Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource." 
Email: Password:

  US President - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last Modifiedev November 21, 2024 02:59pm
Data SourcesAP
Individual State election result websites
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJoe Biden Votes81,285,571 (51.31%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin7,060,533 (+4.46%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 01, 2023 US President - ASP Nomination
Peter Sonski
ASP 625
Jan 15, 2024 US President - LBT Primaries
Charles Ballay
LBT 40,628
Apr 04, 2024 US President - NL Convention
No Nominee
NoL 1
Jun 04, 2024 US President - R Primaries
Donald J. Trump
R 22,408,459
Jun 04, 2024 US President - D Primaries
Joe Biden
D 16,699,464
Jun 04, 2024 US President - G Primaries
Jill Stein
G 17,719
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/14/2021 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Donald J. Trump 5 ------
Tossup 1 ------
Joe Biden 2 ------
Kamala Harris 14 5 ----
Leaning Call: Kamala Harris (75.00%)
Weighted Call: Kamala Harris (71.87%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/11/2021 11/04/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name President Donald J. Trump Vice President Kamala Harris Councilor Jill Stein Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Chase Oliver (W) Write-In Claudia De la Cruz
PartyRepublican Democratic Green Independent Libertarian Nonpartisan Socialism and Liberation
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (98.70% in) 76,801,038 (49.87%) 74,283,999 (48.23%) 785,873 (0.51%) 745,841 (0.48%) 640,123 (0.42%) 351,515 (0.23%) 151,202 (0.10%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,517,039 (-1.63%) -76,015,165 (-49.36%) -76,055,197 (-49.38%) -76,160,915 (-49.45%) -76,449,523 (-49.64%) -76,649,836 (-49.77%)
Estimated Final77,799,451 (49.87%) 75,249,690 (48.23%) 796,089 (0.51%) 755,536 (0.48%) 648,444 (0.42%) 356,084 (0.23%) 153,167 (0.10%)
Predict Avg.46.08% 48.94% 0.54% 2.80% 0.67% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 11/15/2022 07/21/2024 11/03/2023 10/09/2023
Dropped Out
08/23/2024
05/26/2024 06/01/2024 09/07/2023
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (291 from 73 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.43%-- 47.30%-- 0.67%-- 4.60%-- 0.22%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24
49.20% 0.2 48.10% 1.1 1.10% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.10% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
John Zogby Strategies 
11/02/24-11/03/24
44.50% -- 48.10% -- 1.80% -- 0.00% -- 3.20% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
11/01/24-11/03/24
48.00% 2.0 50.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/02/24-11/03/24
46.00% 1.0 48.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TIPP 
11/01/24-11/03/24
49.00% 3.0 48.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Patriot Polling 
11/01/24-11/03/24
48.10% 0.9 49.40% 2.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Cornel West Randall A. Terry Peter Sonski Shiva Ayyadurai None of These Candidates Joel Skousen Richard A. Duncan
PartyJustice For All Constitution American Solidarity Independent Independent Independent American Independent
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (98.70% in) 75,996 (0.05%) 41,205 (0.03%) 32,333 (0.02%) 27,606 (0.02%) 19,625 (0.01%) 12,783 (0.01%) 12,532 (0.01%)
Margin-76,725,042 (-49.82%) -76,759,833 (-49.84%) -76,768,705 (-49.85%) -76,773,432 (-49.85%) -76,781,413 (-49.85%) -76,788,255 (-49.86%) -76,788,506 (-49.86%)
Estimated Final76,983 (0.05%) 41,740 (0.03%) 32,753 (0.02%) 27,964 (0.02%) 19,880 (0.01%) 12,949 (0.01%) 12,694 (0.01%)
Predict Avg.0.23% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 10/05/2023 04/27/2024 06/02/2023 08/02/2023 -- 06/01/2024 06/01/2024
MATCHUP POLLS (291 from 73 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.56%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
John Zogby Strategies 
11/02/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
11/01/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/02/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TIPP 
11/01/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Patriot Polling 
11/01/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 27 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Joe Biden (D)
Apr 25, 2024 - Jul 21, 2024
Howard Stern (I)
May 01, 2024
No Labels Primary Winner (NoL)
Apr 04, 2024
Jimmy Dore (P)
Jan 01, 2024
William McRaven (?)
Jan 01, 2024
Ye (?)
Oct 20, 2023
Elizabeth "Liz" Cheney (NoL)
Jul 30, 2023
Lawrence J. Hogan, Jr. (NoL)
Jul 30, 2023
Joe Manchin (NoL)
Jul 30, 2023
Andrew Yang (For)
Apr 05, 2023

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Jun 27, 2024 08:00pm Jun 27, 2024 10:00pm Debate First 2024 US Presidential Debate  RP 
Sep 10, 2024 08:00pm Sep 10, 2024 10:00pm Debate Second 2024 US Presidential Debate  RP 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/22/2024 Kamala Harris vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Biography eng He/Him  00:00:30 Chronicler 
08/29/2024 vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Attack eng Republicans Discuss Insurrection Events  00:00:30 IndyGeorgia 
08/26/2024 Kamala Harris TVAd Issue eng Full House  00:01:00 RP 
08/23/2024 Kamala Harris TVAd Feel Good eng Opportunity  00:00:30 RP 
07/30/2024 Kamala Harris vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Contrast eng Harris for President Highlights Trump’s Failure to Secure Our Southern Border  00:00:50 RP 
07/26/2024 vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Attack eng One Old Man  00:01:14 RP 
06/19/2024 Jill Stein Interview Issue ara Jill Stein on Palestine TV  00:03:34 data 
02/13/2024 Claudia De la Cruz Web Only Ad Attack eng End Capitalism Before It Ends Us: Claudia De La Cruz & Karina Garcia for President & VP  00:02:41 data 
01/05/2024 Donald J. Trump Web Only Ad Biography eng GOD MADE TRUMP  00:02:44 RP 
08/01/2023 Donald J. Trump TVAd Attack eng Trump's new ad  00:01:00 RP 
05/16/2023 TVAd Issue eng Unite the Country - Freedom  00:00:30 RP 
04/25/2023 vs TVAd Attack eng Beat Biden  00:00:32 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 30, 2024 10:00am News Police are searching for the person who set ballot boxes on fire in Washington and Oregon. Here’s what we know  Article Jason 
Oct 16, 2024 02:30am Report Elon Musk and other billionaires invest staggering sums into electing Trump, plus other takeaways from third-quarter filings   Article RP 
Oct 14, 2024 02:35pm News Kamala Harris will sit down with Bret Baier for her first Fox News interview  Article Jason 
Oct 12, 2024 09:00am Poll Black Voters Drift From Democrats, Imperiling Harris’s Bid, Poll Shows  Article Jason 
Oct 05, 2024 11:35am News Trump is everywhere. Anxious Dems wonder why Harris isn’t.  Article Jason 
Sep 30, 2024 11:00am Poll Poll: Democrats' advantage with Latino voters continues to shrink  Article Jason 

DISCUSSION
[View All
163
Previous Messages]
 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Sun, July 28, 2024 04:18:37 PM UTC0:00
I think being charitable you could say he was just saying that since he won't be able to run for another term he doesn't care what happens after that.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
x5
Thu, August 1, 2024 11:33:22 PM UTC0:00
I can't believe Trump's current strategy against Kamala is "She's not black!"

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Thu, August 1, 2024 11:44:37 PM UTC0:00
RP: I can't believe Trump's current strategy against Kamala is "She's not black!"

His team is really perplexed on how to campaign against her. And he hasn't totally moved on from Biden. They've lost the race to define her to America.

 
For:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -631.8989 points)
Fri, August 2, 2024 02:00:24 AM UTC0:00
RP: I can't believe Trump's current strategy against Kamala is "She's not black!"

I think he just killed any chance he had of winning personally. It's gonna drive up voter turnout against him, especially in the cities.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, August 7, 2024 07:29:16 PM UTC0:00
One thing I find interesting about the polling since Harris was swapped for Biden.

Biden consistently trailed in the multi-candidate horse race - even when he was tied or almost tied (+/- 1 pt) in the head to head.

Harris seems to be consistently ahead in the multi-candidate horse race - even when she is tied or almost tied (+/- 1 pt) in the head to head.

Curious to see how this impacts the dynamics of the race down the stretch. With Biden as the nominee, I think Trump wanted a multi-candidate race is most states - now I think he doesn't and I wonder if we will see some more attacks on Kennedy and the Libertarian nominee.

 
For:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -631.8989 points)
Wed, August 7, 2024 10:54:49 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: One thing I find interesting about the polling since Harris was swapped for Biden.

Biden consistently trailed in the multi-candidate horse race - even when he was tied or almost tied (+/- 1 pt) in the head to head.

Harris seems to be consistently ahead in the multi-candidate horse race - even when she is tied or almost tied (+/- 1 pt) in the head to head.

Curious to see how this impacts the dynamics of the race down the stretch. With Biden as the nominee, I think Trump wanted a multi-candidate race is most states - now I think he doesn't and I wonder if we will see some more attacks on Kennedy and the Libertarian nominee.

Oh, I've already gotten flyers attacking Kennedy in the mail (yes, actual physical flyers)

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Sat, August 10, 2024 04:09:04 PM UTC0:00
At the Trump rally in Montana, they played the theme song to the Titanic movie. - [Link]

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Fri, August 16, 2024 09:27:59 PM UTC0:00
Does the Conservative Party Primary Winner need to be removed or is there an actualy Conservative Party Primary somewhere (Like NYS)

 
ND:9399Juan Croniqueur ( -34.0791 points)
Sat, August 17, 2024 04:03:34 AM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Does the Conservative Party Primary Winner need to be removed or is there an actualy Conservative Party Primary somewhere (Like NYS)

Yep, New York.

 
D:6454Mr. Matt ( 1766.5430 points)
Sat, August 17, 2024 09:36:46 AM UTC0:00
It can probably be removed, the NY CON party is going to be endorsing Trump at a convention held today.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Sun, August 18, 2024 02:57:33 AM UTC0:00
I am much better looking than her. I’m a better-looking person than Kamala. - Donald Trump - [Link]

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Tue, August 20, 2024 07:04:12 PM UTC0:00

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Tue, August 20, 2024 08:00:57 PM UTC0:00
The Republican Plants admit to wanting to help Trump get elected

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, August 21, 2024 06:39:38 AM UTC0:00
After offering to endorse Kamala if she gave him a Cabinet position...

 
D:11714KeystoneProgressive ( -7.6004 points)
Wed, August 21, 2024 11:23:28 AM UTC0:00
I just think RFK's going to endorse whoever is the first to offer him a cabinet position. And that's probably going to be Trump.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, August 21, 2024 07:09:41 PM UTC0:00

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, August 21, 2024 08:46:04 PM UTC0:00
Now being reported by several sources that RFK will be dropping out Friday and endorsing Trump.

Upside here, we won't have to enter polls in twice for head to head and three-way.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, August 21, 2024 09:42:13 PM UTC0:00
What about Jill Stein, Cornel West and Chase Oliver?

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, August 21, 2024 10:15:13 PM UTC0:00
RP: What about Jill Stein, Cornel West and Chase Oliver?

Will they have separate polls? Seems like moving forward the exit of RFK means there will be only one poll. And some pollsters will choose to add Stein / West / Oliver in that one poll and others will see them as too marginal and won't.


 
For:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -631.8989 points)
x2
Wed, August 21, 2024 11:07:21 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Now being reported by several sources that RFK will be dropping out Friday and endorsing Trump.

Upside here, we won't have to enter polls in twice for head to head and three-way.

What a kick in the teeth to all of his volunteers who busted their asses to get him on the ballot. Absolutely insulting.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, August 21, 2024 11:22:58 PM UTC0:00
Luzerne County Historian: What a kick in the teeth to all of his volunteers who busted their asses to get him on the ballot. Absolutely insulting.

You mean the "volunteers" paid for by the RNC?

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Fri, August 23, 2024 09:26:17 PM UTC0:00

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Tue, August 27, 2024 05:03:54 PM UTC0:00

 
For:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -631.8989 points)
x3
Wed, August 28, 2024 01:50:45 AM UTC0:00
I feel like there's no doubt in many peoples' minds that Harris will win the popular vote. The big question is will she win the electoral vote.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, August 28, 2024 03:09:35 PM UTC0:00
Luzerne County Historian: I feel like there's no doubt in many peoples' minds that Harris will win the popular vote.

It's a bit early to declare that.

[View Next Page]