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  FL US President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > President
Parent RaceUS President - Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2024 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedGrasshopper November 08, 2024 12:38am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameDonald J. Trump Votes5,668,731 (51.22%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin371,686 (+3.36%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 19, 2024 FL US President - D Primary
Joe Biden
D 1
Mar 19, 2024 FL US President - R Primary
Donald J. Trump
R 1,122,631
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/18/2022 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Donald J. Trump 8 16 10 1
Tossup --------
Leaning Call: Donald J. Trump (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Donald J. Trump (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/26/2022 11/03/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name President Donald J. Trump Vice President Kamala Harris Councilor Jill Stein Chase Oliver Claudia De la Cruz Peter Sonski Randall A. Terry
PartyRepublican Democratic Green Libertarian Socialism and Liberation American Solidarity Constitution
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.00% in) 6,103,340 (56.10%) 4,675,152 (42.98%) 43,025 (0.40%) 31,907 (0.29%) 11,939 (0.11%) 7,430 (0.07%) 5,822 (0.05%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,428,188 (-13.13%) -6,060,315 (-55.71%) -6,071,433 (-55.81%) -6,091,401 (-55.99%) -6,095,910 (-56.04%) -6,097,518 (-56.05%)
Estimated Final6,233,235 (56.21%) 4,780,478 (43.11%) 43,952 (0.40%) 32,554 (0.29%) 12,058 (0.11%) 7,504 (0.07%) 5,880 (0.05%)
Predict Avg.50.90% 44.90% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 03/12/2024 07/21/2024 08/22/2024 08/02/2024 08/09/2024 08/20/2024 08/13/2024
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (55 from 25 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg51.98%-- 43.80%-- 0.59%-- 0.09%-- 1.00%-- 1.00%-- 0.00%--
Research Co. 
11/02/24-11/03/24
51.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Victory Insights 
11/01/24-11/02/24
51.00% 4.0 47.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/23/24-11/01/24
51.00% 1.0 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Stetson University 
10/25/24-11/01/24
53.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Focaldata 
10/03/24-11/01/24
51.70% -- 45.30% -- 0.40% -- 0.30% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
10/26/24-10/28/24
48.00% -- 43.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Shiva Ayyadurai (W) Cherunda Fox  
PartyNo Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes (99.00% in) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin-6,103,340 (-56.10%) -6,103,340 (-56.10%)  
Estimated Final0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 01/01/2024 01/01/2024  
MATCHUP POLLS (55 from 25 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Research Co. 
11/02/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Victory Insights 
11/01/24-11/02/24
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/23/24-11/01/24
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Stetson University 
10/25/24-11/01/24
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Focaldata 
10/03/24-11/01/24
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cygnal (R) 
10/26/24-10/28/24
0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Cornel West (I)
Jan 01, 2024 - Aug 26, 2024
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (REF)
May 24, 2024 - Aug 23, 2024
Joe Biden (D)
Mar 12, 2024 - Jul 21, 2024

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BOOKS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 13, 2024 01:00pm News Trump’s Haitian immigrant comments create a storm in Florida  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
 
D:11714KeystoneProgressive ( -7.6004 points)
Fri, September 6, 2024 05:12:42 PM UTC0:00
RP: OT: Weird that when you have two of the same Twitter (X) link on the same page it puts them both where the first link is rather than where each link is. Maybe don't quote Twitter posts.

Yeah everytime I quote a Twitter post it would duplicate the post twice in the original post. Weird how it does that.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Fri, September 13, 2024 07:45:53 PM UTC0:00
Florida has the highest number of Haitians in the United States, with 487,632 individuals, representing 2.15% of the state's population.
[Link]

Estimates of Haitian American voters range from 100,000 to 300,000, but Fernand Amandi, a Democratic pollster based in Miami, said they probably account for less than 1% of the voting population. Many were already motivated to elect Harris, the daughter of a Jamaican immigrant who has led the Biden administration’s foreign policy in the Caribbean.
[Link]

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Fri, September 13, 2024 07:56:42 PM UTC0:00
I don't think results will change, but interested as a numbers guy to see if turnout or margin changes.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Fri, September 13, 2024 08:35:43 PM UTC0:00
Is that why there's no pets in Florida?

 
D:1989RBH ( 5260.3276 points)
Wed, October 2, 2024 07:20:14 PM UTC0:00
McLaughlin's bias adjustments mean that their poll is listed as an adjusted Harris lead on the front page

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, October 2, 2024 08:02:08 PM UTC0:00
RBH: McLaughlin's bias adjustments mean that their poll is listed as an adjusted Harris lead on the front page

Yep. Well deserved.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4113.6006 points)
x2
Mon, October 28, 2024 02:20:28 AM UTC0:00


 
WmP:879Chronicler ( 84.4516 points)
Wed, November 6, 2024 12:55:28 AM UTC0:00
Trump seems to be overperforming throughout Florida.

 
W:11230Arthur ( -72.3830 points)
Wed, November 6, 2024 10:51:26 AM UTC0:00
Florida is safe red now.