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  ON Parliament - Toronto—St. Paul's - By-election
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > Canada > Ontario > ON House of Commons > Toronto—St. Paul's
Office
TypeBy-election
Filing Deadline May 31, 2024 - 01:00pm
Polls Open June 24, 2024 - 08:30am
Polls Close June 24, 2024 - 08:30pm
Term Start June 25, 2024 - 12:00am
Term End September 20, 2025 - 12:00am
ContributorBrentinCO
Last Modifiedmg2685a June 25, 2024 04:31am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyLiberal Won09/20/2021
NameCarolyn Bennett Votes26,429 (49.22%)
Term09/21/2021 - 01/16/2024 Margin12,842 (+23.92%)
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leslie Church
Slight 1
Don Stewart
Slight 2

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Don Stewart Leslie Church Amrit Parhar Christian Cullis Dennis Wilson Jonathan Schachter Mario Stocco
PartyConservative Liberal New Democratic Green People's Independent Independent
Votes15,555 (42.14%) 14,965 (40.54%) 4,044 (10.96%) 1,059 (2.87%) 234 (0.63%) 97 (0.26%) 82 (0.22%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -590 (-1.60%) -11,511 (-31.18%) -14,496 (-39.27%) -15,321 (-41.50%) -15,458 (-41.87%) -15,473 (-41.92%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name Meñico Turcotte Sean Carson Thibaud Mony Stephen Davis Glen MacDonald Mélodie Anderson Demetrios Karavas
PartyMarxist-Leninist Rhinoceros Independent No affiliation Independent Independent Independent
Votes57 (0.15%) 51 (0.14%) 49 (0.13%) 45 (0.12%) 42 (0.11%) 40 (0.11%) 38 (0.10%)
Margin-15,498 (-41.98%) -15,504 (-42.00%) -15,506 (-42.00%) -15,510 (-42.02%) -15,513 (-42.02%) -15,515 (-42.03%) -15,517 (-42.03%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name Jordan Wong Danny Légaré Alex Banks Ali Mohiuddin Jael Champagne Gareau John Dale Joshua Pham
PartyIndependent Marijuana Independent Centrist Independent Independent Independent
Votes31 (0.08%) 29 (0.08%) 28 (0.08%) 27 (0.07%) 23 (0.06%) 18 (0.05%) 18 (0.05%)
Margin-15,524 (-42.05%) -15,526 (-42.06%) -15,527 (-42.06%) -15,528 (-42.06%) -15,532 (-42.08%) -15,537 (-42.09%) -15,537 (-42.09%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name Michael Bednarski Pierre Larochelle Marie-Hélène LeBel Guillaume Paradis Charles Currie Daniel Andrew Graham Julie St-Amand
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent
Votes17 (0.05%) 17 (0.05%) 17 (0.05%) 17 (0.05%) 13 (0.04%) 13 (0.04%) 13 (0.04%)
Margin-15,538 (-42.09%) -15,538 (-42.09%) -15,538 (-42.09%) -15,538 (-42.09%) -15,542 (-42.10%) -15,542 (-42.10%) -15,542 (-42.10%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name Loren Hicks Bébé Sept Heures Pierre Granger Blake Hamilton Mateo Martin Erle Stanley Bowman Cory Deville Ali Engering
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent
Votes12 (0.03%) 11 (0.03%) 11 (0.03%) 11 (0.03%) 10 (0.03%) 10 (0.03%) 10 (0.03%)
Margin-15,543 (-42.10%) -15,544 (-42.11%) -15,544 (-42.11%) -15,544 (-42.11%) -15,545 (-42.11%) -15,545 (-42.11%) -15,545 (-42.11%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name Daniel Stuckless Line Belanger Mark Dejewski Anthony Hamel Pascal St-Amand MarthaLee Aykroyd Sébastien CoRhino Côrriveau
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent
Votes10 (0.03%) 9 (0.02%) 9 (0.02%) 9 (0.02%) 9 (0.02%) 8 (0.02%) 8 (0.02%)
Margin-15,545 (-42.11%) -15,546 (-42.11%) -15,546 (-42.11%) -15,546 (-42.11%) -15,546 (-42.11%) -15,547 (-42.12%) -15,547 (-42.12%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name Daniel Gagnon Olivier Renaud Patrick Strzalkowski Donald Gagnon Kevin Krisa Ben Teichman Myriam Beaulieu
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent
Votes8 (0.02%) 8 (0.02%) 8 (0.02%) 7 (0.02%) 7 (0.02%) 7 (0.02%) 6 (0.02%)
Margin-15,547 (-42.12%) -15,547 (-42.12%) -15,547 (-42.12%) -15,548 (-42.12%) -15,548 (-42.12%) -15,548 (-42.12%) -15,549 (-42.12%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name Maxime Boivin Donovan Eckstrom Agnieszka Marszalek Lorant Polya Spencer Rocchi Darcy Justin Vanderwater Michel Wieczorek
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent
Votes5 (0.01%) 4 (0.01%) 4 (0.01%) 4 (0.01%) 4 (0.01%) 4 (0.01%) 4 (0.01%)
Margin-15,550 (-42.12%) -15,551 (-42.13%) -15,551 (-42.13%) -15,551 (-42.13%) -15,551 (-42.13%) -15,551 (-42.13%) -15,551 (-42.13%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Mylène Bonneau Léthycia-Félix Corriveau Dji-Pé Frazer Martin "Acetaria Caesar" Jubinville Krzysztof Krzywinski Connie Lukawski Dan Preston
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent
Votes3 (0.01%) 3 (0.01%) 3 (0.01%) 3 (0.01%) 3 (0.01%) 3 (0.01%) 3 (0.01%)
Margin-15,552 (-42.13%) -15,552 (-42.13%) -15,552 (-42.13%) -15,552 (-42.13%) -15,552 (-42.13%) -15,552 (-42.13%) -15,552 (-42.13%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Wallace Richard Rowat Roger Sherwood Yogo Shimada Elliot Wand Alain Bourgault Kubera Desai Manon Lili Desbiens
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent No affiliation
Votes3 (0.01%) 3 (0.01%) 3 (0.01%) 3 (0.01%) 2 (0.01%) 2 (0.01%) 2 (0.01%)
Margin-15,552 (-42.13%) -15,552 (-42.13%) -15,552 (-42.13%) -15,552 (-42.13%) -15,553 (-42.13%) -15,553 (-42.13%) -15,553 (-42.13%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Gerrit Dogger Samuel Ducharme Guillaume Gagnier-Michel Kerri Hildebrandt Alain Lamontagne Winston Neutel Jacques Saintonge
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent
Votes2 (0.01%) 2 (0.01%) 2 (0.01%) 2 (0.01%) 2 (0.01%) 2 (0.01%) 2 (0.01%)
Margin-15,553 (-42.13%) -15,553 (-42.13%) -15,553 (-42.13%) -15,553 (-42.13%) -15,553 (-42.13%) -15,553 (-42.13%) -15,553 (-42.13%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Jean-Denis Boudreault Ysack Dupont Zornitsa Halacheva Renee Lemieux Yusuf Nasihi Gavin Vanderwater Felix-Antoine Hamel
PartyIndependent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent Independent
Votes1 (0.00%) 1 (0.00%) 1 (0.00%) 1 (0.00%) 1 (0.00%) 1 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin-15,554 (-42.13%) -15,554 (-42.13%) -15,554 (-42.13%) -15,554 (-42.13%) -15,554 (-42.13%) -15,554 (-42.13%) -15,555 (-42.14%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 25, 2024 01:00pm News Conservatives win longtime Liberal stronghold Toronto-St. Paul's in shock byelection result  Article BrentinCO 
Jun 21, 2024 05:25pm Election Guide By-election: Toronto--St. Paul's  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
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