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  PA US Senate
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
TypeGeneral Election
Filing Deadline August 02, 2004 - 12:00pm
Polls Open November 02, 2004 - 06:00am
Polls Close November 02, 2004 - 07:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2005 - 12:00pm
Term End April 28, 2009 - 11:00am
ContributorBarack O-blame-a
Last ModifiedRBH January 05, 2022 04:00pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
DescriptionTerm end due to party switch.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyRepublican Won11/03/1998
NameArlen Specter Votes1,814,180 (61.34%)
Term01/03/1999 - 01/03/2005 Margin785,341 (+26.55%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Apr 27, 2004 PA US Senate - R Primary Arlen Specter
Apr 27, 2004 PA US Senate - D Primary Joe Hoeffel
COUNTY-LEVEL RESULTS
KEY RACE? 8.6000003815 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Arlen Specter
Safe 11
Strong 34
Lean 41
Slight 10
Joe Hoeffel
Safe 1
Lean 1
Slight 1
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

02/12/2003 11/01/2004

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Sen. Arlen Specter Rep. Joe Hoeffel James N. Clymer Elizabeth "Betsy" Summers (W) Write-In
PartyRepublican Democratic Constitution Libertarian Nonpartisan
Votes2,925,080 (52.62%) 2,334,126 (41.99%) 220,056 (3.96%) 79,263 (1.43%) 580 (0.01%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -590,954 (-10.63%) -2,705,024 (-48.66%) -2,845,817 (-51.19%) -2,924,500 (-52.61%)
Predict Avg.52.92% 43.25% 3.17% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $61,339.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Survey USA 
10/31-11/01
53.00% (+5.0) 35.00% (-6.0) 8.00% (+2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Zogby International 
10/27-10/30
54.00% (+0.0) 31.00% (-2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Temple University 
10/22-10/27
51.00% (+1.0) 29.00% (-6.0) 5.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Zogby International 
10/23-10/26
54.00% (+0.0) 33.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Mason-Dixon 
10/19-10/21
50.00% (-3.0) 32.00% (+1.0) 7.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Muhlenberg College 
10/17-10/21
53.00% (+0.0) 31.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Quinnipiac University 
10/16-10/20
51.00% (-4.0) 36.00% (+0.0) 6.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
10/15-10/17
48.00% (-6.0) 41.00% (+6.0) 6.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Quinnipiac University 
10/09-10/11
55.00% (+0.0) 36.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
10/03-10/05
54.00% (+3.0) 35.00% (+2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Franklin & Marshall College 
09/30-10/04
44.00% (+0.0) 35.00% (+0.0) 7.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Mason-Dixon 
09/27-09/28
53.00% (+0.0) 31.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Temple University 
09/16-09/24
50.00% (+0.0) 35.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Opinion Dynamics (FOX) 
09/21-09/22
52.00% (+0.0) 30.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
FOX News 
09/21-09/22
52.00% (+0.0) 30.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Strategic Vision (R) 
09/13-09/15
52.00% (+0.0) 33.00% (+0.0) 4.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Washington Post/ABC News 
09/09-09/12
55.00% (+0.0) 38.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
09/07-09/09
51.00% (+2.0) 33.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Pew Research 
08/13-08/21
56.00% (+0.0) 36.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Quinnipiac University 
08/11-08/16
48.00% (-3.0) 33.00% (-3.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Keystone Poll 
08/02-08/15
53.00% (+0.0) 26.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
07/31-08/02
49.00% (-9.0) 34.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Quinnipiac University 
07/06-07/11
51.00% (+1.0) 36.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Quinnipiac University 
06/21-06/22
50.00% (+0.0) 35.00% (+4.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Neighborhood Research (R) 
06/07-06/16
52.00% (+0.0) 23.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
06/07-06/09
58.00% (+0.0) 33.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Towanda (PA) Daily Review
R TurnerforCongress
LBR Old LW
  Erie Times-News
D Ashley
I McCord 2014
  Wilkes-Barre Times Leader
R banexo
LBT Smart
AENM Angry Russian
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
  Pittsburgh Tribune-Review
R CincinnatiReds1990
LBT Jed
BTP Maditude [L]
MFL The Oncoming Storm

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 16, 2004 12:00am Endorsement National Conservative Leader Paul Weyrich Endorses Clymer for Senate  Article FreedomDemocrat 
Aug 17, 2004 12:00am News [PA] Libertarian Party chooses Senate candidate  Article ScottĀ³ 
Aug 02, 2004 12:00am News Conservative challenger to Specter likely to get on Senate ballot  Article Ripzaw 
Jun 06, 2004 12:00am News [PA] Constitution Party Will Run Candidate for U.S. Senate  Article ArmyDem 
Apr 15, 2004 12:00am News Pennsylvania Senate Fundraising (Specter, Toomey, Hoeffel)  Article Sherlock Holmes (a retired OC public servant collecting his pension) 
Feb 05, 2004 12:00am News Specter has White House support, but son's law firm backs Democrats for president  Article karin1492 

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