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OK US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Oklahoma
>
Senate Class III
Office
Senate
Honorific
Senator - Abbr: Sen.
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
June 01, 2004 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open
November 02, 2004 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close
November 02, 2004 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2005 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2011 - 12:00pm
Contributor
Wishful Thinking
Last Modified
Ashley
April 12, 2007 04:41am
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/03/1998
Name
Donald L. "Don" Nickles
Votes
570,682 (66.38%)
Term
01/03/1999 - 01/03/2005
Margin
301,784 (+35.10%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/02/2010
Name
Thomas A. "Tom" Coburn
Votes
718,482 (70.64%)
Term
01/03/2011 - 01/03/2015
Margin
452,668 (+44.50%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jul 27, 2004
OK US Senate - D Primary
Brad Carson
D
352,796
Jul 27, 2004
OK US Senate - R Primary
Thomas A. "Tom" Coburn
R
238,391
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
01/14/2003
11/02/2004
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Thomas A. "Tom" Coburn
33
13
5
12
Brad Carson
23
1
1
--
Sheila Bilyeu
--
1
--
--
Leaning Call: Thomas A. "Tom" Coburn (80.26%)
Weighted Call: Thomas A. "Tom" Coburn (96.12%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
07/08/2004
10/30/2004
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Basswood Research (R)
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (R)
Consumer Logic
Rasmussen Reports
Sooner Poll
Survey USA
Tulsa World
Westhill Consulting (D)
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Rep.
Thomas A. "Tom" Coburn
Rep.
Brad Carson
Sheila Bilyeu
Party
Republican
Democratic
Independent
Campaign Logo
Uncertified
Votes
763,433 (52.77%)
596,750 (41.25%)
86,663 (5.99%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-166,683 (-11.52%)
-676,770 (-46.78%)
Predict Avg.
50.07%
49.02%
1.31%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
Entry Date
00/00/0001
00/00/0001
00/00/0001
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (27 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
43.72%
--
38.36%
--
5.40%
--
Survey USA
10/28/04-10/30/04
47.00%
--
39.00%
2.0
8.00%
--
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)
10/22/04-10/24/04
41.00%
1.0
38.00%
1.0
6.00%
2.0
Sooner Poll
10/20/04-10/21/04
38.00%
2.6
36.80%
6.5
5.80%
3.8
Survey USA
10/18/04-10/20/04
47.00%
1.0
41.00%
3.0
8.00%
3.0
Rasmussen Reports
10/20/04-10/20/04
48.00%
--
43.00%
--
0.00%
--
Consumer Logic
10/14/04-10/19/04
40.00%
--
47.00%
--
0.00%
--
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)
10/15/04-10/17/04
42.00%
4.0
39.00%
1.0
4.00%
3.0
Sooner Poll
10/14/04-10/14/04
40.60%
0.8
43.30%
4.1
2.00%
--
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (R)
10/10/04-10/11/04
46.00%
--
41.00%
--
3.00%
--
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)
10/08/04-10/10/04
38.00%
3.0
40.00%
3.0
7.00%
5.0
Sooner Poll
10/07/04-10/07/04
39.80%
1.8
39.20%
4.8
0.00%
--
Survey USA
10/04/04-10/06/04
46.00%
1.0
44.00%
1.0
5.00%
1.0
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)
10/01/04-10/02/04
41.00%
2.0
43.00%
1.0
2.00%
1.0
Sooner Poll
09/29/04-09/29/04
38.00%
1.0
44.00%
4.2
0.00%
--
Basswood Research (R)
09/27/04-09/27/04
41.00%
3.0
40.00%
8.0
0.00%
--
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)
09/24/04-09/26/04
39.00%
1.0
44.00%
3.0
3.00%
1.0
Sooner Poll
09/24/04-09/24/04
37.00%
--
39.80%
--
0.00%
--
Survey USA
09/20/04-09/22/04
45.00%
2.0
45.00%
2.0
6.00%
--
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)
09/17/04-09/19/04
40.00%
3.0
41.00%
2.0
2.00%
--
Sooner Poll
09/16/04-09/16/04
35.00%
--
42.00%
--
0.00%
--
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)
09/10/04-09/12/04
37.00%
9.0
39.00%
2.0
0.00%
2.0
Westhill Consulting (D)
09/01/04-09/02/04
42.00%
--
44.00%
--
0.00%
--
Survey USA
08/16/04-08/18/04
47.00%
--
43.00%
--
0.00%
--
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)
08/15/04-08/18/04
46.00%
--
37.00%
--
2.00%
--
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (R)
08/10/04-08/12/04
47.00%
--
39.00%
--
0.00%
--
Basswood Research (R)
07/29/04-07/29/04
44.00%
--
32.00%
--
0.00%
--
Tulsa World
07/08/04-07/12/04
39.00%
--
42.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBT
Smart
AENM
Angry Russian
RTL
FREDTHOMPSON08
I
Chase McFadden
D
Virgil R. Cooper
🔗
National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB)
Citizens Against Government Waste
R
...
Club for Growth
R
KYRepublican
NPA
...
R
Barack O-blame-a
D
Ashley
D
Some say...
Indian Country Today
I
Ferriswheel
D
Brandonius Maximus
REFS
Servo
D
InspectorMorse
D
Bob
G
BR_Green
IND
Monsieur
B Mse
Ripzaw
D
PaGuy
MFL
The Oncoming Storm
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Oct 24, 2004 12:00am
Poll
Negative campaigning takes its toll on Senate race
Article
Summer Intern
Oct 22, 2004 12:00am
News
New Poll Has Coburn in Lead With Undecideds Growing
Article
Summer Intern
Sep 28, 2004 12:00am
News
Coburn proposes freeze on federal spending
Article
Tony82
Sep 26, 2004 12:00am
News
Coburn says he's done numerous sterilizations
Article
Reporting for Duty
Sep 21, 2004 12:00am
News
A Senate Race in Oklahoma Lifts the Right
Article
Tony82
Sep 20, 2004 12:00am
Statement
Dr. Coburn responds to Medicaid fraud charge
Article
Tony82
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