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  FL US President - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > President
Parent RaceUS President - R Primaries
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline November 13, 2007 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open January 29, 2008 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close January 29, 2008 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2009 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2013 - 12:00pm
ContributorUser 13
Last ModifiedCrimson October 24, 2011 11:48am
Data Sources[Link]
Miami Herald [Link]
Description Polling Hours: 7 a.m. until 7 p.m.
The vast majority of Florida lies in the EST zone.
Ten (10) counties of the western Panhandle, including Pensacola, are in the CST zone.

The Ballot [Link] includes Giuliani, Huckabee, Hunter, Keyes, McCain, Paul, Romney, Tancredo and Thompson. The candidates for this primary we're selected by a bi-partisan [Link] Presidential Candidate Selection Committee. It appears given the controversy of this primary that candidates we're not given the opportunity to withdraw.

According to the Green Papers, [Link] Florida has been sanctioned by the RNC regarding the selection of delegates.
----"On 8 November 2007, the RNC made a determination that Florida's Tuesday 29 January 2008 caucuses violate Republican Party Rule No. 16. The rule states that the process of selecting National Convention Delegates must not begin before Tuesday 5 February 2008. Florida is sanctioned 50% of their delegation hence, the number of delegates is decreased from 114 to 57."
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2004
NameGeorge W. Bush Votes3,964,522 (52.10%)
Term01/20/2005 - 01/20/2009 Margin380,978 (+5.01%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameBarack Obama Votes4,282,074 (51.03%)
Term01/20/2009 - 01/20/2013 Margin236,450 (+2.82%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFL US President 11/04/2008
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
09/13/2007 01/29/2008
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Ron Paul ----1 --
Mitt Romney 14 4 ----
Rudy Giuliani --1 ----
John McCain 17 1 ----
Leaning Call: Mitt Romney (47.83%)
Weighted Call: John McCain (98.54%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/09/2005 01/28/2008

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. John McCain Gov. Mitt Romney Mayor Rudy Giuliani Gov. Mike Huckabee Rep. Ron Paul Sen. Fred Thompson Assistant Secretary Alan L. Keyes
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 701,761 (36.00%) 604,932 (31.03%) 286,089 (14.68%) 262,681 (13.47%) 62,887 (3.23%) 22,668 (1.16%) 4,060 (0.21%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -96,829 (-4.97%) -415,672 (-21.32%) -439,080 (-22.52%) -638,874 (-32.77%) -679,093 (-34.83%) -697,701 (-35.79%)
Predict Avg.21.00% 21.33% 14.67% 9.67% 10.67% 10.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/0001 00/00/0001 00/00/0001 00/00/0001 00/00/0001 -- 00/00/2007
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (63 from 13 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg29.62%-- 30.72%-- 14.18%-- 12.85%-- 3.88%-- 4.00%-- 1.00%--
Zogby International 
01/27/08-01/28/08		 35.00% 2.0 31.00% 1.0 13.00% 1.0 13.00% 2.0 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/28/08-01/28/08		 31.00% -- 30.00% -- 13.00% -- 15.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mitchell Research & Communications 
01/27/08-01/28/08		 32.00% -- 34.00% -- 13.00% -- 10.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/27/08-01/28/08		 32.00% 1.0 31.00% 1.0 15.00% 1.0 13.00% -- 6.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/27/08-01/28/08		 32.00% -- 34.00% 1.0 11.00% -- 12.00% 2.0 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0
InsiderAdvantage 
01/27/08-01/27/08		 28.00% 3.0 27.00% 2.0 16.00% 1.0 13.00% 4.0 4.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
01/27/08-01/27/08		 28.00% 3.0 35.00% 7.0 12.00% 7.0 13.00% 2.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/27/08-01/27/08		 31.00% 4.0 31.00% 2.0 16.00% 2.0 11.00% 1.0 4.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Datamar 
01/25/08-01/27/08		 23.20% 5.3 35.60% 16.1 14.80% 1.6 13.20% 10.7 6.30% 1.5 0.00% 9.4 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
01/25/08-01/27/08		 27.00% 12.0 26.00% 25.0 17.00% 7.0 15.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
01/25/08-01/27/08		 30.00% -- 27.00% -- 13.00% -- 11.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/25/08-01/27/08		 33.00% 3.0 30.00% -- 14.00% 1.0 11.00% 3.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/24/08-01/27/08		 32.00% 22.0 31.00% 23.0 14.00% 17.0 13.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% 14.0 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/27/08-01/27/08		 31.00% 1.0 32.00% 4.0 16.00% 2.0 13.00% 1.0 5.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/26/08-01/26/08		 27.00% 4.0 33.00% 6.0 18.00% 2.0 12.00% 3.0 2.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/26/08-01/26/08		 25.00% 1.0 25.00% 1.0 17.00% 1.0 17.00% 2.0 6.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/25/08-01/26/08		 32.00% 1.0 33.00% 7.0 11.00% 3.0 14.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 1.00% --
Zogby International 
01/24/08-01/26/08		 30.00% 1.0 30.00% 2.0 13.00% 2.0 14.00% 4.0 3.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/25/08-01/25/08		 24.00% 1.0 26.00% 3.0 16.00% -- 15.00% 2.0 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/23/08-01/25/08		 31.00% -- 28.00% -- 15.00% -- 10.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/23/08-01/24/08		 30.00% 5.0 28.00% 9.0 18.00% 2.0 14.00% -- 6.00% 1.0 0.00% 7.0 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/24/08-01/24/08		 23.00% -- 23.00% 1.0 16.00% 2.0 13.00% 3.0 7.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/23/08-01/24/08		 31.00% 2.0 26.00% 4.0 14.00% 2.0 15.00% 2.0 3.00% 3.0 0.00% 6.0 0.00% 1.0
InsiderAdvantage 
01/23/08-01/23/08		 23.00% 5.0 22.00% 2.0 18.00% 1.0 16.00% 4.0 4.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/23/08-01/23/08		 23.00% 3.0 27.00% 2.0 20.00% 1.0 15.00% 2.0 4.00% 1.0 0.00% 12.0 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
01/22/08-01/23/08		 26.00% 15.0 30.00% 23.0 18.00% 3.0 13.00% 8.0 3.00% -- 0.00% 18.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
01/22/08-01/22/08		 25.00% -- 28.00% -- 19.00% -- 15.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
01/20/08-01/22/08		 25.00% 2.0 20.00% 3.0 22.00% 4.0 18.00% 2.0 5.00% -- 6.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R) 
01/20/08-01/22/08		 25.00% -- 23.00% -- 15.00% -- 15.00% -- 3.00% -- 4.00% -- 1.00% --
American Research Group 
01/20/08-01/21/08		 29.00% 11.0 22.00% 11.0 16.00% 15.0 17.00% 16.0 6.00% -- 6.00% 7.0 1.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/20/08-01/21/08		 18.00% 2.0 24.00% 4.0 19.00% 2.0 12.00% 1.0 7.00% 1.0 0.00% 7.0 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/20/08-01/20/08		 25.00% 2.0 19.00% 2.0 20.00% 1.0 14.00% 3.0 7.00% 2.0 7.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/20/08-01/20/08		 20.00% 1.0 25.00% 7.0 19.00% 1.0 13.00% 4.0 5.00% -- 12.00% 1.0 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/15/08-01/16/08		 20.00% 1.0 20.00% 7.0 21.00% 3.0 13.00% 6.0 6.00% 1.0 7.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
01/11/08-01/13/08		 27.00% 12.0 17.00% 4.0 18.00% 7.0 20.00% 1.0 5.00% 1.0 10.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/09/08-01/13/08		 22.00% 9.0 19.00% 1.0 20.00% 8.0 19.00% 2.0 0.00% 2.0 7.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/09/08-01/12/08		 19.00% 13.0 18.00% 5.0 18.00% 1.0 17.00% 10.0 5.00% 1.0 11.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/09/08-01/10/08		 27.00% 17.0 17.00% 3.0 19.00% 10.0 17.00% 7.0 5.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/07/08-01/07/08		 19.00% 6.0 13.00% 1.0 24.00% 2.0 19.00% 2.0 5.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Datamar 
01/05/08-01/07/08		 17.90% 6.0 19.50% 1.9 16.40% 10.6 23.90% 20.8 4.80% 2.7 9.40% 13.0 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
12/12/07-12/18/07		 13.00% -- 20.00% -- 28.00% -- 21.00% -- 2.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
12/14/07-12/16/07		 15.00% 7.0 13.00% 3.0 25.00% 9.0 21.00% 18.0 4.00% 2.0 10.00% 8.0 0.00% --
Survey USA 
12/15/07-12/16/07		 10.00% -- 20.00% -- 29.00% -- 24.00% -- 0.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
12/13/07-12/13/07		 6.00% 4.0 23.00% 4.0 19.00% 8.0 27.00% 18.0 4.00% 1.0 9.00% 7.0 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
11/25/07-11/26/07		 13.00% 3.0 12.00% 4.0 26.00% 3.0 17.00% 11.0 3.00% -- 9.00% 10.0 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
11/18/07-11/18/07		 10.00% -- 19.00% -- 27.00% -- 9.00% -- 5.00% -- 16.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
10/02/07-10/03/07		 10.00% 1.0 16.00% 8.0 29.00% 8.0 6.00% 2.0 3.00% 1.0 19.00% 8.0 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
09/06/07-09/10/07		 9.00% -- 8.00% -- 21.00% -- 4.00% -- 2.00% -- 27.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/03/07-09/09/07		 10.00% 8.0 11.00% 5.0 28.00% 10.0 2.00% 1.0 2.00% 2.0 17.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
08/10/07-08/12/07		 8.00% 3.0 10.00% 2.0 34.00% 4.0 3.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 18.00% 6.0 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
07/23/07-07/26/07		 11.00% -- 7.00% -- 21.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 18.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
06/15/07-06/17/07		 11.00% 14.0 8.00% 1.0 30.00% 17.0 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 24.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
05/24/07-06/04/07		 10.00% -- 8.00% -- 31.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 14.00% -- 0.00% --
Datamar 
05/14/07-05/18/07		 11.90% -- 17.60% -- 27.00% -- 3.10% -- 2.10% -- 22.40% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
05/04/07-05/08/07		 18.00% 3.0 11.00% 9.0 31.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 13.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
02/25/07-03/04/07		 18.00% -- 6.00% -- 38.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/04/07-01/09/07		 15.00% -- 2.00% -- 30.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
10/29/06-10/31/06		 25.00% 5.0 9.00% 5.0 47.00% 12.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
07/21/06-07/23/06		 20.00% 11.0 4.00% -- 35.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
07/21/06-07/23/06		 30.00% 1.0 4.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
06/08/06-06/08/06		 31.00% -- 4.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
06/09/05-06/13/05		 15.00% -- 1.00% -- 24.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
06/09/05-06/13/05		 18.00% -- 2.00% -- 27.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
N J. Bernard "Bernie" Machen 🔗
  South Florida Sun-Sentinel
  Palm Beach Post
  Polk County (FL) Democrat
  Orlando Sentinel
  Gainesville Sun
D Hans G. Tanzler
  The Independent Florida Alligator (University of Florida)
  Tampa Bay Times
D garyray9
D Charlie Crist
  Latin Builders Association
R Mel Martinez 🔗
  Pensacola News Journal
  Bradenton Herald
  Daytona Beach News-Journal
  Tampa Tribune
R Richard A. "Ric" Keller
R Ileana Ros-Lehtinen 🔗
R Carlos Alvarez 🔗
R Allan G. Bense 🔗
R Toni Jennings 🔗
R Charles H. "Charlie" Bronson 🔗
R Ann Coulter 🔗
R Virginia "Ginny" Brown-Waite
R Tom Feeney 🔗
D Tsongas Democrat
R Gabriel Groisman 🔗
R Burt Saunders 🔗
R E. Clay Shaw, Jr. 🔗
R Pat Patterson 🔗
R Peter F. Nehr 🔗
R Richard Glorioso 🔗
R Greg Evers 🔗
R Carl J. Domino 🔗
R Thad Altman 🔗
R Juan C. Zapata 🔗
R Rene Garcia 🔗
R Eduardo "Eddy" Gonzalez 🔗
D Juan Carlos Planas 🔗
R Julio Robaina 🔗
R William "Bill" McCollum, Jr.
R Bob Martinez
R Mike Fasano
R Mike Haridopolos 🔗
R Alex Diaz de la Portilla 🔗
D Jim Naugle
R Daniel Webster
R David Rivera 🔗
R Marco A. Rubio 🔗
I Max Linn 🔗
R Janey Baldwin
R Adam Putnam
FWP CBlock941
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Rep. Duncan L. Hunter Rep. Tom Tancredo  
PartyRepublican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 2,847 (0.15%) 1,573 (0.08%)  
Margin-698,914 (-35.85%) -700,188 (-35.92%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date -- --  
MATCHUP POLLS (63 from 13 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg1.00%-- 1.00%--  
Zogby International 
01/27/08-01/28/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/28/08-01/28/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mitchell Research & Communications 
01/27/08-01/28/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/27/08-01/28/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/27/08-01/28/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/27/08-01/27/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
01/27/08-01/27/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/27/08-01/27/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Datamar 
01/25/08-01/27/08		 0.00% 0.6 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
01/25/08-01/27/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
01/25/08-01/27/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/25/08-01/27/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/24/08-01/27/08		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/27/08-01/27/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/26/08-01/26/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/26/08-01/26/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/25/08-01/26/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/24/08-01/26/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/25/08-01/25/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/23/08-01/25/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/23/08-01/24/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/24/08-01/24/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/23/08-01/24/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/23/08-01/23/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/23/08-01/23/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
01/22/08-01/23/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
01/22/08-01/22/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
01/20/08-01/22/08		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R) 
01/20/08-01/22/08		 1.00% -- 1.00% --
American Research Group 
01/20/08-01/21/08		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0
InsiderAdvantage 
01/20/08-01/21/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/20/08-01/20/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/20/08-01/20/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/15/08-01/16/08		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
01/11/08-01/13/08		 1.00% -- 0.00% 2.0
Quinnipiac University 
01/09/08-01/13/08		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/09/08-01/12/08		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0
Survey USA 
01/09/08-01/10/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
01/07/08-01/07/08		 1.00% -- 0.00% 1.0
Datamar 
01/05/08-01/07/08		 0.60% 1.0 0.00% 1.3
Quinnipiac University 
12/12/07-12/18/07		 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
12/14/07-12/16/07		 1.00% -- 2.00% 1.0
Survey USA 
12/15/07-12/16/07		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
12/13/07-12/13/07		 1.00% -- 1.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
11/25/07-11/26/07		 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
11/18/07-11/18/07		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
10/02/07-10/03/07		 1.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
09/06/07-09/10/07		 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/03/07-09/09/07		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0
Strategic Vision (R) 
08/10/07-08/12/07		 1.00% -- 3.00% 1.0
Mason-Dixon 
07/23/07-07/26/07		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
06/15/07-06/17/07		 1.00% -- 2.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
05/24/07-06/04/07		 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Datamar 
05/14/07-05/18/07		 1.60% -- 1.30% --
American Research Group 
05/04/07-05/08/07		 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
02/25/07-03/04/07		 1.00% -- 1.00% --
American Research Group 
01/04/07-01/09/07		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
10/29/06-10/31/06		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
07/21/06-07/23/06		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
07/21/06-07/23/06		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
06/08/06-06/08/06		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
06/09/05-06/13/05		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategic Vision (R) 
06/09/05-06/13/05		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Bill Young
 


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NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Feb 11, 2008 04:00pm Endorsement JEB BUSH ENDORSES MCCAIN  Article J.R. 
Jan 30, 2008 12:00pm Blog Entry Was Florida a Closed Primary Or Not?  Article Servo 
Jan 30, 2008 11:00am Blog Entry (Ed) Koch on Giuliani's Florida Loss: 'The Beast Is Dead'  Article Thomas Walker 
Jan 29, 2008 11:00am News Giuliani hints he may drop out if he loses Florida gamble  Article COSDem 
Jan 28, 2008 10:00am News Romney says McCain bills favored 'liberal Democrat course'  Article Servo 
Jan 27, 2008 12:40am News In Fla., McCain and Romney Bicker About Iraq  Article ArmyDem 

DISCUSSION