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  NC US Senate
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > North Carolina > Senate Class II
Office
TypeGeneral Election
Filing Deadline March 01, 2020 - 05:00pm
Polls Open November 03, 2020 - 05:30am
Polls Close November 03, 2020 - 06:30pm
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
ContributorRBH
Last Modifiedmg2685a December 14, 2023 09:42am
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameThomas "Thom" Tillis Votes1,423,259 (48.82%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021 Margin45,608 (+1.56%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 03, 2020 NC US Senate - D Primary J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham
Mar 03, 2020 NC US Senate - R Primary Thomas "Thom" Tillis
COUNTY-LEVEL RESULTS
KEY RACE? 9.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Thomas "Thom" Tillis
Lean 2
Slight 6
6
Tossup
Slight 3
J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham
Lean 2
Slight 26
8
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

05/31/2019 11/02/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Sen. Thomas "Thom" Tillis J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham Shannon Bray Kevin E. Hayes
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Constitution
Votes2,665,598 (48.69%) 2,569,965 (46.94%) 171,571 (3.13%) 67,818 (1.24%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -95,633 (-1.75%) -2,494,027 (-45.55%) -2,597,780 (-47.45%)
Predict Avg.47.91% 49.02% 1.15% 0.49%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Swayable 
10/27-11/02
47.00% (-3.3) 53.00% (+3.3) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Data for Progress 
10/27-11/01
46.00% (+7.0) 51.00% (+1.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0)
Reuters/Ipsos 
10/27-11/01
46.00% (-1.0) 48.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
FrederickPolls 
10/30-10/31
46.00% (+0.0) 50.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
10/29-10/31
47.20% (+3.7) 50.40% (+5.8) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Morning Consult 
10/22-10/31
42.50% (+0.5) 47.40% (-0.6) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
SSRS 
10/23-10/30
44.00% (-2.0) 47.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0)
Rasmussen Reports 
10/28-10/29
44.00% (-1.0) 47.00% (+2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Cardinal Point Analytics 
10/27-10/28
45.90% (+2.8) 40.65% (-2.2) 6.06% (+4.9) 1.88% (+0.2)
East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach 
10/27-10/28
46.60% (-0.6) 48.10% (-0.5) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Marist Institute 
10/25-10/28
43.00% (+0.0) 53.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Gravis Marketing 
10/26-10/27
44.00% (+0.0) 46.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Public Policy Polling 
10/26-10/27
44.00% (+4.0) 47.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Meeting Street Research 
10/24-10/27
43.00% (-1.0) 47.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Siena Research Institute 
10/23-10/27
43.00% (+6.0) 46.00% (+5.0) 0.00% (-4.0) 0.00% (-3.0)
Reuters/Ipsos 
10/21-10/27
47.00% (+0.0) 48.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
RMG Research 
10/24-10/26
42.00% (+6.0) 49.00% (+3.0) 0.00% (-4.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Swayable 
10/23-10/26
50.30% (+0.0) 49.70% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
10/23-10/26
45.00% (+6.0) 48.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
University of Massachusetts 
10/20-10/26
45.00% (+2.0) 49.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Civitas Institute (R) 
10/22-10/25
43.00% (+5.0) 46.00% (+2.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (-2.0)
YouGov 
10/20-10/23
43.00% (+5.0) 49.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Rasmussen Reports 
10/20-10/21
45.00% (+1.0) 45.00% (-2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Citizen Data 
10/17-10/20
42.27% (+0.0) 48.39% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Morning Consult 
10/18-10/20
42.00% (+1.0) 48.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Reuters/Ipsos 
10/14-10/20
47.00% (+5.0) 47.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Kyle
R Southern_Moderate2
I BigBlake
R Bensq1
D KeystoneProgressive
D NCdem
D An_62190
D Tristy100
R CincinnatiReds1990
I Charlotte Rose

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 05, 2019 09:20am Editorial Thom Tillis’ terrible, no good and totally predictable bad day  Article RP 

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