Poll Average Details- AZ US President - R Primary - 2008-02-05 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal John McCain John McCainMitt Romney John McCainMike Huckabee John McCainRon Paul John McCainRudy Giuliani John McCainFred Thompson John McCainDuncan L. Hunter John McCainAlan L. Keyes John McCainJohn R. McGrath John McCainJerry R. Curry John McCainJohn Michael Fitzpatrick John McCainRhett R. Smith John McCainJack E. Shepard John McCainJames Creighton Mitchell, Jr. John McCainBob Leonard Forthan John McCainHugh Cort John McCainDaniel Gilbert John McCainFrank McEnulty John McCainDavid Ruben John McCainMichael P. Shaw John McCainCharles Skelley John McCainRick Outzen John McCainSean "CF" Murphy John McCainMichael Burzynski John McCain
Rasmussen Reports1/31X 1.00000   43.0000 34.0000 9.0000 7.0000                                        
Behavior Research Center1/24X 0.88333   39.0000 26.0000 9.0000   6.0000                                      
KAET-TV1/22X 0.85000   41.0000 18.0000     4.0000                                      
TOTAL 41.085366 26.439024 9.000000 7.000000 5.019231 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000