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  PA US President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > President
Parent RaceUS President - Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline ---
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last Modifiedev December 05, 2024 07:29am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJoe Biden Votes3,458,229 (49.98%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin80,555 (+1.16%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 02, 2024 PA US President - LBT Straw Poll
Mike ter Maat
LBT 93
Mar 04, 2024 PA US President - G Primary
Jill Stein
G 129
Apr 23, 2024 PA US President - D Primary
Joe Biden
D 1,023,681
Apr 23, 2024 PA US President - R Primary
Donald J. Trump
R 952,720
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
07/26/2022 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Donald J. Trump 5 ------
Joe Biden 2 1 ----
Tossup 1 ------
Kamala Harris 21 2 ----
Leaning Call: Kamala Harris (71.43%)
Weighted Call: Kamala Harris (74.22%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

07/19/2022 11/04/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name President Donald J. Trump Vice President Kamala Harris Councilor Jill Stein Chase Oliver  
PartyRepublican Democratic Green Libertarian  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 3,543,308 (50.37%) 3,423,042 (48.66%) 34,538 (0.49%) 33,318 (0.47%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -120,266 (-1.71%) -3,508,770 (-49.88%) -3,509,990 (-49.90%)  
Predict Avg.47.95% 49.05% 0.50% 0.50%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 03/12/2024 07/21/2024 01/01/2024 01/01/2024  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (183 from 63 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg48.17%-- 47.60%-- 0.28%-- -0.08%--  
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24
49.10% -- 48.40% 1.0 0.60% 0.3 0.20% 0.3
Survation 
11/01/24-11/04/24
47.80% -- 50.60% -- 0.70% -- 0.90% --
Trafalgar Group 
11/01/24-11/03/24
48.40% 2.1 46.70% 3.4 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/02/24-11/03/24
47.00% 2.0 48.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Patriot Polling 
11/01/24-11/03/24
50.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
11/01/24-11/02/24
49.10% 0.6 47.40% -- 0.90% 0.1 0.50% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Cornel West (I)
Aug 23, 2024
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (I)
Aug 16, 2024
Joe Biden (D)
Mar 12, 2024 - Jul 21, 2024

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/28/2024 Kamala Harris vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Humor eng Secret  00:00:30 Chronicler 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 02, 2024 06:00pm News In deep-blue Philly, working class voters are shifting toward Republicans  Article BrentinCO 
Aug 29, 2024 07:00pm Analysis Pennsylvania may be a problem for Harris  Article Jason 

DISCUSSION
 
I:8766Pennsylvanian ( 404.5480 points)
Sat, November 2, 2024 04:39:36 AM UTC0:00
Trump and Harris will be holding rallies, with about an hour of crossover, just a few miles apart in downtown Pittsburgh on Monday afternoon/evening. Needless to say, I shall be avoiding that giant cluster by all means necessary.

 
LBR:1802Old LW ( 599.6209 points)
x3
Sat, November 2, 2024 05:09:14 AM UTC0:00
Pennsylvanian: Trump and Harris will be holding rallies, with about an hour of crossover, just a few miles apart in downtown Pittsburgh on Monday afternoon/evening. Needless to say, I shall be avoiding that giant cluster by all means necessary.

Don't even bother leaving the house. It'll be a damn nightmare dahntahn.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4953.9048 points)
Sat, November 2, 2024 03:01:23 PM UTC0:00
Pennsylvanian: The interesting, broader trend, of course, is the increasing genderification of the voting-eligible populace more generally, whether the young men otherwise perhaps inclined to vote Trump show up or not.

Political polarization by gender isn't necessarily a long-term trend. Abortion will of course be a key issue until it is settled in favor of the pro-choice side, but alot of the gender imbalance this year also comes from Trump being creepy as f***. If Republicans manage to nominate someone half way normal next time some of the women's vote will come back to them and some of Trump's bro cult will stay home.

 
I:8766Pennsylvanian ( 404.5480 points)
x2
Sun, November 3, 2024 01:09:05 AM UTC0:00
CA Pol Junkie: Political polarization by gender isn't necessarily a long-term trend. Abortion will of course be a key issue until it is settled in favor of the pro-choice side, but alot of the gender imbalance this year also comes from Trump being creepy as f***. If Republicans manage to nominate someone half way normal next time some of the women's vote will come back to them and some of Trump's bro cult will stay home.

No disagreement from me. Though "creepy as f***" is and will be an apt description for many a current and forthcoming male candidate seeking to emulate Trump's brand of comical hypermasculinity, even absent the abortion issue and even discounting the classic and recurring foot-in-mouth-Todd Akin social conservative. The trend very well may not be long-term...

CA Pol Junkie: If Republicans manage to nominate someone half way normal next time

...but I'm sure the Republicans will do their level best to make it so.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Wed, November 6, 2024 05:22:17 PM UTC0:00
Reminder: Donald Trump said there's massive fraud in this state. Keep that in mind Dems ;)
[Link]

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, November 13, 2024 11:58:48 PM UTC0:00
From before the election.

Harris got 59.43% in Allegheny Co. PA


 
W:11230Arthur ( -72.3830 points)
Thu, November 14, 2024 10:49:49 AM UTC0:00
Allegheny is shifting to the left but that's obviously not enough for Ds to win statewide with.