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ON Parliament - York Centre
RACE DETAILS
Parents
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Canada
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Ontario
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ON House of Commons
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York Centre
Office
Parliament
Honorific
Member of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
April 07, 2025 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open
April 28, 2025 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close
April 28, 2025 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start
April 29, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End
April 29, 2029 - 12:00pm
Contributor
Ralphie
Last Modified
Campari_007
April 10, 2025 05:16pm
Data Sources
Description
No boundary changes.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Liberal
Won
09/20/2021
Name
Ya'ara Saks
Votes
17,430 (47.29%)
Term
09/21/2021 - 04/28/2025
Margin
3,481 (+9.44%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
12/11/2024
04/14/2025
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Roman Baber
1
--
--
--
Ya'ara Saks
1
1
--
--
Leaning Call: Ya'ara Saks (75.00%)
Weighted Call: Roman Baber (84.88%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
03/27/2025
04/02/2025
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Cardinal Research
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
(I)
Minister
Ya'ara Saks
MPP
Roman Baber
Yusuf Sinan Ulukanligil
Party
Liberal
Conservative
New Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
Entry Date
12/01/2024
12/01/2024
03/01/2025
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
42.00%
--
40.00%
--
12.00%
--
New!
Cardinal Research
03/27/25-04/02/25
42.00%
--
40.00%
--
12.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Thomas Gregory (PPC)
Mar 20, 2025
-
Apr 09, 2025
Chris Madsen (GP)
Mar 20, 2025
-
Apr 09, 2025
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Add Your 2¢
Agree
Disagree
Laugh
Groan
Troll
Befuddled
Work Complete
Prediction
[close]
DISCUSSION