--
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
--
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
Email:
Password:
BC Parliament - Saanich—Gulf Islands
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
Canada
>
British Columbia
>
BC House of Commons
>
Saanich—Gulf Islands
Office
Parliament
Honorific
Member of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
April 07, 2025 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open
April 28, 2025 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close
April 28, 2025 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start
April 29, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End
April 29, 2029 - 12:00pm
Contributor
Ralphie
Last Modified
Campari_007
March 25, 2025 04:46pm
Data Sources
Description
Redistributed 2021 vote share:
GPC 35.77%
Con 22.65%
NDP 19.55%
Lib 18.81%
Peo 3.01%
Oth 0.22%
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Green
Won
09/20/2021
Name
Elizabeth May
Votes
24,648 (37.62%)
Term
09/21/2021 - 04/28/2025
Margin
9,873 (+15.07%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
12/09/2024
04/03/2025
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Cathie Ounsted
1
--
--
--
David Beckham
1
--
--
--
Elizabeth May
--
1
1
--
Leaning Call: Elizabeth May (71.43%)
Weighted Call: Cathie Ounsted (89.01%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
03/21/2025
03/25/2025
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
OraclePoll Research
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
(I)
Party Leader
Elizabeth May
Cathie Ounsted
David Beckham
Colin Plant
Raymon Farmere
Party
Green
Conservative
Liberal
New Democratic
People's
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
[Website]
Entry Date
01/01/2025
02/25/2025
03/01/2025
04/30/2024
03/01/2025
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
39.45%
--
26.71%
--
19.06%
--
6.09%
--
1.00%
--
New!
OraclePoll Research
03/21/25-03/25/25
41.00%
--
28.00%
--
22.00%
--
8.00%
--
1.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
I
E Pluribus Unum
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
David Wang (PPC)
Dec 01, 2024 - Mar 01, 2025
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Add Your 2¢
Agree
Disagree
Laugh
Groan
Troll
Befuddled
Work Complete
Prediction
[close]
DISCUSSION