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  AZ US President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > President
Parent RaceUS President - Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2008 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 04, 2008 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 04, 2008 - 11:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2009 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2013 - 12:00pm
ContributorWishful Thinking
Last ModifiedRP March 09, 2018 09:01pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2004
NameGeorge W. Bush Votes1,104,294 (54.87%)
Term01/20/2005 - 01/20/2009 Margin210,770 (+10.47%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2012
NameMitt Romney Votes1,233,654 (53.65%)
Term01/20/2013 - 01/20/2017 Margin208,422 (+9.06%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Feb 05, 2008 AZ US President - R Primary
John McCain
R 541,035
Feb 05, 2008 AZ US President - D Primary
Hillary Clinton
D 455,635
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/27/2005 11/04/2008
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
John McCain 20 27 15 10
Barack Obama 1 ------
Leaning Call: John McCain (99.37%)
Weighted Call: John McCain (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/12/2007 11/01/2008

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. John McCain Sen. Barack Obama Committee Member Bob Barr Ralph Nader Rep. Cynthia McKinney (W) Chuck Baldwin (W) Charles "CJ" Jay
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Independent Green Constitution Boston Tea
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 1,230,111 (53.64%) 1,034,707 (45.12%) 12,555 (0.55%) 11,301 (0.49%) 3,406 (0.15%) 1,371 (0.06%) 16 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -195,404 (-8.52%) -1,217,556 (-53.09%) -1,218,810 (-53.14%) -1,226,705 (-53.49%) -1,228,740 (-53.58%) -1,230,095 (-53.63%)
Predict Avg.57.60% 41.00% 0.67% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 03/04/2008 06/03/2008 00/00/2008 00/00/2008 00/00/2008 00/00/2008 00/00/2008
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (32 from 14 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg48.79%-- 43.76%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
YouGov 
10/18/08-11/01/08		 50.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
10/28/08-10/30/08		 50.00% 6.0 46.00% 7.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
10/28/08-10/30/08		 48.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/27/08-10/28/08		 48.00% 1.0 44.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
10/23/08-10/28/08		 53.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
10/23/08-10/26/08		 46.00% 1.0 44.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/26/08-10/26/08		 51.00% 8.0 46.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Myers Research & Strategic Services (D) 
10/23/08-10/24/08		 48.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zimmerman & Associates 
10/20/08-10/22/08		 43.50% -- 41.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/29/08-09/29/08		 59.00% 2.0 38.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
09/25/08-09/28/08		 45.00% 5.0 38.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
09/11/08-09/14/08		 56.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
08/14/08-08/16/08		 40.00% 7.0 30.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
08/13/08-08/15/08		 47.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/30/08-07/31/08		 52.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
07/30/08-07/30/08		 57.00% 8.0 38.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
07/25/08-07/30/08		 43.00% 7.0 38.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby Interactive 
06/11/08-06/30/08		 39.00% -- 42.00% -- 7.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
06/25/08-06/25/08		 49.00% 8.0 40.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
05/12/08-05/20/08		 50.00% 1.0 39.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
04/24/08-04/27/08		 47.00% 2.0 38.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
04/15/08-04/15/08		 57.00% 2.0 37.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Northern Arizona University 
03/30/08-04/08/08		 55.00% 1.0 33.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
02/26/08-02/28/08		 51.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
02/21/08-02/24/08		 49.00% 1.0 38.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
11/28/07-11/28/07		 55.00% 5.0 33.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/03/07-10/03/07		 50.00% -- 36.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
08/23/07-08/26/07		 48.00% -- 34.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
05/24/07-05/29/07		 51.00% 6.0 37.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Northern Arizona University 
04/13/07-04/19/07		 54.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
03/10/07-03/21/07		 57.00% 1.0 32.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
01/12/07-01/22/07		 56.00% -- 33.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Arizona Republic
R Barry M. Goldwater, Jr. 🔗
  Arizona Right To Life PAC
D Phillip Hubbard 🔗
I Paul Johnson 🔗
D C. C. Goldwater 🔗
D Joe Shirley, Jr. 🔗
D Jarrett B. Maupin, II 🔗
Veg Thomas Walker
LBT Zelig Hess
LBT Scott Grainger
LBT Powell Gammill
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Jonathan E. Allen (W) Write-In  
PartyHeartquake 08 Nonpartisan  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 8 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin-1,230,103 (-53.63%) -1,230,111 (-53.64%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 00/00/2008 01/01/2008  
MATCHUP POLLS (32 from 14 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%--  
YouGov 
10/18/08-11/01/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
10/28/08-10/30/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research 2000 
10/28/08-10/30/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/27/08-10/28/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
10/23/08-10/28/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
10/23/08-10/26/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/26/08-10/26/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Myers Research & Strategic Services (D) 
10/23/08-10/24/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zimmerman & Associates 
10/20/08-10/22/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/29/08-09/29/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
09/25/08-09/28/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
09/11/08-09/14/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
08/14/08-08/16/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
08/13/08-08/15/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/30/08-07/31/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
07/30/08-07/30/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
07/25/08-07/30/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby Interactive 
06/11/08-06/30/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
06/25/08-06/25/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
05/12/08-05/20/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
04/24/08-04/27/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
04/15/08-04/15/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Northern Arizona University 
03/30/08-04/08/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
02/26/08-02/28/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
02/21/08-02/24/08		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
11/28/07-11/28/07		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/03/07-10/03/07		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona State University 
08/23/07-08/26/07		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
05/24/07-05/29/07		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Northern Arizona University 
04/13/07-04/19/07		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
03/10/07-03/21/07		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
01/12/07-01/22/07		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


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NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 31, 2008 11:00am General Dancing in the End Zone  Article Brandonius Maximus 
Oct 31, 2008 10:00am Strategy McCain plans Prescott visit Monday  Article Karma Policeman 
Oct 29, 2008 10:00pm General McCain Now Running Robocalls Attacking Obama In Home State Of Arizona!  Article Penguin 
Oct 22, 2008 10:55am Strategy Obama targeting McCain's own state?  Article RP 
Jul 24, 2008 09:00am News With Arizona Changing, McCain Focuses on Home  Article ArmyDem 
Jun 19, 2008 01:00pm General Nader is Safely on Arizona Ballot; No Challenge Filed  Article Thomas Walker 

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