My question is how real Trump's appeal is among disaffected young men, and the extent to which they show up. It's a gamble in a space we don't have obvious precedent for, but if it pays off then Trump may have also unlocked a key demographic for the GOP in future elections as well. I suspect support among disaffected young men is quite soft, particularly into future elections. The cult-like, comically exaggerated hyper-masculinity of a Donald Trump might have specific appeal to a Nelk Boys-consuming "bro" voter demographic whose political inclination is otherwise disengaged cynicism, but other Republicans' attempts to harness such absurd quasi-bravado has had disastrously comedic result, if any at all. The interesting, broader trend, of course, is the increasing genderification of the voting-eligible populace more generally, whether the young men otherwise perhaps inclined to vote Trump show up or not. I have a feeling Harris is underperforming in the polls in PA. Young people are not going to answer polls but they are engaged and, as long as they actually go vote, it'll be heavily in Harris's favor. Not an unreasonable take two years after most polls had Oz narrowly beating Fetterman. Though the presence of jackass fringe lunatic Doug Mastriano at the top of the ticket had some effect as well. Occam's razor and all.

Trump and Harris will be holding rallies, with about an hour of crossover, just a few miles apart in downtown Pittsburgh on Monday afternoon/evening. Needless to say, I shall be avoiding that giant cluster by all means necessary.

Trump and Harris will be holding rallies, with about an hour of crossover, just a few miles apart in downtown Pittsburgh on Monday afternoon/evening. Needless to say, I shall be avoiding that giant cluster by all means necessary. Don't even bother leaving the house. It'll be a damn nightmare dahntahn.

The interesting, broader trend, of course, is the increasing genderification of the voting-eligible populace more generally, whether the young men otherwise perhaps inclined to vote Trump show up or not. Political polarization by gender isn't necessarily a long-term trend. Abortion will of course be a key issue until it is settled in favor of the pro-choice side, but alot of the gender imbalance this year also comes from Trump being creepy as f***. If Republicans manage to nominate someone half way normal next time some of the women's vote will come back to them and some of Trump's bro cult will stay home.

Political polarization by gender isn't necessarily a long-term trend. Abortion will of course be a key issue until it is settled in favor of the pro-choice side, but alot of the gender imbalance this year also comes from Trump being creepy as f***. If Republicans manage to nominate someone half way normal next time some of the women's vote will come back to them and some of Trump's bro cult will stay home. No disagreement from me. Though "creepy as f***" is and will be an apt description for many a current and forthcoming male candidate seeking to emulate Trump's brand of comical hypermasculinity, even absent the abortion issue and even discounting the classic and recurring foot-in-mouth-Todd Akin social conservative. The trend very well may not be long-term... If Republicans manage to nominate someone half way normal next time ...but I'm sure the Republicans will do their level best to make it so.

Reminder: Donald Trump said there's massive fraud in this state. Keep that in mind Dems ;) https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/trump-raises-claim-of-massive-cheating-in-us-city-of-philadelphia-6953204

From before the election. Harris got 59.43% in Allegheny Co. PA https://x.com/blockedfreq/status/1834994264117268959

Allegheny is shifting to the left but that's obviously not enough for Ds to win statewide with.