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  NC US Senate
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > North Carolina > Senate Class II
Office
TypeGeneral Election
Filing Deadline March 01, 2020 - 05:00pm
Polls Open November 03, 2020 - 05:30am
Polls Close November 03, 2020 - 06:30pm
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
Last Modifiedmg2685a December 14, 2023 09:42am
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameThomas "Thom" Tillis Votes1,423,259 (48.82%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021 Margin45,608 (+1.56%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 03, 2020 NC US Senate - D Primary J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham
Mar 03, 2020 NC US Senate - R Primary Thomas "Thom" Tillis
COUNTY-LEVEL RESULTS
KEY RACE? 9.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Thomas "Thom" Tillis
Lean 2
Slight 6
6
Tossup
Slight 3
J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham
Lean 2
Slight 26
8
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

05/31/2019 11/02/2020
Graph MoE
 Ignore Pollsters:
ALG Research (D)
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News
Benenson Strategy Group (D)
Cardinal Point Analytics
Change Research
Citizen Data
Civiqs
Civitas Institute (R)
Cook Political Report
Data for Progress
East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach
Emerson College
FrederickPolls
Gravis Marketing
Hart Research (D)
HIT Strategies
Langer Research Associates
Marist Institute
Meeting Street Research
Meredith College
Monmouth University
Morning Consult
Public Opinion Strategies (R)
Public Policy Polling
Rasmussen Reports
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Reuters/Ipsos
RMG Research
Siena Research Institute
Spry Strategies
SSRS
Suffolk University
Survey USA
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R)
Swayable
University of Massachusetts
YouGov

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Sen. Thomas "Thom" Tillis J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham Shannon Bray Kevin E. Hayes
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Constitution
Votes2,665,598 (48.69%) 2,569,965 (46.94%) 171,571 (3.13%) 67,818 (1.24%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -95,633 (-1.75%) -2,494,027 (-45.55%) -2,597,780 (-47.45%)
Predict Avg.47.91% 49.02% 1.15% 0.49%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Swayable 
10/27-11/02		 47.00% (-3.3) 53.00% (+3.3) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
Data for Progress 
10/27-11/01		 46.00% (+7.0) 51.00% (+1.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0)
Reuters/Ipsos 
10/27-11/01		 46.00% (-1.0) 48.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
FrederickPolls 
10/30-10/31		 46.00% (+0.0) 50.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
10/29-10/31		 47.20% (+3.7) 50.40% (+5.8) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
Morning Consult 
10/22-10/31		 42.50% (+0.5) 47.40% (-0.6) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Kyle
R Southern_Moderate2
I BigBlake
R Bensq1
D KeystoneProgressive
D NCdem
D An_62190
D Tristy100
R CincinnatiReds1990
I Charlotte Rose

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 05, 2019 09:20am Editorial Thom Tillis’ terrible, no good and totally predictable bad day  Article RP 

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