Poll Average Details- NC US President - 2020-11-03 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpJoe Biden Joe BidenJo Jorgensen Max AbramsonHowie Hawkins No PreferenceDon Blankenship No Preference Write-In Jade Simmons
Swayable11/2X 1.00000   46.4000 - -2.6599 bias 52.3000 - 2.6682 bias 1.0000 - 0.6844 bias 0.3000 - 0.2149 bias      
SurveyMonkey11/1X 0.98333   47.0000 - -2.0483 bias 51.0000 - 2.5798 bias          
Change Research11/1X 0.98333   47.0000 - -1.2828 bias 49.0000 - 1.7383 bias          
Reuters/Ipsos11/1X 0.98333   48.0000 - 0.2867 bias 49.0000 - 3.1281 bias 1.0000 - 0.3676 bias 1.0000 - 0.2713 bias      
Data for Progress11/1X 0.98333   48.0000 - -1.0296 bias 50.0000 - 1.8027 bias 1.0000 - 0.6931 bias 1.0000 - 0.5819 bias      
FrederickPolls10/31X 0.96667   49.0000 - -1.9123 bias 51.0000 - 1.4631 bias          
Morning Consult10/31X 0.96667   48.4000 - -1.6378 bias 49.1000 - 3.2496 bias          
AtlasIntel10/31X 0.96667   49.5000 - 0.6043 bias 47.5000 - 0.6813 bias          
Emerson College10/31X 0.96667   47.1000 - 0.4363 bias 47.4000 - 1.1507 bias          
InsiderAdvantage10/31X 0.96667   48.0000 - 0.1719 bias 43.6000 - -0.3111 bias 1.9000 - 0.9267 bias        
SSRS10/30X 0.95000   45.0000 - -1.7743 bias 51.0000 - 2.1629 bias 2.0000 - 0.7186 bias 1.0000 - 1.5889 bias      
Rasmussen Reports10/29X 0.93333   48.0000 - 1.5749 bias 47.0000 - 0.4222 bias          
HarrisX10/29X 0.93333   48.0000 - -1.8297 bias 49.0000 - 3.3049 bias          
Trafalgar Group10/29X 0.93333   48.6000 - 1.6400 bias 46.5000 - -1.5916 bias 2.6000 - 1.0064 bias        
Redfield & Wilton Strategies10/29X 0.93333   47.0000 - -3.3508 bias 49.0000 - 5.3290 bias 2.0000 - 0.2578 bias 0.0000 - 0.1905 bias      
East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach10/28X 0.91667   47.6000 - -0.5399 bias 50.4000 - 2.2736 bias          
Marist Institute10/28X 0.91667   46.0000 - -0.7027 bias 52.0000 - 1.2095 bias          
Cardinal Point Analytics10/28X 0.91667   48.0500 - -0.4693 bias 45.9000 - -2.3060 bias 1.2100 - 1.1673 bias 0.9400 - 0.7373 bias 2.0200 - 2.0592 bias    
YouGov10/27X 0.90000   45.0000 - -0.0047 bias 49.0000 - 1.4663 bias          
Public Policy Polling10/27X 0.90000   47.0000 - -0.1911 bias 51.0000 - 1.3449 bias          
Gravis Marketing10/27X 0.90000   46.0000 - -0.0717 bias 49.0000 - 1.6087 bias          
Siena Research Institute10/27X 0.90000   45.0000 - -0.2762 bias 48.0000 - 0.8995 bias          
Meeting Street Research10/27X 0.90000   45.0000 - -1.1158 bias 48.0000 - 2.5373 bias          
University of Massachusetts10/26X 0.88333   48.0000 - -1.3567 bias 48.0000 - 1.8061 bias 1.0000 - 1.1635 bias        
Survey USA10/26X 0.88333   48.0000 - 0.3321 bias 48.0000 - 0.6087 bias          
RMG Research10/26X 0.88333   47.0000 - -1.9223 bias 48.0000 - 3.3133 bias          
Civitas Institute (R)10/25X 0.86667   46.0000 - -1.8679 bias 47.0000 - 1.6548 bias 1.0000 - 0.8899 bias 0.0000 - -0.2207 bias 0.0000 - 0.1243 bias    
Wick Insights10/25X 0.86667   49.4000 - 1.5927 bias 47.2000 - -0.2775 bias          
Citizen Data10/20X 0.78333   43.6300 - -2.6631 bias 50.1500 - 4.0252 bias 1.0100 - 1.6983 bias 0.2600 - 0.1074 bias      
Meredith College10/19X 0.76667   44.0000 - -3.1770 bias 48.1000 - 3.5310 bias 1.3000 - 0.8627 bias 0.6000 - 0.9746 bias 0.1000 - 0.2085 bias    
Langer Research Associates10/17X 0.73333   48.0000 - -1.7599 bias 49.0000 - 3.0536 bias 1.0000 - 0.5467 bias 0.0000 - 0.3736 bias      
Civiqs10/14X 0.68333   46.0000 - -1.5763 bias 51.0000 - 3.3258 bias          
Monmouth University10/11X 0.63333   46.0000 - -1.1567 bias 49.0000 - 2.2180 bias 3.0000 - 0.7100 bias 0.0000 - 0.2042 bias 0.0000 - -0.4455 bias    
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R)10/11X 0.63333   46.0000 - -0.9386 bias 48.0000 - 1.0661 bias 2.0000 - 1.5443 bias        
ALG Research (D)9/28X 0.41667   47.0000 - -2.9253 bias 50.0000 - 4.4003 bias          
Hart Research (D)9/27X 0.40000   47.0000 - -1.3564 bias 49.0000 - 3.6405 bias          
Suffolk University9/14X 0.18333   42.8000 - -2.2107 bias 46.2000 - 1.6916 bias 4.8000 - 1.3790 bias 0.2000 - 0.3882 bias      
Cook Political Report9/13X 0.16667   43.0000 - -2.1258 bias 45.0000 - 3.7698 bias          
Benenson Strategy Group (D)9/8X 0.08333   48.0000 - -1.2376 bias 48.0000 - 2.2630 bias          
TOTAL 47.904443 46.941707 0.684078 0.025392 0.017374 0.000000 0.000000