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  Change Research
POLLING FIRM DETAILS
Websitehttps://www.changeresearch.com
Polls Conducted358
Points547.2210
AffiliationIndependent
Last ModifiedBrentinCO November 05, 2018 09:01am
DescriptionMany of us woke up on November 9, 2016 wondering what the hell we could do. Mike Greenfield, the first data scientist at both PayPal and LinkedIn, started running his own opinion polls online to make sense of a world he didn't think he recognized. When he heard about friends doing work in the special election for U.S. House in Kansas, he ran an ad hoc poll there, finding that Democrat James Thompson was far closer than most thought possible.

The day after the election, he read in the New York Times that the Thompson campaign hadn't polled because they were trying to save money. When Mike read up on the state of polling, he was surprised by the high costs, the long turnaround time, and the lack of innovation.

He soon started working with like-minded leaders from the world of startups, data science, politics, and social change to re-imagine both the techniques and the uses of public opinion polling.

Change Research was incorporated as a Public Benefit Corporation in the summer of 2017 with the vision of democratizing access to public opinion research to create a more humane and scientific society. We do that by making polling accessible for down-ballot candidates, and by enabling deeper, more frequent dives into public opinion for bigger races. Polling for the People.

Race Polls Conducted
Race Results Polls
2028-11-07 23:00:00
US President - Popular Vote
  Democratic Primary Winner 0 0.00%
  Republican Primary Winner 0 0.00%
03/10/2025-03/10/2025 (0.00% Undecided)
  Barack Obama 49.0000 49.00  
  Donald J. Trump 42.0000 42.00  
TOTAL +0.0000
2024-11-05 22:00:00
Seattle City Council - Pos. 8 - Special Election
  Alexis Mercedes Rinck 215,642 58.24%
  Tanya Woo 153,146 41.36%
  Write-In 1,491 0.40%
10/28/2024-11/02/2024 (20.00% Undecided)
  Alexis Mercedes Rinck 52.0000 62.40  +4.16 +2.5930
  Tanya Woo 28.0000 33.60  -7.76 -1.0711
TOTAL +1.5219
2024-11-05 20:00:00
NE US Senate
  Deb Fischer 499,124 53.19%
  Dan Osborn 436,493 46.52%
  Write-In 2,719 0.29%
10/30/2024-10/31/2024 (6.00% Undecided)
  Deb Fischer 47.0000 49.82  -3.37 +2.7411
  Dan Osborn 47.0000 49.82  +3.30 +2.2873
TOTAL +5.0285
10/18/2024-10/21/2024 (6.00% Undecided)
  Dan Osborn 48.0000 50.88  +4.36
  Deb Fischer 46.0000 48.76  -4.43
10/03/2024-10/08/2024 (11.00% Undecided)
  Dan Osborn 46.0000 51.06  +4.54
  Deb Fischer 43.0000 47.73  -5.46
2024-11-05 20:00:00
NE US President
  Donald J. Trump 564,816 59.32%
  Kamala Harris 369,995 38.86%
  Chase Oliver 6,399 0.67%
  Write-In 5,023 0.53%
  Cornel West 3,062 0.32%
  Jill Stein 2,887 0.30%
10/30/2024-10/31/2024 (4.00% Undecided)
  Donald J. Trump 57.0000 59.28  -0.04 +5.4235
  Kamala Harris 39.0000 40.56  +1.70 +2.7794
TOTAL +8.2029
10/18/2024-10/21/2024 (4.00% Undecided)
  Donald J. Trump 55.0000 57.20  -2.12
  Kamala Harris 41.0000 42.64  +3.78
10/03/2024-10/08/2024 (4.00% Undecided)
  Donald J. Trump 58.0000 60.32  +1.00
  Kamala Harris 38.0000 39.52  +0.66
2024-11-05 19:00:00
MS US Senate
  Roger Wicker 761,934 62.83%
  Ty Pinkins 450,749 37.17%
09/29/2024-10/03/2024 (17.00% Undecided)
  Roger Wicker 48.0000 56.16  -6.67 +1.2653
  Ty Pinkins 35.0000 40.95  +3.78 +1.2674
TOTAL +2.5328
2024-11-05 19:00:00
MO US President
  Donald J. Trump 1,751,986 58.49%
  Kamala Harris 1,200,599 40.08%
  Chase Oliver 23,876 0.80%
  Jill Stein 17,135 0.57%
  Peter Sonski 1,069 0.04%
  Claudia De la Cruz 618 0.02%
  Shiva Ayyadurai 34 0.00%
  Future Madam Potus 10 0.00%
09/11/2024-09/13/2024 (9.00% Undecided)
  Donald J. Trump 50.0000 54.50  -3.99 +2.7264
  Kamala Harris 41.0000 44.69  +4.61 +0.9344
TOTAL +3.6608
2024-11-05 19:00:00
MO US Senate
  Josh Hawley 1,651,907 55.57%
  Lucas Kunce 1,243,728 41.84%
  W. C. Young 35,671 1.20%
  Jared Young 21,111 0.71%
  Nathan Kline 20,123 0.68%
  Gina Bufe 19 0.00%
09/11/2024-09/13/2024 (13.00% Undecided)
  Josh Hawley 46.0000 51.98  -3.59 +2.7733
  Lucas Kunce 41.0000 46.33  +4.49 +1.1449
TOTAL +3.9182
2024-11-05 19:00:00
MO Amendment 3 (Legal Abortion)
  Yes 1,538,659 51.60%
  No 1,443,022 48.40%
09/11/2024-09/13/2024 (8.00% Undecided)
  Yes 54.0000 58.32  +6.72 +0.3928
  No 38.0000 41.04  -7.36 -0.2745
TOTAL +0.1183
2024-11-05 20:00:00
NE District 2
  Don Bacon 160,198 50.93%
  Tony Vargas 154,369 49.07%
08/10/2024-08/17/2024 (9.00% Undecided)
  Tony Vargas 48.0000 52.32  +3.25 +2.5162
  Don Bacon 43.0000 46.87  -4.06 +2.1151
TOTAL +4.6313
2024-11-05 22:00:00
CA District 22
  David G. Valadao 89,484 53.42%
  Rudy Salas 78,023 46.58%
08/10/2024-08/17/2024 (18.00% Undecided)
  David G. Valadao 44.0000 51.92  -1.50 +4.0059
  Rudy Salas 38.0000 44.84  -1.74 +3.3341
TOTAL +7.3400
2024-11-05 20:00:00
NY District 17
  Michael V. Lawler 197,845 52.13%
  Mondaire Jones 173,899 45.82%
  Anthony Frascone 7,530 1.98%
  Write-In 234 0.06%
08/10/2024-08/17/2024 (19.00% Undecided)
  Michael V. Lawler 43.0000 51.17  -0.96 +4.2686
  Mondaire Jones 38.0000 45.22  -0.60 +4.0352
TOTAL +8.3038
2024-11-05 19:00:00
PA District 07
  Ryan Mackenzie 203,688 50.50%
  Susan Ellis Wild 199,626 49.50%
08/10/2024-08/17/2024 (10.00% Undecided)
  Susan Ellis Wild 47.0000 51.70  +2.20 +3.2432
  Ryan Mackenzie 43.0000 47.30  -3.20 +2.6520
TOTAL +5.8952
2024-11-05 19:00:00
PA District 17
  Chris Deluzio 242,838 53.88%
  Robert W. "Rob" Mercuri 207,900 46.12%
08/10/2024-08/17/2024 (12.00% Undecided)
  Chris Deluzio 48.0000 53.76  -0.12 +4.9636
  Robert W. "Rob" Mercuri 40.0000 44.80  -1.32 +3.5764
TOTAL +8.5400
2024-11-05 19:00:00
US President - Popular Vote
  Donald J. Trump 77,302,580 49.80%
  Kamala Harris 75,017,613 48.32%
  Jill Stein 862,049 0.56%
  Chase Oliver 650,126 0.42%
  Write-In 209,543 0.13%
  Claudia De la Cruz 166,175 0.11%
  Cornel West 82,644 0.05%
  Peter Sonski 44,000 0.03%
  Randall A. Terry 41,294 0.03%
  Shiva Ayyadurai 28,437 0.02%
  None of These Candidates 19,625 0.01%
  Richard A. Duncan 12,805 0.01%
  Joel Skousen 12,786 0.01%
  Jay Bowman 5,975 0.00%
  Chris Garrity 5,297 0.00%
  Joseph "Joe" Kishore 4,651 0.00%
  Rachele Fruit 4,118 0.00%
  Mattie Preston 2,857 0.00%
  Lucifer "Justin Case" Everylove 2,653 0.00%
  Blake Huber 2,196 0.00%
  Michael Wood 1,144 0.00%
  Vermin Supreme 921 0.00%
  Laura Ebke 859 0.00%
  William "Doc" Stodden 364 0.00%
  Robert "Robby" Wells 359 0.00%
  Paij Boring 126 0.00%
  Jesse Cuellar 98 0.00%
  Shondra Irving 65 0.00%
  Future Madam Potus 52 0.00%
  Cherunda Fox 51 0.00%
  Raymond Scollin 51 0.00%
  John Cheng 38 0.00%
  Tom Hoefling 34 0.00%
  Steve M. Johnson 33 0.00%
  Brian Kienitz 30 0.00%
  Heather Lynn Stone 30 0.00%
  Doug Jenkins 28 0.00%
  Andre’ Ramon McNeil 28 0.00%
  Ralph Jaffe 25 0.00%
  President R19 Boddie 22 0.00%
  Kathleen Richardson 22 0.00%
  Andrew O'Donnell 20 0.00%
  Dawanda Shelton 19 0.00%
  James D. Soderna 14 0.00%
  Garry Hubbard 10 0.00%
  Bill Frankel 10 0.00%
  William C. Nalbach 8 0.00%
  James Struck 8 0.00%
  Susan Buchser Lochocki 7 0.00%
  Mary "Carol" Asher 6 0.00%
  Richard B. Mayers 2 0.00%
  Dennis Schuller 1 0.00%
10/03/2024-10/09/2024 (8.00% Undecided)
  Kamala Harris 46.0000 49.68  +1.36 +3.7204
  Donald J. Trump 46.0000 49.68  -0.12 +4.6573
TOTAL +8.3777
07/22/2024-07/24/2024 (13.00% Undecided)
  Kamala Harris 44.0000 49.72  +1.40
  Donald J. Trump 43.0000 48.59  -1.21
2024-11-05 20:00:00
AZ District 06
  Juan Ciscomani 215,596 50.00%
  Kirsten Engel 204,774 47.49%
  Athena Eastwood 10,759 2.50%
  Luis Pozzolo 91 0.02%
07/09/2024-07/12/2024 (13.00% Undecided)
  Kirsten Engel 44.0000 49.72  +2.23 +3.0730
  Juan Ciscomani 43.0000 48.59  -1.41 +3.8119
TOTAL +6.8849
2024-11-05 20:00:00
NY District 04
  Laura A. Gillen 191,760 51.07%
  Anthony P. D'Esposito 183,157 48.77%
  Write-In 601 0.16%
07/09/2024-07/12/2024 (15.00% Undecided)
  Laura A. Gillen 46.0000 52.90  +1.83 +3.6069
  Anthony P. D'Esposito 39.0000 44.85  -3.92 +2.0418
TOTAL +5.6486
2025-11-04 19:00:00
Jersey City Mayor
  Mussab Ali 0 0.16%
  Frank E. Gilmore 0 0.16%
  Flash Gordon 0 0.16%
  Bill Matsikoudis 0 0.16%
  James E. "Jim" McGreevey 0 0.16%
  Angela V. McKnight 0 0.16%
  Robert J. "Rob" Menendez, Jr. 0 0.16%
  Raj Mukherji 0 0.16%
  William O'Dea 0 0.16%
  Daniel Rivera 0 0.16%
  Yousef Saleh 0 0.16%
  Bret D. Schundler 0 0.16%
  James Solomon 0 0.16%
  Jeremiah "Jerry" Walker 0 0.16%
  Joyce E. Watterman 0 0.16%
04/16/2024-04/23/2024 (9.00% Undecided)
  James E. "Jim" McGreevey 32.0000 34.88  
  William O'Dea 19.0000 20.71  
  James Solomon 16.0000 17.44  
  Joyce E. Watterman 9.0000 9.81  
  Daniel Rivera 8.0000 8.72  
  Jeremiah "Jerry" Walker 7.0000 7.63  
TOTAL +0.0000
2024-03-05 18:30:00
NC Governor - R Primary
  Mark K. Robinson 666,504 64.83%
  Dale R. Folwell 196,955 19.16%
  William "Bill" Graham 164,572 16.01%
02/15/2024-02/19/2024 (25.00% Undecided)
  Mark K. Robinson 57.0000 71.25  +6.42 +1.5845
  Dale R. Folwell 9.0000 11.25  -7.91 -2.8354
  William "Bill" Graham 9.0000 11.25  -4.76 -0.9717
TOTAL -2.2226
2024-03-05 18:30:00
NC Governor - D Primary
  Josh Stein 479,026 69.60%
  Michael R. "Mike" Morgan 98,627 14.33%
  Chrelle Booker 46,045 6.69%
  Marcus W. Williams 39,257 5.70%
  Gary Foxx 25,283 3.67%
02/15/2024-02/19/2024 (43.00% Undecided)
  Josh Stein 49.0000 70.07  +0.47 +5.9080
  Michael R. "Mike" Morgan 8.0000 11.44  -2.89 +0.1479
TOTAL +6.0559
2024-03-05 18:30:00
NC Attorney General - D Primary
  Jeff Jackson 370,666 54.83%
  Satana Deberry 223,835 33.11%
  Timothy "Tim" Dunn 81,492 12.06%
02/15/2024-02/19/2024 (48.00% Undecided)
  Jeff Jackson 38.0000 56.24  +1.41 +4.1743
  Satana Deberry 14.0000 20.72  -12.39 -4.7780
TOTAL -0.6036
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Approval Polls Conducted
Candidate Poll (Approve/Disapprove/Don't Know)
Roy Cooper
05/05/2023-05/08/2023 16.0000 42.0000 42.0000
Steuart Pittman
09/14/2022-09/18/2022 27.0000 42.0000 31.0000
JD Vance
09/02/2022-09/07/2022 29.0000 48.0000 23.0000
Lindsey Graham
12/06/2019-12/11/2019 38.0000 53.0000 9.0000
Donald J. Trump
08/07/2020-08/09/2020 46.0000 54.0000 0.0000
07/10/2020-07/12/2020 43.0000 57.0000 0.0000
05/11/2020-05/17/2020 48.0000 52.0000 0.0000
10/09/2018-10/10/2018 49.0000 49.0000 2.0000
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