Poll Average Details- US President - R Primaries - 2028-06-04 05:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal JD Vance JD VanceDonald Trump, Jr. JD VanceRon DeSantis JD VanceNikki Haley JD VanceRobert F. Kennedy, Jr. JD VanceMarco A. Rubio JD VanceTed Cruz JD VanceVivek Ramaswamy JD VanceKristi Noem JD VanceTulsi Gabbard JD VanceGreg Abbott JD VanceLawrence J. Hogan, Jr. JD VanceJosh Hawley JD VanceTim Scott JD VanceRick Scott JD VanceTom Cotton JD VanceSarah Huckabee Sanders JD VanceGlenn Youngkin JD VanceBrian Kemp JD VanceDonald J. Trump JD VanceMike Pompeo JD VanceMatt Gaetz JD VanceByron Donalds JD VanceElise Stefanik JD VanceDoug Burgum JD VanceTucker Carlson JD VanceCandace Owens JD VanceLara Trump JD VanceKatie Britt JD VanceChristopher Lee Smith JD Vance
YouGov4/1X 1.00000   43.0000 11.0000 8.0000 3.0000 2.0000 4.0000 2.0000 3.0000   1.0000       1.0000                                
Echelon Insights3/13X 0.68333   46.0000   7.0000 7.0000 7.0000 4.0000 5.0000 3.0000 2.0000       1.0000 1.0000     1.0000 1.0000                        
McLaughlin & Associates (R)2/18X 0.30000   37.0000 17.0000 6.0000 3.0000   3.0000   4.0000 2.0000 2.0000 1.0000 1.0000     1.0000 1.0000 1.0000                          
TOTAL 43.126050 12.384615 7.352941 4.378151 4.029703 3.848739 3.217822 3.151261 2.000000 1.230769 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000