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  Change Research
POLLING FIRM DETAILS
Websitehttps://www.changeresearch.com
Polls Conducted360
Points634.5324
AffiliationIndependent
Last ModifiedBrentinCO November 05, 2018 09:01am
DescriptionMany of us woke up on November 9, 2016 wondering what the hell we could do. Mike Greenfield, the first data scientist at both PayPal and LinkedIn, started running his own opinion polls online to make sense of a world he didn't think he recognized. When he heard about friends doing work in the special election for U.S. House in Kansas, he ran an ad hoc poll there, finding that Democrat James Thompson was far closer than most thought possible.

The day after the election, he read in the New York Times that the Thompson campaign hadn't polled because they were trying to save money. When Mike read up on the state of polling, he was surprised by the high costs, the long turnaround time, and the lack of innovation.

He soon started working with like-minded leaders from the world of startups, data science, politics, and social change to re-imagine both the techniques and the uses of public opinion polling.

Change Research was incorporated as a Public Benefit Corporation in the summer of 2017 with the vision of democratizing access to public opinion research to create a more humane and scientific society. We do that by making polling accessible for down-ballot candidates, and by enabling deeper, more frequent dives into public opinion for bigger races. Polling for the People.

Race Polls Conducted
Race Results Polls
2024-03-05 18:30:00
NC Governor - R Primary
  Mark K. Robinson 666,504 64.83%
  Dale R. Folwell 196,955 19.16%
  William "Bill" Graham 164,572 16.01%
02/15/2024-02/19/2024 (25.00% Undecided)
  Mark K. Robinson 57.0000 71.25  +6.42 +1.5845
  Dale R. Folwell 9.0000 11.25  -7.91 -2.8354
  William "Bill" Graham 9.0000 11.25  -4.76 -0.9717
TOTAL -2.2226
2024-03-05 18:30:00
NC Governor - D Primary
  Josh Stein 479,026 69.60%
  Michael R. "Mike" Morgan 98,627 14.33%
  Chrelle Booker 46,045 6.69%
  Marcus W. Williams 39,257 5.70%
  Gary Foxx 25,283 3.67%
02/15/2024-02/19/2024 (43.00% Undecided)
  Josh Stein 49.0000 70.07  +0.47 +5.9080
  Michael R. "Mike" Morgan 8.0000 11.44  -2.89 +0.1479
TOTAL +6.0559
2024-03-05 18:30:00
NC Attorney General - D Primary
  Jeff Jackson 370,666 54.83%
  Satana Deberry 223,835 33.11%
  Timothy "Tim" Dunn 81,492 12.06%
02/15/2024-02/19/2024 (48.00% Undecided)
  Jeff Jackson 38.0000 56.24  +1.41 +4.1743
  Satana Deberry 14.0000 20.72  -12.39 -4.7780
TOTAL -0.6036
2024-11-05 18:30:00
NC Governor
  Josh Stein 3,069,496 54.90%
  Mark K. Robinson 2,241,309 40.08%
  Mike Ross 176,392 3.15%
  Walter Vincent "Vinny" Smith 54,738 0.98%
  M. Wayne Turner 49,612 0.89%
02/15/2024-02/19/2024 (15.00% Undecided)
  Mark K. Robinson 43.0000 49.45  +9.37 -2.2378
  Josh Stein 42.0000 48.30  -6.60 +0.7203
TOTAL -1.5175
05/05/2023-05/08/2023 (11.00% Undecided)
  Mark K. Robinson 46.0000 51.06  +10.98
  Josh Stein 43.0000 47.73  -7.17
2024-11-05 18:30:00
NC State House - Popular Vote
  Democratic Party Control 2,723,032 51.20%
  Republican Party Control 2,527,117 47.51%
  Libertarian Party Control 59,996 1.13%
  Independent Control 8,056 0.15%
  Green Party Control 546 0.01%
02/15/2024-02/19/2024 (15.00% Undecided)
  Republican Party Control 44.0000 50.60  +3.09 +2.5058
  Democratic Party Control 41.0000 47.15  -4.05 +2.1419
TOTAL +4.6476
05/05/2023-05/08/2023 (15.00% Undecided)
  Democratic Party Control 43.0000 49.45  -1.75
  Republican Party Control 42.0000 48.30  +0.79
2022-11-08 19:00:00
Anne Arundel County Executive
  Steuart Pittman 115,421 53.74%
  Jessica Haire 99,004 46.09%
  Write-In 369 0.17%
09/14/2022-09/18/2022 (14.00% Undecided)
  Jessica Haire 45.0000 51.30  +5.21 +0.9853
  Steuart Pittman 41.0000 46.74  -7.00 +0.3664
TOTAL +1.3517
2022-11-08 18:30:00
OH US Senate
  JD Vance 2,192,114 53.03%
  Tim Ryan 1,939,489 46.92%
  John Cheng 702 0.02%
  Shane Hoffman 403 0.01%
  LaShondra Tinsley 362 0.01%
  Stephen Faris 194 0.00%
  Matthew R. Esh 78 0.00%
09/02/2022-09/07/2022 (11.00% Undecided)
  Tim Ryan 47.0000 52.17  +5.25 +1.0212
  JD Vance 42.0000 46.62  -6.41 +0.7010
TOTAL +1.7223
2022-11-08 18:30:00
OH Governor
  Mike DeWine 2,580,424 62.41%
  Nan Whaley 1,545,489 37.38%
  Marshall Usher 8,082 0.20%
  Timothy Grady 574 0.01%
  Renea Turner 231 0.01%
  Craig Patton 77 0.00%
09/02/2022-09/07/2022 (16.00% Undecided)
  Mike DeWine 45.0000 52.20  -10.21 -1.1237
  Nan Whaley 39.0000 45.24  +7.86 -1.4388
TOTAL -2.5625
2022-11-08 18:30:00
OH Supreme Court - Seat 2
  Patrick F. Fischer 2,330,575 56.91%
  Terri Jamison 1,764,845 43.09%
09/02/2022-09/07/2022 (18.00% Undecided)
  Patrick F. Fischer 43.0000 50.74  -6.17 +1.1568
  Terri Jamison 39.0000 46.02  +2.93 +2.2807
TOTAL +3.4375
2022-11-08 18:30:00
OH Supreme Court Justice - Seat 3
  Pat DeWine 2,306,428 56.31%
  Marilyn Zayas 1,789,384 43.69%
09/02/2022-09/07/2022 (19.00% Undecided)
  Pat DeWine 41.0000 48.79  -7.52 +0.2088
  Marilyn Zayas 40.0000 47.60  +3.91 +1.6687
TOTAL +1.8775
2022-11-08 17:00:00
IN US Senate
  Todd Young 1,090,390 58.62%
  Thomas M. "Tom" McDermott, Jr. 704,480 37.87%
  James M. Sceniak 63,823 3.43%
  Danny Niederberger 1,294 0.07%
  Haneefah Abdul-Khaaliq 148 0.01%
  David G. Storer 7 0.00%
  Phillip D. Beachy 7 0.00%
  Antonio Xavier Alvarez 3 0.00%
  Thomas Baer 2 0.00%
08/20/2022-08/24/2022 (13.00% Undecided)
  Todd Young 45.0000 50.85  -7.77 +0.2175
  Thomas M. "Tom" McDermott, Jr. 42.0000 47.46  +9.59 -2.5515
TOTAL -2.3340
2022-08-23 20:00:00
NY District 10 - D Primary
  Daniel Goldman 18,505 25.92%
  Yuh-Line Niou 16,826 23.57%
  Mondaire Jones 12,933 18.12%
  Carlina Rivera 11,810 16.54%
  Jo Anne Simon 4,389 6.15%
  Elizabeth Holtzman 3,140 4.40%
  Jimmy Li 1,170 1.64%
  Yan Xiong 742 1.04%
  Maud Maron 625 0.88%
  Brian Robinson 341 0.48%
  Pete Gleason 162 0.23%
  Quanda S. Francis 129 0.18%
  Write-In 100 0.14%
07/19/2022-07/23/2022 (31.00% Undecided)
  Daniel Goldman 14.0000 18.34  -7.58 -2.1097
  Elizabeth Holtzman 12.0000 15.72  +11.32 -6.2179
  Mondaire Jones 10.0000 13.10  -5.02 -0.9851
  Yuh-Line Niou 10.0000 13.10  -10.47 -4.2115
  Carlina Rivera 10.0000 13.10  -3.44 -0.0544
  Jo Anne Simon 10.0000 13.10  +6.95 -3.1737
  Maud Maron 2.0000 2.62  +1.74 -0.0974
  Brian Robinson 1.0000 1.31  +0.83 +0.4809
TOTAL -16.3689
2022-11-08 21:00:00
IA District 01
  Mariannette Miller-Meeks 162,947 53.36%
  Christina Bohannan 142,173 46.56%
  Write-In 260 0.09%
06/30/2022-07/04/2022 (23.00% Undecided)
  Mariannette Miller-Meeks 39.0000 47.97  -5.39 +1.4094
  Christina Bohannan 38.0000 46.74  +0.18 +4.3691
TOTAL +5.7785
2022-11-08 20:00:00
AZ US Senate
  Mark Kelly 1,322,027 51.39%
  Blake Masters 1,196,308 46.51%
  Marc Victor 53,762 2.09%
  Lester Maul 95 0.00%
  Christopher Bullock 27 0.00%
  Ty McLean 21 0.00%
  Roxanne Rodriguez 20 0.00%
  Sherrise Bordes 17 0.00%
  William Taylor 8 0.00%
  Todd Smeltzer 6 0.00%
  Edward Davida 3 0.00%
06/24/2022-06/27/2022 (13.00% Undecided)
  Mark Kelly 48.0000 54.24  +2.85 +2.9579
  Blake Masters 39.0000 44.07  -2.44 +2.8631
  Mark Kelly 47.0000 53.11  +1.72 +3.7112
  Jim Lamon 41.0000 46.33  +46.33 -29.8867
TOTAL -20.3545
2022-11-08 18:00:00
GA US Senate
  Raphael Warnock 1,946,117 49.44%
  Herschel Walker 1,908,442 48.49%
  Chase Oliver 81,365 2.07%
06/24/2022-06/27/2022 (8.00% Undecided)
  Raphael Warnock 48.0000 51.84  +2.40 +3.1117
  Herschel Walker 44.0000 47.52  -0.97 +3.9914
TOTAL +7.1031
2022-11-08 21:00:00
NV US Senate
  Catherine Cortez Masto 498,316 48.81%
  Adam Laxalt 490,388 48.04%
  None of These Candidates 12,441 1.22%
  Barry Lindemann 8,075 0.79%
  Neil Scott 6,422 0.63%
  Barry Rubinson 5,208 0.51%
06/24/2022-06/27/2022 (11.00% Undecided)
  Catherine Cortez Masto 46.0000 51.06  +2.25 +3.1636
  Adam Laxalt 43.0000 47.73  -0.31 +4.3980
TOTAL +7.5616
2022-11-08 19:00:00
NH US Senate
  Maggie Hassan 332,193 53.50%
  Donald C. Bolduc 275,928 44.43%
  Jeremy Kauffman 12,390 2.00%
  Write-In 464 0.07%
06/24/2022-06/27/2022 (11.00% Undecided)
  Maggie Hassan 49.0000 54.39  +0.89 +4.4157
  Donald C. Bolduc 40.0000 44.40  -0.03 +4.3095
TOTAL +8.7253
2022-07-19 19:00:00
MD District 04 - D Primary
  Glenn F. Ivey 42,791 51.77%
  Donna Edwards 29,114 35.22%
  Angela M. Angel 4,678 5.66%
  Tammy Allison 1,726 2.09%
  Kim A. Shelton 1,354 1.64%
  Gregory Holmes 1,024 1.24%
  James Levi Curtis, Jr. 763 0.92%
  Matthew Fogg 663 0.80%
  Robert K. McGhee 549 0.66%
06/02/2022-06/08/2022 (34.00% Undecided)
  Glenn F. Ivey 33.0000 44.22  -7.55 -0.1484
  Donna Edwards 28.0000 37.52  +2.30 +2.1086
  Angela M. Angel 4.0000 5.36  -0.30 +1.2250
  Tammy Allison 1.0000 1.34  -0.75 +0.6579
  James Levi Curtis, Jr. 0.0000 0.00  -0.92 +0.4539
  Matthew Fogg 0.0000 0.00  -0.80 +0.5254
  Gregory Holmes 0.0000 0.00  -1.24 +0.2671
  Kim A. Shelton 0.0000 0.00  -1.64 +0.0309
TOTAL +5.1203
2022-08-09 20:00:00
MN District 05 - D Primary
  Ilhan Omar 57,683 50.35%
  Don Samuels 55,217 48.20%
  Nate Schluter 671 0.59%
  A. J. Kern 519 0.45%
  Albert T. Ross 477 0.42%
05/27/2022-06/03/2022 (18.00% Undecided)
  Ilhan Omar 60.0000 70.80  +20.45 -8.8580
  Don Samuels 21.0000 24.78  -23.42 -10.9961
  Khanh Tran 1.0000 1.18  +1.18 +0.2133
TOTAL -19.6408
2022-11-08 20:00:00
NE District 02
  Don Bacon 112,663 51.33%
  Tony Vargas 106,807 48.67%
05/06/2022-05/10/2022 (19.00% Undecided)
  Tony Vargas 42.0000 49.98  +1.31 +3.7739
  Don Bacon 39.0000 46.41  -4.92 +1.5673
TOTAL +5.3412
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Approval Polls Conducted
Candidate Poll (Approve/Disapprove/Don't Know)
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