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  MO US Senate - R Primary
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Missouri > Senate Class III
Office
TypePrimary Election
Filing Deadline March 29, 2022 - 05:00pm
Polls Open August 02, 2022 - 06:00am
Polls Close August 02, 2022 - 07:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 11:00am
Term End January 03, 2029 - 11:00am
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedRBH June 23, 2024 01:13pm
Data Sources[Link]
DescriptionFiling went from February 22nd to March 29th, with an extra filing period from April 5th to 8th due to the withdrawal of Democratic candidate Scott Sifton.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameRoy Blunt Votes1,378,458 (49.18%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2023 Margin78,258 (+2.79%)
COUNTY-LEVEL RESULTS
KEY RACE? 7.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Eric Greitens
Strong 1
Lean 1
Slight 2
Eric Schmitt
Lean 2
Slight 8
Tossup
Slight 1
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

03/23/2021 07/27/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Eric Schmitt Vicky Hartzler Eric Greitens Billy Long Mark McCloskey Dave Schatz Patrick A. Lewis
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Votes299,282 (45.65%) 144,903 (22.10%) 124,155 (18.94%) 32,603 (4.97%) 19,540 (2.98%) 7,509 (1.15%) 6,085 (0.93%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -154,379 (-23.55%) -175,127 (-26.71%) -266,679 (-40.67%) -279,742 (-42.66%) -291,773 (-44.50%) -293,197 (-44.72%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Survey USA 
07/24-07/27		 28.00% (+11.0) 13.00% (+2.0) 20.00% (-6.0) 8.00% (+1.0) 4.00% (+2.0) 3.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (-1.0)
Remington Research 
07/22-07/23		 32.00% (+3.0) 25.00% (+2.0) 18.00% (-3.0) 8.00% (+0.0) 4.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
07/21-07/23		 32.90% (+12.9) 20.90% (+4.9) 16.00% (-10.0) 5.10% (-2.9) 4.20% (+0.2) 2.20% (+0.0) 0.10% (+0.0)
Tarrance Group (R) 
07/05-07/07		 28.00% (+0.0) 24.00% (+0.0) 16.00% (+0.0) 6.00% (+0.0) 4.00% (+0.0) 4.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
06/02-06/05		 20.00% (+0.0) 16.00% (+0.0) 26.00% (+0.0) 8.00% (+0.0) 4.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
05/16-05/18		 18.90% (-4.1) 23.40% (+6.8) 26.10% (-4.4) 9.10% (+3.1) 3.20% (-1.4) 2.60% (+0.5) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Sarah Huckabee Sanders [L]
R Pam Bondi [L]
R Donald J. Trump [L]
R Mike Lee [L]
R Christopher S. "Kit" Bond [L]
R Deb Fischer [L]
R Pat Roberts [L]
R Mark Walker [L]
R Donald J. Trump [L]
  Republicans for National Renewal
R Bernard B. Kerik [L]
R Wendy J. Rogers [L]
R Kellyanne Conway
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
N Tom Schneider [L]
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Curtis D. Vaughn Eric James McElroy Robert Allen C. W. Gardner Dave Sims Bernie Mowinski Deshon Porter
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Votes3,451 (0.53%) 2,805 (0.43%) 2,111 (0.32%) 2,044 (0.31%) 1,949 (0.30%) 1,602 (0.24%) 1,574 (0.24%)
Margin-295,831 (-45.12%) -296,477 (-45.22%) -297,171 (-45.32%) -297,238 (-45.33%) -297,333 (-45.35%) -297,680 (-45.40%) -297,708 (-45.40%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Survey USA 
07/24-07/27		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Remington Research 
07/22-07/23		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
07/21-07/23		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.50% (+0.0) 0.30% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Tarrance Group (R) 
07/05-07/07		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
06/02-06/05		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
05/16-05/18		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBR Old LW
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Darrell Leon McClanahan III Rickey Joiner Robert Olson Dennis Lee Chilton Russel P. Breyfogle, Jr. Kevin C. Schepers Hartford Tunnell
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Votes1,139 (0.17%) 1,084 (0.17%) 1,081 (0.17%) 755 (0.12%) 685 (0.10%) 681 (0.10%) 637 (0.10%)
Margin-298,143 (-45.47%) -298,198 (-45.48%) -298,201 (-45.48%) -298,527 (-45.53%) -298,597 (-45.54%) -298,601 (-45.54%) -298,645 (-45.55%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Survey USA 
07/24-07/27		 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Remington Research 
07/22-07/23		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
07/21-07/23		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.50% (+0.0)
Tarrance Group (R) 
07/05-07/07		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
06/02-06/05		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
05/16-05/18		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Dec 02, 2021 09:25am News Home Depot founder makes big move in Missouri Senate race  Article LEAPForward 

DISCUSSION
[View Previous Messages In This Discussion (55 Previous)]
 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.93 points)August 02, 2022 11:11am
Billy Long isn't even funny anymore. This is just sad
 
D:1989RBH ( 5260.33 points)August 02, 2022 01:16pm
imagine having a somewhat unique talent like Billy Long, and not doing at least one ad where you're trying to fit 60 seconds into 30 seconds at an Auctioneer tempo
 
D:1989RBH ( 5260.33 points)August 03, 2022 12:53am
naturally the 7th place finisher was listed 1st on the ballot and the 8th place finisher was listed last (21st) on the ballot.
 
For:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -631.90 points)August 03, 2022 10:47pm
So I guess that RINO hunting ad didn't have the effect Greitens was hoping it would.
 
D:1989RBH ( 5260.33 points)August 04, 2022 02:26pm
there might be a few parallels between Greitens' 2022 Senate campaign and Kobach's 2020 Senate campaign.

At the risk of accidentally causing Greitens to win a nomination for Treasurer in 2024 or something.
 
D:1989RBH ( 5260.33 points)August 29, 2022 05:50pm
a somewhat orderly deviation map where

Schmitt has the KC/STL suburbs (and a path down to Cape Girardeau)
Hartzler has her congressional district plus a few counties
Greitens has a swath of rural NW/NE/SE MO
Long has his congressional district plus a few counties that get TV from Springfield
McCloskey has one of the Lake of the Ozarks counties plus some areas in-between NW and NE MO
Schatz has part of his state senate district
and Robert Allen has the support of some voters in 2 small counties voting for the candidate whose name is first in alphabetical order (Allen wasn't listed first on the ballot)
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