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  ON Legislative Assembly - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Canada > Ontario > ON Legislative Assembly > ON Legislative Assembly - Popular Vote
OfficeProvincial Parliament
HonorificProvincial Parliament - Abbr: MPP
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline February 13, 2025 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open February 27, 2025 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close February 27, 2025 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start February 28, 2025 - 12:00am
Term End February 27, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorBrentinCO
Last ModifiedCampari_007 February 28, 2025 12:06am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/29/2025 02/27/2025
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Ontario Progressive Conservative Party 1 1 --1
Leaning Call: Ontario Progressive Conservative Party (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Ontario Progressive Conservative Party (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/03/2025 02/02/2025

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Ontario Progressive Conservative Party Ontario Liberal Party Ontario New Democratic Party Green Party New Blue Party of Ontario Independent Ontario Party
PartyProgressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic Green New Blue Independent Ontario
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.93% in) 2,158,452 (43.06%) 1,504,688 (30.02%) 931,796 (18.59%) 242,822 (4.84%) 80,245 (1.60%) 54,278 (1.08%) 26,262 (0.52%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -653,764 (-13.04%) -1,226,656 (-24.47%) -1,915,630 (-38.21%) -2,078,207 (-41.46%) -2,104,174 (-41.97%) -2,132,190 (-42.53%)
Estimated Final2,160,055 (43.06%) 1,505,805 (30.02%) 932,488 (18.59%) 243,002 (4.84%) 80,304 (1.60%) 54,318 (1.08%) 26,281 (0.52%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 01/28/2025 01/28/2025 01/28/2025 01/28/2025 01/28/2025 02/13/2025 02/13/2025
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (11 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.89%-- 25.47%-- 16.68%-- 4.59%-- 1.69%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Pallas Data 
02/01/25-02/02/25		 45.00% -- 28.00% -- 21.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Léger 
01/31/25-02/02/25		 47.00% 1.0 23.00% 1.0 17.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
01/30/25-02/01/25		 42.00% 6.0 29.00% -- 17.00% 6.0 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Innovative Research 
01/29/25-01/31/25		 49.00% 2.0 22.00% 1.0 19.00% 1.0 9.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Innovative Research 
01/03/25-01/27/25		 51.00% -- 23.00% -- 18.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
01/25/25-01/26/25		 36.00% -- 29.00% -- 23.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Libertarian Party None of the Above Party Freedom Party Northern Ontario Party  
PartyLibertarian None of the Above Party Ontario Freedom Northern Ontario  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes (99.93% in) 7,684 (0.15%) 4,731 (0.09%) 1,379 (0.03%) 641 (0.01%)  
Margin-2,150,768 (-42.90%) -2,153,721 (-42.96%) -2,157,073 (-43.03%) -2,157,811 (-43.04%)  
Estimated Final7,689 (0.15%) 4,734 (0.09%) 1,380 (0.03%) 641 (0.01%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 02/13/2025 01/28/2025 02/13/2025 01/28/2025  
MATCHUP POLLS (11 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Pallas Data 
02/01/25-02/02/25		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Léger 
01/31/25-02/02/25		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
01/30/25-02/01/25		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Innovative Research 
01/29/25-01/31/25		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Innovative Research 
01/03/25-01/27/25		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
01/25/25-01/26/25		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


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