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  FIN Eduskunta - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Finland > Eduskunta > Popular Vote
OfficeParliament
HonorificMember of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline February 21, 2023 - 08:00am Central
Polls Open April 02, 2023 - 01:00am Central
Polls Close April 02, 2023 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start April 13, 2023 - 05:45am
Term End April 13, 2027 - 05:00am
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedBojicat December 20, 2024 11:52am
Data Sources[Link]
Description [Link]
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/12/2023 04/02/2023
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
National Coalition Party 1 ------
Leaning Call: National Coalition Party (100.00%)
Weighted Call: National Coalition Party (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

12/09/2019 03/28/2023

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Regional Council National Coalition Party Finns Party Regional Council Social Democratic Party of Finland Regional Council Centre Party of Finland Left Alliance Green Alliance Regional Council Swedish People's Party of Finland
PartyNational Coalition Finns Social Democratic Centre Left Alliance Green Alliance Swedish People's Party of Finland
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 644,555 (20.82%) 620,981 (20.06%) 617,552 (19.95%) 349,640 (11.30%) 218,430 (7.06%) 217,795 (7.04%) 133,518 (4.31%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -23,574 (-0.76%) -27,003 (-0.87%) -294,915 (-9.53%) -426,125 (-13.77%) -426,760 (-13.79%) -511,037 (-16.51%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website]
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (40 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg21.44%-- 19.83%-- 18.86%-- 11.07%-- 8.03%-- 8.40%-- 4.40%--
Taloustutkimus 
03/01/23-03/28/23		 19.80% 1.0 19.50% 0.5 18.70% 1.2 10.70% 1.2 8.70% 0.3 9.00% 0.1 4.10% 0.3
Kantar Public 
03/09/23-03/23/23		 19.80% 1.5 19.20% 0.8 19.20% -- 11.40% 1.8 8.30% 0.3 8.40% 1.0 4.50% 0.1
Taloustutkimus 
02/06/23-02/28/23		 20.80% 2.2 19.00% 0.3 19.90% 1.1 9.50% 1.4 9.00% 0.4 8.90% 0.7 4.40% 0.4
Kantar Public 
01/16/23-02/10/23		 21.30% 2.2 20.00% 2.1 19.20% 0.1 9.60% 0.3 8.00% -- 9.40% 0.4 4.40% 0.1
Taloustutkimus 
12/07/22-01/03/23		 23.00% 1.1 19.30% 4.7 18.80% 0.9 10.90% 2.6 8.60% 0.4 9.60% 0.8 4.00% 0.3
Kantar Public 
11/14/22-12/16/22		 23.50% -- 17.90% -- 19.10% -- 9.90% -- 8.00% -- 9.80% -- 4.30% --
Taloustutkimus 
04/07/22-05/03/22		 24.10% 4.3 14.60% 3.2 17.90% 1.7 13.50% -- 9.00% 1.0 8.80% 1.6 4.30% 0.2
Taloustutkimus 
06/14/21-07/06/21		 19.80% 3.6 17.80% 4.1 19.60% 1.8 13.50% 1.8 8.00% 0.4 10.40% 1.0 4.50% 0.2
Kantar TNS 
04/12/21-05/07/21		 17.00% 0.8 21.60% -- 19.00% 0.7 11.10% 0.3 8.10% 0.3 10.00% -- 4.40% 0.1
Kantar TNS 
03/15/21-04/09/21		 16.20% 0.2 21.60% 0.1 19.70% 0.8 11.40% 0.4 7.80% 0.5 10.00% 0.2 4.30% 0.1
Kantar TNS 
02/15/21-03/12/21		 16.00% 0.4 21.50% 0.4 20.50% 0.5 11.80% 0.8 7.30% 0.3 9.80% 0.1 4.40% 0.2
Kantar TNS 
01/18/21-02/12/21		 16.40% 0.2 21.10% 0.1 21.00% 0.2 11.00% 0.2 7.60% 0.1 9.90% 0.7 4.20% 0.1
Kantar TNS 
12/21/20-01/15/21		 16.20% -- 21.00% 0.4 20.80% 0.6 10.80% 0.6 7.70% -- 10.60% 0.7 4.30% --
Taloustutkimus 
12/02/20-01/05/21		 16.20% 0.3 21.90% 1.0 21.40% 0.8 11.70% 0.4 7.60% 0.4 11.40% 0.2 4.30% 0.1
Kantar TNS 
11/23/20-12/18/20		 16.20% 0.3 20.60% 0.7 21.40% 0.6 11.40% 0.3 7.70% 0.2 9.90% 1.2 4.30% 0.1
Taloustutkimus 
11/09/20-12/01/20		 15.90% 0.7 20.90% 1.4 20.60% 0.6 12.10% 0.3 7.20% 0.5 11.60% 0.8 4.40% 0.1
Kantar TNS 
10/19/20-11/20/20		 16.50% 0.3 19.90% -- 20.80% 0.1 11.70% 0.5 7.50% 0.3 11.10% 0.1 4.40% --
Taloustutkimus 
10/12/20-11/03/20		 16.60% 1.1 19.50% 0.5 21.20% 0.6 12.40% 0.9 7.70% 0.2 10.80% 0.1 4.30% 0.2
Kantar TNS 
09/14/20-10/16/20		 16.80% 0.2 19.90% 0.4 20.90% 0.1 11.20% 0.4 7.80% 0.2 11.00% 0.8 4.40% 0.1
Taloustutkimus 
09/07/20-10/06/20		 17.70% 0.6 19.00% 0.2 21.80% 0.4 11.50% 0.2 7.90% 0.1 10.90% 0.8 4.50% 0.4
Kantar TNS 
08/17/20-09/12/20		 17.00% 0.1 19.50% 0.5 21.00% -- 10.80% 0.5 7.60% 0.1 11.80% 0.3 4.30% 0.1
Taloustutkimus 
08/10/20-09/01/20		 18.30% 1.0 18.80% 0.1 21.40% 2.0 11.30% 0.8 8.00% 0.1 11.70% 0.1 4.10% 0.1
Kantar TNS 
07/13/20-08/14/20		 16.90% 0.8 19.00% 1.1 21.00% 0.2 11.30% 0.3 7.50% 0.7 12.10% 0.8 4.40% --
Taloustutkimus 
07/06/20-08/04/20		 17.30% 0.6 18.90% 0.8 23.40% 1.5 10.50% 0.9 8.10% 0.6 11.60% 0.7 4.00% 0.3
Kantar TNS 
06/15/20-07/10/20		 17.70% 0.3 17.90% 0.3 21.20% 0.7 11.60% 0.8 8.20% 0.8 11.30% 0.5 4.40% --
Taloustutkimus 
06/03/20-06/30/20		 17.90% 0.3 18.10% 0.2 21.90% 0.2 11.40% 0.8 8.70% 1.0 10.90% 0.5 4.30% 0.2
Kantar TNS 
05/18/20-06/14/20		 17.40% 0.4 17.60% 0.5 21.90% 0.2 12.40% 0.1 7.40% 0.2 10.80% 0.4 4.40% 0.2
Kantar TNS 
04/20/20-05/14/20		 17.00% 0.2 18.10% 2.1 22.10% 1.7 12.30% 0.3 7.60% 0.2 11.20% -- 4.20% --
Taloustutkimus 
04/14/20-05/05/20		 18.20% 0.6 17.90% 2.1 22.10% 2.5 12.20% 0.2 7.70% 0.2 11.40% 0.6 4.10% --
Tietoykkönen 
04/14/20-04/29/20		 16.20% 0.6 18.80% 1.3 24.10% 3.0 12.90% 1.0 7.30% 0.5 9.70% 1.0 4.00% 0.6
Kantar TNS 
03/16/20-04/15/20		 16.80% 0.1 20.20% 1.4 20.40% 3.3 12.60% 0.6 7.40% 0.6 11.20% 1.2 4.20% 0.2
Taloustutkimus 
03/04/20-04/07/20		 17.60% 0.4 20.00% 2.4 19.60% 3.0 12.40% -- 7.90% 0.5 12.00% 0.5 4.10% --
Tietoykkönen 
03/20/20-03/27/20		 16.80% 0.7 20.10% 1.6 21.10% 4.4 11.90% 0.1 7.80% 0.2 10.70% 1.9 4.60% 0.3
Kantar TNS 
02/15/20-03/13/20		 16.90% 0.4 21.60% 0.8 17.10% 0.8 12.00% -- 8.00% 0.3 12.40% 0.1 4.40% 0.2
Taloustutkimus 
02/05/20-03/03/20		 18.00% 0.5 22.40% 0.9 16.60% 0.6 12.40% 1.6 7.40% 0.9 12.50% 0.8 4.10% 0.3
Kantar TNS 
01/19/20-02/14/20		 17.30% 0.2 22.40% 0.4 16.30% 1.2 12.00% 0.5 7.70% 0.6 12.30% 0.5 4.20% 0.1
Tietoykkönen 
01/21/20-02/10/20		 17.50% -- 21.70% -- 16.70% -- 12.00% -- 7.60% -- 12.60% -- 4.30% --
Taloustutkimus 
01/13/20-02/04/20		 17.50% 1.8 23.30% 1.0 16.00% 1.1 10.80% 1.2 8.30% 0.2 13.30% 1.3 4.40% 0.5
Kantar TNS 
12/23/19-01/17/20		 17.50% -- 22.80% -- 15.10% -- 11.50% -- 8.30% -- 12.80% -- 4.30% --
Taloustutkimus 
12/09/19-01/08/20		 19.30% -- 24.30% -- 14.90% -- 12.00% -- 8.10% -- 12.00% -- 3.90% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Christian Democrats Movement Now Freedom Alliance Liberal Party – Freedom to Choose Åland Coalition Power of the People Crystal Party
PartyChristian Democrats Movement Now Freedom Alliance Liberal Åland Coalition Power of the People Crystal
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 130,694 (4.22%) 74,995 (2.42%) 27,558 (0.89%) 14,982 (0.48%) 11,452 (0.37%) 8,469 (0.27%) 4,894 (0.16%)
Margin-513,861 (-16.60%) -569,560 (-18.40%) -616,997 (-19.93%) -629,573 (-20.34%) -633,103 (-20.45%) -636,086 (-20.55%) -639,661 (-20.66%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date -- -- -- -- 02/21/2023 -- --
MATCHUP POLLS (40 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg4.29%-- 2.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Taloustutkimus 
03/01/23-03/28/23		 4.40% 0.8 1.80% 0.3 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar Public 
03/09/23-03/23/23		 4.00% 0.1 1.90% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
02/06/23-02/28/23		 3.60% 0.7 1.50% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar Public 
01/16/23-02/10/23		 3.90% 0.5 2.00% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
12/07/22-01/03/23		 2.90% 0.4 1.30% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar Public 
11/14/22-12/16/22		 3.40% -- 1.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
04/07/22-05/03/22		 3.30% -- 2.30% 0.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
06/14/21-07/06/21		 3.30% 0.5 1.90% 0.6 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
04/12/21-05/07/21		 3.80% -- 2.60% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
03/15/21-04/09/21		 3.80% 0.1 2.50% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
02/15/21-03/12/21		 3.70% -- 2.60% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
01/18/21-02/12/21		 3.70% -- 2.40% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
12/21/20-01/15/21		 3.70% 0.1 2.40% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
12/02/20-01/05/21		 2.80% 0.2 1.30% 0.9 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
11/23/20-12/18/20		 3.80% 0.1 2.30% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
11/09/20-12/01/20		 3.00% 1.0 2.20% 0.6 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
10/19/20-11/20/20		 3.70% 0.1 2.20% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
10/12/20-11/03/20		 4.00% 0.7 1.60% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
09/14/20-10/16/20		 3.80% 0.1 2.10% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
09/07/20-10/06/20		 3.30% 0.3 1.80% 0.5 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
08/17/20-09/12/20		 3.70% 0.2 2.00% 0.3 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
08/10/20-09/01/20		 3.00% 0.6 1.30% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
07/13/20-08/14/20		 3.90% -- 1.70% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
07/06/20-08/04/20		 3.60% 0.2 1.20% 0.6 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
06/15/20-07/10/20		 3.90% 0.1 1.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
06/03/20-06/30/20		 3.40% 0.3 1.80% 0.3 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
05/18/20-06/14/20		 4.00% 0.3 1.80% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
04/20/20-05/14/20		 3.70% 0.2 1.90% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
04/14/20-05/05/20		 3.70% 0.2 1.50% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tietoykkönen 
04/14/20-04/29/20		 3.20% 0.3 1.40% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
03/16/20-04/15/20		 3.50% 0.2 2.00% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
03/04/20-04/07/20		 3.90% 1.0 1.30% 0.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tietoykkönen 
03/20/20-03/27/20		 2.90% 0.6 1.30% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
02/15/20-03/13/20		 3.70% 0.1 1.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
02/05/20-03/03/20		 2.90% 0.1 1.70% 0.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
01/19/20-02/14/20		 3.60% 0.3 1.90% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tietoykkönen 
01/21/20-02/10/20		 3.50% -- 1.40% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
01/13/20-02/04/20		 3.00% 0.8 1.30% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Kantar TNS 
12/23/19-01/17/20		 3.90% -- 1.70% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
12/09/19-01/08/20		 2.20% -- 1.40% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 14 MORE CANDIDATES


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