Poll Average Details- FL US President - 2024-11-05 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Kamala Harris Peter Sonski Claudia De la Cruz Jill Stein Chase Oliver Randall A. Terry Cherunda Fox Shiva Ayyadurai
Research Co.11/3X 1.00000   51.0000 - -0.8902 bias 44.0000 - 2.9639 bias              
Victory Insights11/2X 0.98333   51.0000 - bias 47.0000 - bias              
Focaldata11/1X 0.96667   51.7000 - bias 45.3000 - bias     0.4000 - bias 0.3000 - bias      
Morning Consult11/1X 0.96667   51.0000 - -1.6378 bias 46.0000 - 3.2496 bias              
Stetson University11/1X 0.96667   53.0000 - bias 46.0000 - bias              
Cygnal (R)10/28X 0.90000   48.0000 - 0.0406 bias 43.0000 - 0.2032 bias 1.0000 - bias 1.0000 - bias 1.0000 - 0.2037 bias 1.0000 - 1.6701 bias      
Florida Atlantic University10/27X 0.88333   53.0000 - -1.2483 bias 44.0000 - 2.7986 bias              
ActiVote10/27X 0.88333   55.8000 - bias 44.2000 - bias              
YouGov10/25X 0.85000   52.0000 - -0.0047 bias 46.0000 - 1.4663 bias              
St. Pete Polls10/25X 0.85000   50.0000 - -1.0782 bias 45.0000 - 1.3486 bias              
Hunt Research10/22X 0.80000   50.0000 - bias 45.0000 - bias              
Cherry Communications10/20X 0.76667   51.0000 - -0.0745 bias 45.0000 - 0.5537 bias              
Emerson College10/20X 0.76667   52.0000 - 0.4363 bias 44.0000 - 1.1507 bias              
Redfield & Wilton Strategies10/18X 0.73333   49.0000 - -3.3508 bias 45.0000 - 5.3290 bias       1.0000 - 0.2578 bias      
University of North Florida10/18X 0.73333   53.0000 - -2.1858 bias 43.0000 - 2.3024 bias              
RMG Research10/17X 0.71667   52.0000 - -1.9223 bias 47.0000 - 3.3133 bias              
Claremont McKenna College10/17X 0.71667   51.0000 - bias 46.0000 - bias              
Marist Institute10/7X 0.55000   51.0000 - -0.7027 bias 47.0000 - 1.2095 bias              
Siena Research Institute10/6X 0.53333   55.0000 - -0.2762 bias 41.0000 - 0.8995 bias              
Public Policy Polling9/26X 0.36667   50.0000 - -0.1911 bias 46.0000 - 1.3449 bias              
McLaughlin & Associates (R)9/25X 0.35000   51.0000 - 4.0805 bias 46.0000 - -3.4211 bias              
Bullfinch Group9/23X 0.31667   48.0000 - bias 47.0000 - bias              
TOTAL 51.976674 43.795916 1.000000 1.000000 0.591073 0.088919 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000