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  NC US President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > North Carolina > President
Parent RaceUS President - Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline ---
Polls Open November 03, 2020 - 05:30am Central
Polls Close November 03, 2020 - 06:30pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedNCdem April 24, 2024 11:34am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameDonald J. Trump Votes2,362,631 (49.83%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin173,315 (+3.66%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 03, 2020 NC US President - D Primary
Joe Biden
D 1,332,382
Mar 03, 2020 NC US President - R Primary
Donald J. Trump
R 802,527
Mar 03, 2020 NC US President - LBT Primary
No Preference
LBT 6,110
Mar 03, 2020 NC US President - G Primary
Howie Hawkins
G 330
Mar 03, 2020 NC US President - CST Primary
No Preference
CST 281
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/27/2019 11/03/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Joe Biden 19 1 1 --
Donald J. Trump 8 5 --1
Tossup 3 ------
Leaning Call: Joe Biden (48.98%)
Weighted Call: Joe Biden (95.44%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/25/2019 11/02/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) President Donald J. Trump Vice President Joe Biden Jo Jorgensen (W) Write-In Howie Hawkins Don Blankenship (W) Jade Simmons
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Nonpartisan Green Constitution Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 2,758,775 (49.93%) 2,684,292 (48.59%) 48,678 (0.88%) 13,196 (0.24%) 12,195 (0.22%) 7,549 (0.14%) 119 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -74,483 (-1.35%) -2,710,097 (-49.05%) -2,745,579 (-49.70%) -2,746,580 (-49.71%) -2,751,226 (-49.80%) -2,758,656 (-49.93%)
Predict Avg.49.52% 47.68% 0.19% 0.00% 0.04% 0.03% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2016 00/00/2020 00/00/2020 -- 00/00/2020 00/00/2020 00/00/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (144 from 48 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.83%-- 47.06%-- 0.59%-- 0.00%-- 0.02%-- -0.02%-- 0.00%--
Swayable 
10/27/20-11/02/20		 46.40% 1.1 52.30% 2.1 1.00% 0.8 0.00% -- 0.30% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
10/29/20-11/01/20		 47.00% -- 49.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
10/27/20-11/01/20		 48.00% 4.0 50.00% 2.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
10/27/20-11/01/20		 48.00% -- 49.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
10/20/20-11/01/20		 47.00% -- 51.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
10/30/20-10/31/20		 49.50% -- 47.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
10/30/20-10/31/20		 48.00% -- 43.60% -- 1.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
FrederickPolls 
10/30/20-10/31/20		 49.00% -- 51.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/29/20-10/31/20		 47.10% 2.1 47.40% 1.8 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/22/20-10/31/20		 48.40% 1.4 49.10% 0.9 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SSRS 
10/23/20-10/30/20		 45.00% 1.0 51.00% 2.0 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/28/20-10/29/20		 48.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
10/27/20-10/29/20		 48.60% 0.2 46.50% 0.5 2.60% 0.3 0.00% -- 0.00% 0.4 0.00% 0.2 0.00% --
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 
10/26/20-10/29/20		 47.00% 1.0 49.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
HarrisX 
10/26/20-10/29/20		 48.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cardinal Point Analytics 
10/27/20-10/28/20		 48.05% 0.4 45.90% 0.9 1.21% -- 0.00% -- 0.94% -- 2.02% -- 0.00% --
East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach 
10/27/20-10/28/20		 47.60% 0.2 50.40% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/25/20-10/28/20		 46.00% -- 52.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
10/01/20-10/28/20		 47.00% 1.0 52.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
10/26/20-10/27/20		 46.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/26/20-10/27/20		 47.00% 1.0 51.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Meeting Street Research 
10/24/20-10/27/20		 45.00% 2.0 48.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/23/20-10/27/20		 45.00% 3.0 48.00% 2.0 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
10/21/20-10/27/20		 48.00% 1.0 49.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/29/20-10/27/20		 45.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
RMG Research 
10/24/20-10/26/20		 47.00% 2.0 48.00% 1.0 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/23/20-10/26/20		 48.00% 3.0 48.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Swayable 
10/23/20-10/26/20		 47.50% -- 50.20% -- 1.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.40% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of Massachusetts 
10/20/20-10/26/20		 48.00% 1.0 48.00% 1.0 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Wick Research 
10/24/20-10/25/20		 49.40% -- 47.20% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civitas Institute (R) 
10/22/20-10/25/20		 46.00% 1.0 47.00% 3.0 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 0.5 0.00% 0.5 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/20/20-10/23/20		 47.00% 1.0 51.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
10/20/20-10/22/20		 48.80% 1.0 46.00% 0.1 2.30% 0.7 0.00% -- 0.40% 0.1 0.20% 0.3 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/20/20-10/21/20		 48.00% -- 47.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Citizen Data 
10/17/20-10/20/20		 43.63% -- 50.15% -- 1.01% -- 0.00% -- 0.26% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/18/20-10/20/20		 47.00% 1.0 50.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
10/14/20-10/20/20		 47.00% 1.0 49.00% 1.0 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
10/16/20-10/19/20		 47.00% -- 50.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Meredith College 
10/16/20-10/19/20		 44.00% 1.4 48.10% 2.4 1.30% -- 0.00% -- 0.60% 0.3 0.10% 0.9 0.00% --
East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach 
10/15/20-10/18/20		 47.40% 0.2 50.60% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
10/15/20-10/18/20		 44.00% -- 48.00% 3.0 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Langer Research Associates 
10/12/20-10/17/20		 48.00% -- 49.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/13/20-10/14/20		 49.20% 0.2 49.20% 0.8 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civiqs 
10/11/20-10/14/20		 46.00% -- 51.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 
10/10/20-10/13/20		 46.00% 4.0 49.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
10/07/20-10/13/20		 48.00% 1.0 48.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/09/20-10/13/20		 42.00% 2.0 46.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/08/20-10/11/20		 45.00% 2.0 50.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
10/08/20-10/11/20		 46.00% 1.0 49.00% 2.0 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 0.5 0.00% 0.5 0.00% --
RMG Research 
10/07/20-10/11/20		 45.00% -- 47.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
10/07/20-10/11/20		 46.00% -- 48.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/02/20-10/11/20		 46.00% 1.0 50.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 
10/09/20-10/10/20		 42.00% 2.0 49.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 
10/04/20-10/06/20		 44.00% 1.0 49.00% 2.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
09/29/20-10/06/20		 47.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/04/20-10/05/20		 46.00% -- 50.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
09/30/20-10/05/20		 44.00% -- 51.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
10/02/20-10/04/20		 47.00% 1.0 49.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach 
10/02/20-10/04/20		 47.20% 1.8 50.40% 3.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SurveyMonkey 
09/01/20-09/30/20		 46.00% 5.0 52.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ALG Research (D) 
09/22/20-09/28/20		 47.00% -- 50.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Hart Research (D) 
09/24/20-09/27/20		 47.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 
09/23/20-09/26/20		 45.00% 5.0 47.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/22/20-09/25/20		 46.00% 2.0 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of Massachusetts 
09/18/20-09/25/20		 47.00% -- 47.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Meredith College 
09/18/20-09/22/20		 45.40% -- 45.70% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.30% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D NCdem
R Page Lemel 🔗
R Mike Hawkins 🔗
R Charles Jeter 🔗
Un Robert F. "Bob" Orr 🔗
G Tamara Zwinak 🔗
I JonathanNC
I E Pluribus Unum


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Sep 02, 2020 05:30pm Statement Trump encourages North Carolina residents to vote twice to test mail-in system  Article RP 

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