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  PA US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline ---
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2031 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last Modifiedev December 05, 2024 07:32am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameBob Casey Jr. Votes2,792,437 (55.74%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2025 Margin657,589 (+13.13%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Apr 23, 2024 PA US Senate - D Primary
Bob Casey Jr.
D 1,024,545
Apr 23, 2024 PA US Senate - R Primary
David H. McCormick
R 878,320
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/24/2023 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Bob Casey Jr. 9 10 4 --
David H. McCormick 2 ------
Tossup 1 ------
Leaning Call: Bob Casey Jr. (93.18%)
Weighted Call: Bob Casey Jr. (99.78%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/27/2023 11/04/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name David H. McCormick (I) Chairman Bob Casey Jr. John Thomas Leila Hazou Marty Selker (W) Quincy Magee (W) Erik Messina
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Green Constitution Independent American Solidarity
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 3,399,295 (48.82%) 3,384,180 (48.60%) 89,653 (1.29%) 66,388 (0.95%) 23,621 (0.34%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -15,115 (-0.22%) -3,309,642 (-47.53%) -3,332,907 (-47.87%) -3,375,674 (-48.48%) -3,399,295 (-48.82%) -3,399,295 (-48.82%)
Predict Avg.45.00% 54.00% 1.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 6/30 $8,016,398.00 6/30 $8,426,069.00 $-- $-- 6/30 $1,692.62 $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website]
Entry Date 09/21/2023 04/10/2023 04/11/2024 01/01/2024 01/01/2024 01/01/2024 08/14/2024
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (96 from 38 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.42%-- 48.00%-- -0.12%-- 0.48%-- 0.78%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24		 46.50% 0.1 49.20% 0.5 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
11/01/24-11/04/24		 44.70% -- 52.90% -- 1.10% -- 0.80% -- 0.60% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
11/01/24-11/03/24		 47.40% 0.2 45.90% 0.9 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
11/01/24-11/02/24		 46.60% 0.9 48.70% 0.6 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
11/01/24-11/02/24		 47.00% -- 48.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/29/24-11/02/24		 45.00% 1.0 50.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBT Michael Rectenwald 🔗
W Arthur
I George A. D. Santos 🔗
D Peter R. Deutsch 🔗
I Elon Musk 🔗
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
PoP KeystoneProgressive
I Pennsylvanian
LBR Old LW
For Luzerne County Historian
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Ved Dookhun (W) Cory Widmann  
PartySocialist Workers Independent Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin-3,399,295 (-48.82%) -3,399,295 (-48.82%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 01/01/2024 01/01/2024  
MATCHUP POLLS (96 from 38 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%--  
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survation 
11/01/24-11/04/24		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
11/01/24-11/03/24		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
11/01/24-11/02/24		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
11/01/24-11/02/24		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/29/24-11/02/24		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/06/2024 David H. McCormick vs Bob Casey Jr. Web Only Ad Attack eng Weakness  00:00:30 data 

BOOKS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
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DISCUSSION