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  US President - R Primaries
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2028 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open January 15, 2028 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Close June 04, 2028 - 05:00am Central
Term Start January 20, 2029 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2033 - 12:00pm
ContributorJason
Last ModifiedE Pluribus Unum March 30, 2025 03:05pm
Data Sources
Description Filing deadline speculative. Polls open date speculative.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/05/2024
NameDonald J. Trump Votes77,302,580 (49.80%)
Term01/20/2025 - 01/20/2029 Margin2,284,967 (+1.47%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Popular Vote 11/07/2028
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/06/2024 04/11/2025
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
JD Vance 4 ----3
Leaning Call: JD Vance (100.00%)
Weighted Call: JD Vance (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/16/2024 04/01/2025

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Vice President JD Vance Donald Trump, Jr. Gov. Ron DeSantis UN Ambassador Nikki Haley HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Secretary of State Marco A. Rubio Sen. Ted Cruz
Note: Candidates that appear in italics are speculative and have not officially announced
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $--
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Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date Speculative Speculative Speculative Speculative -- -- Speculative
MATCHUP POLLS (11 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg43.13%-- 12.38%-- 7.35%-- 4.38%-- 4.03%-- 3.85%-- 3.22%--
YouGov 
03/30/25-04/01/25
43.00% -- 11.00% -- 8.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% -- 4.00% -- 2.00% --
Echelon Insights 
03/10/25-03/13/25
46.00% 7.0 0.00% -- 7.00% 3.0 7.00% 1.0 7.00% -- 4.00% -- 5.00% 1.0
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
02/11/25-02/18/25
37.00% -- 17.00% -- 6.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Echelon Insights 
02/10/25-02/13/25
39.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 10.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 4.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
01/22/25-01/27/25
27.00% 2.0 22.00% 1.0 8.00% 1.0 2.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 3.00% 1.0 0.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
12/11/24-12/16/24
25.00% -- 21.00% -- 9.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Vivek Ramaswamy Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem Director Tulsi Gabbard Committee Chair Tim Scott Sen. Rick Scott Caucus Chair Tom Cotton Gov. Glenn Youngkin
Note: Candidates that appear in italics are speculative and have not officially announced
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--
Donate
$-- $--
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$-- $--
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Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date Speculative -- -- -- Speculative Speculative Speculative
MATCHUP POLLS (11 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg3.15%-- 2.00%-- 1.23%-- 1.00%-- 1.00%-- 1.00%-- 1.00%--
YouGov 
03/30/25-04/01/25
3.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Echelon Insights 
03/10/25-03/13/25
3.00% 2.0 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
02/11/25-02/18/25
4.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Echelon Insights 
02/10/25-02/13/25
5.00% 4.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
01/22/25-01/27/25
3.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 3.00% 1.0 1.00% 2.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0 2.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
12/11/24-12/16/24
4.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 16 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Steve Bannon (R)
Mar 19, 2025
Kari Lake (R)
Dec 27, 2024

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DISCUSSION
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
Fri, January 3, 2025 07:50:35 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Thats great insight. And I agree that Democrats are losing the working class. And losing Latinos. But why? What issues turned them?

From where I stand, Dems losing working class people had to do with a failure to address intelligently: immigration issues, crime, and economic issues. No message other than there was no immigration issue, no crime issue or no economic issues. But clearly working class voters were feel they were valid issues.

Its not that Dems say there "was no immigration issue" its that they cannot counter the GOP's lies on the issue.


Since Democrats are beholden to the same billionaire class as the GOP, they cannot actually counteract the "OFFICIAL NARRATIVE" on immigration. Nor can they do anything to address the problems at their roots, which is also a failure in liberal ideology. The GOP can't either, but they can pretend they offer a surface level solution, and with billions of dollars in propaganda; they can gladly feed that message to the populace forever.

Wanna actually solve the immigration problem, grab a shovel, cause we got some holes to fill

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 50.8295 points)
Fri, January 3, 2025 08:36:43 PM UTC0:00
BigZuck08:

I wouldn't say this place in general is unfriendly, just a few people here who like to take arguments seriously and turn them into a personal problem.

Well, there have been times people on this site who have made bold predictions and were personally attacked and then turned out to be correct. I would not point out any names, but I have seen those messages. It was 99% of times, liberals on this site who attacked conservatives making those predictions and other times they were just voicing certain point of view. The attacks conservatives on site have me made in some way more productive in doing things I consider more important than being on this site (e.g. Spending time with family, concentrating on school, and work).

Anyways, Happy New Years to everyone as I wish you all those on this site a year filled with success, happiness, and growth as I leave back to school tomorrow.



 
D:10973Patrick ( 6.5582 points)
Sat, January 4, 2025 04:30:40 AM UTC0:00
I am sorry to everyone I offended, Scott Pressler is a patriot and master strategist