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US President - R Primaries
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
U.S. Executive
>
Popular Vote
Office
President
Honorific
President - Abbr: President
Type
Republican Primary Election
Filing Deadline
January 01, 2028 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open
January 15, 2028 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Close
June 04, 2028 - 05:00am Central
Term Start
January 20, 2029 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 20, 2033 - 12:00pm
Contributor
Jason
Last Modified
E Pluribus Unum
March 30, 2025 03:05pm
Data Sources
Description
Filing deadline speculative. Polls open date speculative.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/05/2024
Name
Donald J. Trump
Votes
77,302,580 (49.80%)
Term
01/20/2025 - 01/20/2029
Margin
2,284,967 (+1.47%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Race
US President - Popular Vote 11/07/2028
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
11/06/2024
04/06/2025
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
JD Vance
4
--
--
2
Leaning Call: JD Vance (100.00%)
Weighted Call: JD Vance (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
01/16/2024
04/01/2025
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Echelon Insights
Emerson College
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
Morning Consult
YouGov
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Vice President
JD Vance
Donald Trump, Jr.
Gov.
Ron DeSantis
UN Ambassador
Nikki Haley
HHS Secretary
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.
Secretary of State
Marco A. Rubio
Sen.
Ted Cruz
Note: Candidates that appear in
italics
are speculative and have not officially announced
Party
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
Entry Date
Speculative
Speculative
Speculative
Speculative
--
--
Speculative
MATCHUP POLLS (11 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
43.13%
--
12.38%
--
7.35%
--
4.38%
--
4.03%
--
3.85%
--
3.22%
--
YouGov
03/30/25-04/01/25
43.00%
--
11.00%
--
8.00%
--
3.00%
--
2.00%
--
4.00%
--
2.00%
--
Echelon Insights
03/10/25-03/13/25
46.00%
7.0
0.00%
--
7.00%
3.0
7.00%
1.0
7.00%
--
4.00%
--
5.00%
1.0
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
02/11/25-02/18/25
37.00%
--
17.00%
--
6.00%
--
3.00%
--
0.00%
--
3.00%
--
0.00%
--
Echelon Insights
02/10/25-02/13/25
39.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
10.00%
2.0
8.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
4.00%
1.0
4.00%
1.0
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
01/22/25-01/27/25
27.00%
2.0
22.00%
1.0
8.00%
1.0
2.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
3.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
12/11/24-12/16/24
25.00%
--
21.00%
--
9.00%
--
4.00%
--
0.00%
--
2.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R
Donald Trump, Jr.
🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Vivek Ramaswamy
Secretary of Homeland Security
Kristi Noem
Director
Tulsi Gabbard
Committee Chair
Tim Scott
Sen.
Rick Scott
Caucus Chair
Tom Cotton
Gov.
Glenn Youngkin
Note: Candidates that appear in
italics
are speculative and have not officially announced
Party
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
Entry Date
Speculative
--
--
--
Speculative
Speculative
Speculative
MATCHUP POLLS (11 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
3.15%
--
2.00%
--
1.23%
--
1.00%
--
1.00%
--
1.00%
--
1.00%
--
YouGov
03/30/25-04/01/25
3.00%
--
0.00%
--
1.00%
--
1.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Echelon Insights
03/10/25-03/13/25
3.00%
2.0
2.00%
--
0.00%
--
1.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
1.00%
--
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
02/11/25-02/18/25
4.00%
--
2.00%
--
2.00%
--
0.00%
--
1.00%
--
1.00%
--
0.00%
--
Echelon Insights
02/10/25-02/13/25
5.00%
4.0
2.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
1.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
1.00%
--
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
01/22/25-01/27/25
3.00%
1.0
1.00%
--
3.00%
1.0
1.00%
2.0
0.00%
1.0
0.00%
1.0
2.00%
--
McLaughlin & Associates (R)
12/11/24-12/16/24
4.00%
--
1.00%
--
2.00%
--
3.00%
--
1.00%
--
1.00%
--
2.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 16 MORE CANDIDATES
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Steve Bannon (R)
Mar 19, 2025
Kari Lake (R)
Dec 27, 2024
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