Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource." 
Email: Password:

  Toronto Mayor - By-election
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Canada > Ontario > ON Municipalities > Toronto > Mayor
OfficeMayor
HonorificMayor - Abbr: Mayor
TypeNonpartisan By-election
Filing Deadline May 12, 2023 - 01:00pm Central
Polls Open June 26, 2023 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close June 26, 2023 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start July 12, 2023 - 11:00am
Term End November 15, 2026 - 11:00am
ContributorCampari_007
Last ModifiedCampari_007 July 12, 2023 11:33am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyNonpartisan Won10/24/2022
NameJohn Tory Votes342,158 (62.00%)
Term11/15/2022 - 02/17/2023 Margin243,633 (+44.15%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/20/2023 06/26/2023
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Olivia Chow 2 2 2 --
Leaning Call: Olivia Chow (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Olivia Chow (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/13/2023 06/25/2023

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name MP Olivia Chow City Councillor Ana Bailão Chief of Police Mark Saunders Anthony Furey City Councillor Josh Matlow MPP Mitzie Hunter Chloe-Marie Brown
PartyNonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 269,372 (37.17%) 235,175 (32.45%) 62,167 (8.58%) 35,899 (4.95%) 35,572 (4.91%) 21,229 (2.93%) 18,831 (2.60%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -34,197 (-4.72%) -207,205 (-28.59%) -233,473 (-32.22%) -233,800 (-32.26%) -248,143 (-34.24%) -250,541 (-34.57%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website]
Entry Date 04/17/2023 03/17/2023 03/20/2023 03/21/2023 03/21/2023 04/03/2023 02/22/2023
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (45 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg33.65%-- 18.60%-- 13.94%-- 9.47%-- 8.81%-- 5.58%-- 1.00%--
Mainstreet Research 
06/25/23-06/25/23		 36.00% 2.0 30.00% 5.0 9.00% 2.0 8.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 1.00% 1.0
Mainstreet Research 
06/24/23-06/24/23		 34.00% 4.0 25.00% 3.0 11.00% 1.0 10.00% 3.0 7.00% 2.0 5.00% -- 2.00% --
Forum Research 
06/23/23-06/23/23		 29.00% 3.0 20.00% 7.0 15.00% -- 11.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 5.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
06/22/23-06/23/23		 31.00% 1.0 17.00% 5.0 16.00% -- 11.00% 1.0 10.00% 3.0 6.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/21/23-06/22/23		 30.00% 6.0 22.00% 9.0 12.00% 1.0 13.00% 6.0 9.00% 3.0 5.00% 2.0 2.00% 2.0
Mainstreet Research 
06/17/23-06/19/23		 36.00% 5.0 13.00% 1.0 13.00% -- 7.00% 4.0 12.00% -- 7.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
PC 🚫Doug Ford 🔗
NDP Gurratan Singh 🔗
NDP Suze Morrison 🔗
NDP Paula Fletcher 🔗
NDP Ausma Malik 🔗
NDP Alejandra Bravo 🔗
NDP Marit Stiles 🔗
NDP Charlie Angus 🔗
NDP Cheri DiNovo 🔗
NDP Neethan Shan 🔗
NDP Maria Rizzo 🔗
NDP Chris Glover 🔗
NDP Joel Harden 🔗
NDP Amber Morley 🔗
LIB Jamaal Myers 🔗
D Campari_007
NDP Faisal Hassan 🔗
NDP Mike Layton 🔗
NDP Jessica Bell 🔗
NDP Doly Begum 🔗
NDP Peter Julian 🔗
NDP Kristyn Wong-Tam 🔗
N Gil Peñalosa 🔗
  Toronto Star
LIB Ali Ehsassi 🔗
LIB Peter Fonseca 🔗
LIB Ahmed Hussen 🔗
LIB Judy Sgro 🔗
LIB Arif Virani 🔗
LIB Jean Yip 🔗
LIB Alvin Curling 🔗
N Ceta Ramkhalawansingh 🔗
LIB Mary-Margaret McMahon 🔗
PC John Tory 🔗
PC Frances Nunziata 🔗
LIB Jennifer McKelvie 🔗
LIB Cesar Palacio 🔗
LIB Chin Lee 🔗
N Glenn De Baeremaeker 🔗
PC Vincent Crisanti 🔗
LIB Julie Dzerowicz 🔗
LIB Charles Sousa 🔗
N James Pasternak 🔗
N Nick Mantas 🔗
LIB Cristina Martins 🔗
NDP Barbara Hall 🔗
LIB Art Eggleton 🔗
LIB Gary Anandasangaree 🔗
LIB Salma Zahid 🔗
LIB James Maloney 🔗
LIB Shelley Carroll 🔗
LIB Paul Ainslie 🔗
NDP Chris Moise 🔗
PC Doug Ford 🔗
PC Stephen Holyday 🔗
PC Rob Davis 🔗
LIB Stephen LeDrew 🔗
I Conrad Black 🔗
CPC Bob Runciman 🔗
PC John Hastings 🔗
CPC Pauline Browes 🔗
PC Rob Davis 🔗
PC Gila Martow 🔗
PC Peter Shurman 🔗
CPC John Baird 🔗
D 🚫Campari_007
LIB Dennis Mills 🔗
LIB Sarmite D. "Sam" Bulte 🔗
N Jordan B. Peterson 🔗
PC Sue-Ann Levy 🔗
CPC Vernon White 🔗
PC John Snobelen 🔗
CPC Roman Baber 🔗
IND Dan McTeague 🔗
CPC Joe Oliver 🔗
I mg2685a
LIB Gerard Kennedy 🔗
LIB Greg Sorbara 🔗
LIB Rob Oliphant 🔗
LIB Carolyn Bennett 🔗
LIB Michael Coteau 🔗
NDP Cathy Crowe 🔗
N David Soknacki 🔗
N Charles Ozzoude 🔗
IND John Sewell 🔗
LIB Brad Duguid 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name City Councillor Brad Bradford Chris Saccoccia City Councillor Anthony Perruzza Xiao Hua Gong Lyall Sanders City Councillor Giorgio Mammoliti Bahira Abdulsalam
PartyNonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 9,254 (1.28%) 8,001 (1.10%) 3,025 (0.42%) 2,983 (0.41%) 2,775 (0.38%) 1,105 (0.15%) 913 (0.13%)
Margin-260,118 (-35.90%) -261,371 (-36.07%) -266,347 (-36.76%) -266,389 (-36.76%) -266,597 (-36.79%) -268,267 (-37.02%) -268,459 (-37.05%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 03/29/2023 02/18/2023 04/12/2023 05/12/2023 05/12/2023 03/15/2023 04/03/2023
MATCHUP POLLS (45 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg4.27%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Mainstreet Research 
06/25/23-06/25/23		 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/24/23-06/24/23		 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
06/23/23-06/23/23		 3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Liaison Strategies 
06/22/23-06/23/23		 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/21/23-06/22/23		 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
06/17/23-06/19/23		 3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
PC Case Ootes 🔗
CPC Scott Aitchison 🔗
VIEW 88 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Alejandra Bravo (N)
May 02, 2023 		Michael Coteau (N)
May 02, 2023 		Michael Ford (N)
May 02, 2023 		Ari Goldkind (N)
May 02, 2023 		Stephen Holyday (N)
Apr 27, 2023 		James Maloney (N)
Apr 23, 2023 		Gil Peñalosa (N)
Feb 11, 2023 - Apr 19, 2023 		Kristyn Wong-Tam (N)
Apr 19, 2023
Josh Colle (N)
Apr 02, 2023 		Bhutila Karpoche (N)
Mar 16, 2023 		Mike Layton (N)
Mar 02, 2023 		Denzil Minnan-Wong (N)
Feb 23, 2023 		Ahmed Hussen (N)
Feb 15, 2023 		Stan Cho (N)
Feb 13, 2023 		Nathaniel Erskine-Smith (N)
Feb 13, 2023 		Joe Cressy (N)
Feb 12, 2023
Doug Ford (N)
Feb 11, 2023 		Kathleen Wynne (N)
Feb 11, 2023 		Michael Clemons (N)
 00, 2023 		Jennifer Keesmaat (N)
 00, 2023 		Jennifer McKelvie (N)
 00, 2023 		Marco Mendicino (N)
 00, 2023 		Rod Phillips (N)
 00, 2023

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Mar 04, 2023 09:00am Analysis With Layton out, who is the great left hope in [Toronto] mayor's race?  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
[View All
16
Previous Messages]