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  AZ US President - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > President
Parent RaceUS President - R Primaries
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline December 17, 2007 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open February 05, 2008 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close February 05, 2008 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2009 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2013 - 12:00pm
ContributorTsongas Democrat
Last ModifiedRBH April 03, 2008 01:24am
Data Sources[Link]
Description Elections Division: [Link]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2004
NameGeorge W. Bush Votes1,104,294 (54.87%)
Term01/20/2005 - 01/20/2009 Margin210,770 (+10.47%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2008
NameJohn McCain Votes1,230,111 (53.64%)
Term01/20/2009 - 01/20/2013 Margin195,404 (+8.52%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceAZ US President 11/04/2008
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/15/2007 02/05/2008
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
John McCain 3 2 5 14
Rudy Giuliani 1 ------
Ron Paul 1 ------
Leaning Call: John McCain (97.50%)
Weighted Call: John McCain (99.96%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/08/2006 01/31/2008

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. John McCain Gov. Mitt Romney Gov. Mike Huckabee Rep. Ron Paul Mayor Rudy Giuliani Sen. Fred Thompson Rep. Duncan L. Hunter
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 255,197 (47.17%) 186,838 (34.53%) 48,849 (9.03%) 22,692 (4.19%) 13,658 (2.52%) 9,492 (1.75%) 1,082 (0.20%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -68,359 (-12.63%) -206,348 (-38.14%) -232,505 (-42.97%) -241,539 (-44.64%) -245,705 (-45.41%) -254,115 (-46.97%)
Predict Avg.31.00% 16.50% 5.75% 0.00% 2.50% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 01/01/2007 01/01/2007 01/01/2007 00/00/2007 01/01/2007 00/00/2007 00/00/2007
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (17 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg41.09%-- 26.44%-- 9.00%-- 7.00%-- 5.02%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Rasmussen Reports 
01/31/08-01/31/08
43.00% -- 34.00% -- 9.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
01/21/08-01/24/08
39.00% 4.0 26.00% 19.0 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 6.00% 14.0 0.00% 7.0 0.00% --
KAET-TV 
01/22/08-01/22/08
41.00% -- 18.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
11/12/07-11/15/07
18.00% -- 11.00% -- 3.00% -- 4.00% -- 20.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
10/05/07-10/09/07
26.00% 33.0 18.00% 16.0 1.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 19.00% 19.0 15.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
08/17/07-08/19/07
24.00% 8.0 19.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 18.00% 9.0 17.00% 11.0 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Assistant Secretary Alan L. Keyes John R. McGrath Frank McEnulty Sean "CF" Murphy John Michael Fitzpatrick James Creighton Mitchell, Jr. David Ruben
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 970 (0.18%) 490 (0.09%) 333 (0.06%) 269 (0.05%) 199 (0.04%) 193 (0.04%) 104 (0.02%)
Margin-254,227 (-46.99%) -254,707 (-47.08%) -254,864 (-47.11%) -254,928 (-47.12%) -254,998 (-47.13%) -255,004 (-47.13%) -255,093 (-47.15%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2007 00/00/2007 00/00/2007 00/00/2007 00/00/2007 00/00/2007 00/00/2007
MATCHUP POLLS (17 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Rasmussen Reports 
01/31/08-01/31/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
01/21/08-01/24/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
KAET-TV 
01/22/08-01/22/08
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
11/12/07-11/15/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
10/05/07-10/09/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
08/17/07-08/19/07
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
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NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 16, 2007 11:00pm Endorsement Press Releases › Ron Paul Endorsed by Barry Goldwater, Jr.  Article Thomas Walker 
May 21, 2007 12:00pm General Giuliani set to compete for Arizona  Article Thomas Walker 
Jan 16, 2007 03:25pm Poll Longshot Hunter Touts Win in Arizona Straw Poll, as McCain Runs Fourth  Article RP 

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