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NB Legislative Assembly - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents
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Canada
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New Brunswick
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NB Legislative Assembly
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NB Legislative Assembly - Popular Vote
Office
Legislative Assembly
Honorific
- Abbr:
Type
Control Indicator
Filing Deadline
October 01, 2024 - 12:05pm Central
Polls Open
October 21, 2024 - 08:05am Central
Polls Close
October 21, 2024 - 06:05pm Central
Term Start
October 22, 2024 - 12:05am
Term End
October 16, 2028 - 12:00pm
Contributor
Ralphie
Last Modified
BrentinCO
October 24, 2024 06:16pm
Data Sources
[Link]
[Link]
Description
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
09/11/2024
10/21/2024
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
New Brunswick Liberal Association
3
--
--
--
Leaning Call: New Brunswick Liberal Association (100.00%)
Weighted Call: New Brunswick Liberal Association (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
07/28/2024
09/16/2024
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Mainstreet Research
Nanos Research
Narrative Research
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
New Brunswick Liberal Association
(I)
Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick
Green Party of New Brunswick
New Brunswick New Democratic Party
People's Alliance of New Brunswick
Libertarian Party
Others
Party
Liberal
Progressive Conservative
Green
New Democratic
People's Alliance
Libertarian
Independent
Campaign Logo
Uncertified
Votes
180,803 (48.24%)
131,329 (35.04%)
51,558 (13.76%)
4,865 (1.30%)
3,265 (0.87%)
1,710 (0.46%)
754 (0.20%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-49,474 (-13.20%)
-129,245 (-34.48%)
-175,938 (-46.94%)
-177,538 (-47.37%)
-179,093 (-47.78%)
-180,049 (-48.04%)
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
Entry Date
--
--
--
--
--
10/01/2024
10/01/2024
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
42.20%
--
39.34%
--
12.01%
--
2.28%
--
2.95%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Mainstreet Research
09/16/24-09/16/24
41.00%
--
39.00%
--
13.00%
--
0.00%
--
4.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Narrative Research
07/31/24-08/17/24
44.00%
--
33.00%
--
17.00%
--
4.00%
--
1.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Nanos Research
07/28/24-07/31/24
36.00%
--
36.00%
--
14.00%
--
10.00%
--
5.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Independent
Party
Independent
Campaign Logo
Uncertified
Votes
533 (0.14%)
Margin
-180,270 (-48.10%)
Predict Avg.
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
Website
Entry Date
10/01/2024
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
0.00%
--
Mainstreet Research
09/16/24-09/16/24
0.00%
--
Narrative Research
07/31/24-08/17/24
0.00%
--
Nanos Research
07/28/24-07/31/24
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Add Your 2¢
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Disagree
Laugh
Groan
Troll
Befuddled
Work Complete
Prediction
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DISCUSSION