Our Campaigns Home Page

DISCUSSION
Site	About Website	1 New
Race	TX US Senate - D Primary - 3/3/2026	9 New
Race	TX District 23 - R Primary - 3/3/2026	6 New
Race	TX Attorney General - R Primary - 3/3/2026	2 New
Race	TX Agriculture Commissioner - R Primary - 3/3/2026	3 New
Race	AR State Senate 26 - R Primary - 3/3/2026	1 New
Race	Iranian Supreme Leader - 3/3/2026	3 New
Race	NC District 04 - D Primary - 3/3/2026	2 New
Race	NC State Senate 26 - R Primary - 3/3/2026	3 New
Race	TX State House 094 - R Primary - 3/3/2026	2 New
Race	NC District 11 - 11/3/2026	2 New
Race	TX District 31 - R Primary - 3/3/2026	2 New
Race	MT District 01 - R Primary - 5/26/2026	2 New
Race	NC US Senate - D Primary - 3/3/2026	3 New
Race	UK House of Commons - Popular Vote - 8/15/2029	1 New
Race	Toronto Mayor - 10/26/2026	1 New
Race	NC District 09 - D Primary - 3/3/2026	2 New
Race	TX District 02 - R Primary - 3/3/2026	2 New
Race	NC District 13 - 11/3/2026	1 New
Race	TX Attorney General - D Primary - 3/3/2026	1 New
Race	TX Railroad Commissioner - 11/3/2026	1 New
Race	TX District 09 - D Primary - 3/3/2026	2 New
Race	TX US Senate - R Primary - 3/3/2026	1 New
Race	TX US Senate - R Runoff - 5/3/2026	2 New
Race	NC District 01 - R Primary - 3/3/2026	2 New
Race	IL District 20 - 11/2/1982	2 New
Race	CA Governor - Open Primary - 6/8/2026	2 New
Race	NC District 12 - D Primary - 3/3/2026	1 New
Race	AR Secretary of State - R Primary - 3/3/2026	1 New
Race	UK Parliament - Birmingham Yardley - 7/4/2024	2 New
Race	NC District 06 - D Primary - 3/3/2026	1 New
Political Party	Socialist Workers	2 New
Candidate	Fine, Randy	2 New
Candidate	McGinnis, Brian	2 New
Candidate	Hutcherson, Josh	1 New
Candidate	Gabbard, Tulsi	3 New
Candidate	Ahmadinejad, Mahmoud	4 New
Candidate	Daines, Steve	1 New
Candidate	Khamenei, Ali	1 New
Candidate	Shaw, Richard John	1 New
User	RP	1 New
User	NCdem	2 New
User	Zackatron	1 New
State	North Carolina	1 New

MATCHUP POLLS

Senate - TX US Senate - D Primary 3/3/2026
YouGov 2/26/2026- - Likely Voters

James Talarico
53.00%
±2.0%

Jasmine Crockett
40.00%
±1.9%

Ahmad R. Hassan
0.50%
±0.3%

Governor - TX Governor - D Primary 3/3/2026
YouGov 2/26/2026- - Likely Voters

Gina Hinojosa
55.00%
±2.0%

Bobby Cole
5.00%
±0.9%

Chris Bell
4.00%
±0.8%

Patricia Abrego
2.00%
±0.6%

Angela "Angie" Villescaz
2.00%
±0.6%

Jose Navarro Balbuena
1.00%
±0.4%

Faizan Syed
1.00%
±0.4%

Zach Vance
1.00%
±0.4%

Carlton W. Hart
0.00%
±0.0%

U.S. Representative - WA District 04 - Blanket Primary 8/4/2026
Fabrizio Lee (R) 2/4/2026- - Likely Voters

John Duresky
25.00%
±4.2%

Amanda McKinney
20.00%
±3.9%

Jerrod Sessler
14.00%
±3.4%

Matt Boehnke
7.00%
±2.5%

Devin Pooré
5.00%
±2.1%

Wesley Meier
1.00%
±1.0%

Parliament - UK House of Commons - Popular Vote 8/15/2029
YouGov 3/1/2026- - Adults

Reform UK
23.00%
±1.8%

Green Party of England & Wales
21.00%
±1.8%

Labour Party
16.00%
±1.6%

Conservative Party
16.00%
±1.6%

Liberal Democrats
14.00%
±1.5%

Senate - IL US Senate - D Primary 3/17/2026
Public Policy Polling 3/2/2026- - Likely Democratic Primary Voters

Juliana Stratton
33.00%
±3.9%

Raja Krishnamoorthi
30.00%
±3.8%

Robin Kelly
11.00%
±2.6%

Mayor - Toronto Mayor 10/26/2026
Mainstreet Research 2/20/2026- - Adults

Olivia Chow
43.00%
±3.4%

John Tory
34.00%
±3.3%

Brad Bradford
17.00%
±2.6%

Anthony Furey
6.00%
±1.6%

Senate - TX US Senate - R Runoff 5/3/2026
Harper Polling 1/5/2026- - Likely Voters

Ken Paxton
22.10%
±3.3%

John Cornyn
16.80%
±3.0%

Senate - TX US Senate - R Runoff 5/3/2026
University of Houston/Texas Southern U. 1/20/2026- - Likely Voters

Ken Paxton
51.00%
±4.2%

John Cornyn
40.00%
±4.1%

Senate - TX US Senate - R Runoff 5/3/2026
JL Partners 1/31/2026- - Likely Voters

Ken Paxton
41.00%
±3.9%

John Cornyn
40.00%
±3.9%

Senate - TX US Senate - R Runoff 5/3/2026
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 2/9/2026- - Likely Voters

Ken Paxton
34.00%
±3.3%

John Cornyn
23.00%
±2.9%

Senate - TX US Senate - R Runoff 5/3/2026
Blueprint Polling 2/23/2026- - Likely Voters

Ken Paxton
49.00%
±4.1%

John Cornyn
36.00%
±3.9%

Governor - FL Governor 11/3/2026
University of North Florida 2/21/2026- - Likely Voters

Byron L. Donalds
42.00%
±3.5%

David Jolly
36.00%
±3.4%

Byron L. Donalds
42.00%
±3.5%

Jerry L. Demings
36.00%
±3.4%

Governor - NY Governor 11/3/2026
Siena Research Institute 2/23/2026- - Registered Voters

Kathy Hochul
51.00%
±3.5%

Bruce A. Blakeman
31.00%
±3.2%

Governor - AZ Governor - R Primary 8/4/2026
Noble Predictive 2/23/2026- - Registered Voters

Andy Biggs
40.00%
±4.9%

David Schweikert
19.00%
±3.9%

Governor - AZ Governor 11/3/2026
Noble Predictive 2/23/2026- - Registered Voters

Katie Hobbs
42.00%
±3.0%

Andy Biggs
37.00%
±3.0%

Katie Hobbs
44.00%
±3.0%

David Schweikert
35.00%
±2.9%

Governor - CA Governor - Open Primary 6/8/2026
Tulchin Research 1/22/2026- - Likely Voters

Steve Hilton
15.00%
±2.2%

Chad Bianco
15.00%
±2.2%

Eric M. Swalwell
14.00%
±2.2%

Katie Porter
13.00%
±2.1%

Tom Steyer
10.00%
±1.9%

Antonio Villaraigosa
7.00%
±1.6%

Xavier Becerra
5.00%
±1.4%

Betty T. Yee
2.00%
±0.9%

Tony Thurmond
1.00%
±0.6%

Ché Ahn
1.00%
±0.6%

Jon Slavet
1.00%
±0.6%

Governor - PA Governor 11/3/2026
Franklin & Marshall College 2/18/2026- - Registered Voters

Josh Shapiro
48.00%
±3.4%

Stacy Garrity
28.00%
±3.0%

Senate - IL US Senate - D Primary 3/17/2026
Change Research 3/3/2026- - Likely Democratic Primary Voters

Raja Krishnamoorthi
36.00%
±3.5%

Juliana Stratton
26.00%
±3.2%

Robin Kelly
14.00%
±2.5%

OLD MATCHUP POLLS

TX US Senate - R Runoff - CWS Research
7/9/2022-7/10/2022 - Registered Voters - ±2.2%

Ken Paxton
56.00

John Cornyn
28.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - Victory Insights
1/4/2025-1/6/2025 - Likely Voters - ±4.0%

Ken Paxton
41.60

John Cornyn
33.80

TX US Senate - R Runoff - American Opportunity Alliance
4/29/2025-5/1/2025 - Likely Voters - ±3.5%

Ken Paxton
52.00

John Cornyn
35.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - Quantus Polls and News
5/11/2025-5/13/2025 - Registered Voters - ±4.0%

Ken Paxton
52.00

John Cornyn
39.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - YouGov
5/9/2025-5/19/2025 - Likely Voters - ±4.3%

Ken Paxton
43.00

John Cornyn
34.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - UpONE Insights
5/27/2025-5/28/2025 - Likely Voters - ±4.3%

Ken Paxton
50.00

John Cornyn
28.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - Stratus Intelligence
6/6/2025-6/8/2025 - Likely Voters - ±4.0%

Ken Paxton
49.00

John Cornyn
33.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - Pulse Decision Science
6/17/2025-6/22/2025 - Likely Voters - ±3.5%

Ken Paxton
57.00

John Cornyn
38.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - Emerson College
8/11/2025-8/12/2025 - Registered Voters - ±4.4%

John Cornyn
30.00

Ken Paxton
29.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - Echelon Insights
8/21/2025-8/24/2025 - Likely Voters - ±4.3%

Ken Paxton
24.00

John Cornyn
19.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - co/efficient
8/25/2025-8/27/2025 - Likely Voters - ±4.3%

Ken Paxton
39.00

John Cornyn
36.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - University of Texas - Tyler
9/17/2025-9/24/2025 - Registered Voters - ±5.4%

John Cornyn
43.00

Ken Paxton
39.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - University of Houston/Texas Southern U.
9/19/2025-10/1/2025 - Likely Voters - ±4.1%

John Cornyn
44.00

Ken Paxton
43.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - Ragnar Research
11/13/2025-11/16/2025 - Likely Voters - ±3.6%

John Cornyn
45.00

Ken Paxton
41.00

TX US Senate - R Runoff - McLaughlin & Associates (R)
12/1/2025-12/4/2025 - Likely Voters - ±3.5%

Ken Paxton
44.00

John Cornyn
40.00

CANDIDATE BIRTHDAYS
Zhou Enlai	1898-1976	(78yrs)
Adriana Fuentes Téllez	1964	(62yrs)
Adriel Borda Chipana	1979	(47yrs)
Adrien Houngbédji	1942	(84yrs)
Aleksandar Vučić	1970	(56yrs)
Ambrose Mandvulo Dlamini	1968-2020	(52yrs)
Andres Larka	1879-1943	(64yrs)
Archie Brown	1911-1990	(79yrs)
Berkley Bedell	1921-2019	(98yrs)
Biju Patnaik	1916-1997	(81yrs)
Canaan Banana	1936-2003	(67yrs)
Carl M. Weideman	1898-1972	(74yrs)
David L. Mollett	1950	(76yrs)
Delbert L. Latta	1920-2016	(96yrs)
E. Jane Pratt	1902-1981	(79yrs)
Eva Kristin Hansen	1973	(53yrs)
Faye B. Brice	1905-1987	(82yrs)
Félix de Blochausen	1834-1915	(81yrs)
Felipe González	1942	(84yrs)
Ferdi Sabit Soyer	1952	(74yrs)
Frank L. Dershem	1865-1950	(85yrs)
George W. Prince	1854-1939	(85yrs)
Helen S. Meyner	1929-1997	(68yrs)
Henri Guillaume	1812-1877	(65yrs)
Henry Hicks	1915-1990	(75yrs)
Henry Plantagenet (Henry II)	1133-1189	(56yrs)
Irving P. Wanger	1852-1940	(88yrs)
Isadore Fields	1925-1968	(43yrs)
Isatou Njie-Saidy	1952	(74yrs)
Iustin Moisescu	1910-1986	(76yrs)
James Tobin	1918-2002	(84yrs)
Jan Ruml	1953	(73yrs)
João Lourenço	1954	(72yrs)
John A. Kitzhaber	1947	(79yrs)
John M. Reynolds	1848-1933	(85yrs)
Johnnie Wamsley II	1988	(38yrs)
Joseph Capser	1832-1919	(87yrs)
Joseph Ghougassian	1944	(82yrs)
Juan José Torres	1920-1976	(56yrs)
Juwono Sudarsono	1942	(84yrs)
Lewis E. Harris	1904-1997	(93yrs)
Louis-Alexandre Taschereau	1867-1952	(85yrs)
Lucette Michaux-Chevry	1929-2021	(92yrs)
Mary Lou Kearns	1944	(82yrs)
Mary Rose Oakar	1940-2025	(85yrs)
May-ling Soong	1898-2003	(105yrs)
Mayor McCheese	1937-2004	(67yrs)
Mehmed Emin Âli Paşa	1815-1871	(56yrs)
Michael W. Ash	1789-1858	(69yrs)
Miklós Villányi	1931	(95yrs)
Nathaniel Alexander	1756-1808	(52yrs)
Nurham O. Warwick	1940-2020	(80yrs)
Olusegun Obasanjo	1937	(89yrs)
Panagis Tsaldaris	1868-1936	(68yrs)
Paul Vergès	1925-2016	(91yrs)
Phillip A. Bennett	1881-1942	(61yrs)
Prynce Hopkins	1885-1970	(85yrs)
Raymond P. Shafer	1917-2006	(89yrs)
Rosa Luxemburg	1871-1919	(48yrs)
Samvel Babayan	1965	(61yrs)
Sebastian Leslie	1954	(72yrs)
Sutan Sjahrir	1909-1966	(57yrs)
T. Timothy "Tim" Holden	1957	(69yrs)
Taher Masri	1942	(84yrs)
Tiago Mayan Gonçalves	1977	(49yrs)
Todd Platts	1962	(64yrs)
Vazgen Sargsyan	1959-1999	(40yrs)
Walter Kasper	1933	(93yrs)
Werner Fasslabend	1944	(82yrs)
William Beveridge	1879-1963	(84yrs)
William J. Green, Jr.	1910-1963	(53yrs)
William S. Archer	1789-1855	(66yrs)
Wolfgang Larrazábal	1911-2003	(92yrs)

LEANING PREDICTIONS
Campari_007	MT District 01 - 11/3/2026	Slight	D	Democratic Primary Winner
CA Pol Junkie	NC US Senate - D Primary - 3/3/2026	Safe	D	Roy Cooper
Wnettles03	MT District 01 - 11/3/2026	Slight	R	Republican Primary Winner
NCdem	GA District 13 - D Primary - 5/19/2026	Slight	D	David A. Scott
Wnettles03	TX US Senate - D Primary - 3/3/2026	Slight	D	Jasmine Crockett
Luzerne County Historian	GA District 14 - 11/3/2026	Safe	R	Republican Primary Winner
Luzerne County Historian	AZ Governor - D Primary - 8/4/2026	Safe	D	Katie Hobbs
Charlotte KAP	TX US Senate - D Primary - 3/3/2026	Slight	D	James Talarico
E Pluribus Unum	TX District 30 - D Primary - 3/3/2026	Strong	D	Frederick Douglass Haynes III
Charlotte KAP	TX Attorney General - R Primary - 3/3/2026	Lean	R	Chip Roy
Charlotte KAP	TX US Senate - R Primary - 3/3/2026	Slight	R	Ken Paxton
NCdem	GA District 02 - D Primary - 5/19/2026	Safe	D	Sanford D. Bishop Jr.
NCdem	GA District 14 - D Primary - 5/19/2026	Safe	D	Shawn A. Harris
NCdem	IL Attorney General - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Kwame Raoul
NCdem	Cook County Treasurer - 11/3/2026	Safe	D	Maria Pappas
NCdem	IL Treasurer - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Michael Frerichs
NCdem	IL District 02 - R Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	R	Mike Noake
NCdem	IL District 03 - R Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	R	Angel Oakley
NCdem	IL District 04 - WC Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	WCF	Ed Hershey
NCdem	IL District 04 - R Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	R	Lupe Castillo
NCdem	IL District 10 - R Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	R	Carl Lambrecht
NCdem	IL District 12 - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Julie Fortier
NCdem	IL District 16 - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Paul Nolley
Zackatron	Prince William County, VA Board of Supervisors - Woodbridge District - Special Election - 3/10/2026	Safe	D	Muhammed "Sef" Casim
Zackatron	WA District 04 - Blanket Primary - 8/4/2026	Slight	R	Amanda McKinney
Jason	WA District 04 - Blanket Primary - 8/4/2026	Slight	R	Amanda McKinney
Jason	IL District 10 - R Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	R	Carl Lambrecht
Jason	IL District 12 - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Julie Fortier
Jason	IL District 16 - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Paul Nolley
Jason	IL Treasurer - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Michael Frerichs
Jason	GA District 02 - D Primary - 5/19/2026	Slight	D	Sanford D. Bishop Jr.
Jason	GA District 14 - D Primary - 5/19/2026	Safe	D	Shawn A. Harris
Jason	AZ Secretary of State - D Primary - 8/4/2026	Safe	D	Adrian Fontes
Jason	AZ Attorney General - D Primary - 8/4/2026	Safe	D	Kris Mayes
Jason	AZ Superintendent of Public Instruction - R Primary - 8/4/2026	Slight	R	Kimberly Yee
Jason	IL District 02 - R Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	R	Mike Noake
Jason	IL District 03 - R Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	R	Angel Oakley
Jason	IL District 03 - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Delia C. Ramirez
Jason	IL District 15 - R Primary - 3/17/2026	Slight	R	Mary Miller
Jason	IL District 17 - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Eric Sorensen
Jason	IL District 16 - R Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	R	Darin LaHood
Jason	IL District 14 - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Lauren Underwood
Jason	IL District 13 - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Slight	D	Nikki Budzinski
Jason	IL District 12 - R Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	R	Mike Bost
Jason	IL District 11 - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Bill Foster
Jason	IL District 06 - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Slight	D	Sean Casten
Jason	IL District 05 - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Slight	D	Mike Quigley
Jason	IL District 01 - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Jonathan L. Jackson
Jason	IL Secretary of State - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Safe	D	Alexander "Alexi" Giannoulias
Jason	Cook County Board President - D Primary - 3/17/2026	Slight	D	Toni Preckwinkle