when the margin was under 1,000 votes, Casey isn’t coming back.
They're still counting votes and there's the possibly of there being enough to put the senator on top.
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I:8766 | Pennsylvanian ( 404.5480 points)
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Thu, November 14, 2024 03:11:47 PM UTC0:00
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A 30,000 vote margin heading to a recount? Sure weird things have happened, but realistically this isn’t changing. The Minnesota 2008 Senate race or the Virginia 2013 AG race changed a few vote totals here or there when the margin was under 1,000 votes, Casey isn’t coming back.
Agree. Within 0.5% in PA, however, is a statutorily mandated recount (unless Casey waives it, which we won't).
Maryland Republican93: A 30,000 vote margin heading to a recount? Sure weird things have happened, but realistically this isn’t changing. The Minnesota 2008 Senate race or the Virginia 2013 AG race changed a few vote totals here or there when the margin was under 1,000 votes, Casey isn’t coming back.
Agree. Within 0.5% in PA, however, is a statutorily mandated recount (unless Casey waives it, which we won't).
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Thu, November 14, 2024 05:13:47 PM UTC0:00
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UPDATED RESULTS.
Dave McCormick (R)
3,384,294
48.9%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,358,526
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,990
1.3%
Leila Hazou (Oth.)
65,586
0.9%
Marty Selker (Oth.)
23,472
0.3%
UPDATED RESULTS.
Dave McCormick (R)
3,384,294
48.9%
Bob Casey* (D)
3,358,526
48.5%
John Thomas (Oth.)
88,990
1.3%
Leila Hazou (Oth.)
65,586
0.9%
Marty Selker (Oth.)
23,472
0.3%
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I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
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Thu, November 14, 2024 05:35:13 PM UTC0:00
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Updated results
David McCormick
GOP 3,384,816 48.9%
Bob Casey Jr. *
DEM 3,359,076 48.5%
John Thomas
LIB 88,993 1.3%
Leila Hazou
GRE 65,599 1%
Marty Selker
CONST 23,472 0.3%
Updated results
David McCormick
GOP 3,384,816 48.9%
Bob Casey Jr. *
DEM 3,359,076 48.5%
John Thomas
LIB 88,993 1.3%
Leila Hazou
GRE 65,599 1%
Marty Selker
CONST 23,472 0.3%
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