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  PA US President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > President
Parent RaceUS President - Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline ---
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRP May 08, 2024 02:06pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJoe Biden Votes3,458,229 (50.01%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin80,555 (+1.16%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 02, 2024 PA US President - LBT Straw Poll
Mike ter Maat
LBT 93
Apr 23, 2024 PA US President - D Primary
Joe Biden
D 1,021,860
Apr 23, 2024 PA US President - R Primary
Donald J. Trump
R 951,925
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
07/26/2022 05/10/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Democratic Primary Winner 7 1 ----
Republican Primary Winner 3 ------
Joe Biden 5 1 1 --
Tossup --------
Leaning Call: Joe Biden (45.45%)
Weighted Call: Democratic Primary Winner (93.84%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

07/19/2022 04/30/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Republican Primary Winner Democratic Primary Winner Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Councilor Jill Stein Chase Oliver Cornel West  
Note: Candidates that appear in italics are speculative and have not officially announced
PartyRepublican Democratic Independent Green Libertarian Independent  
Campaign Logo  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--
Donate 		$-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- --  
MATCHUP POLLS (28 from 14 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg44.46%-- 42.90%-- 10.24%-- 5.00%-- 0.92%-- 0.00%--  
New!Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research 
04/24/24-04/30/24		 Donald J. Trump - 49.00% -- Joe Biden - 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 46.00% -- Joe Biden - 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 5.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
04/25/24-04/29/24		 Donald J. Trump - 47.00% -- Joe Biden - 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 45.00% -- Joe Biden - 41.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
04/19/24-04/25/24		 Donald J. Trump - 50.00% -- Joe Biden - 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
New!Muhlenberg College 
04/15/24-04/25/24		 Donald J. Trump - 44.00% -- Joe Biden - 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 35.00% -- Joe Biden - 35.00% -- 18.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
04/11/24-04/16/24		 Donald J. Trump - 48.00% -- Joe Biden - 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 44.00% -- Joe Biden - 42.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
04/08/24-04/15/24		 Donald J. Trump - 47.00% -- Joe Biden - 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
03/20/24-03/31/24		 Donald J. Trump - 38.00% -- Joe Biden - 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 40.00% -- Joe Biden - 42.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
03/08/24-03/15/24		 Donald J. Trump - 45.00% -- Joe Biden - 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
03/10/24-03/13/24		 Donald J. Trump - 47.00% -- Joe Biden - 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 44.00% -- Joe Biden - 40.00% -- 5.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
03/07/24-03/11/24		 Donald J. Trump - 49.00% -- Joe Biden - 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 42.00% -- Joe Biden - 42.00% -- 9.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
02/27/24-03/07/24		 Donald J. Trump - 45.00% -- Joe Biden - 50.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Axis Research 
02/25/24-02/27/24		 Donald J. Trump - 39.00% -- Joe Biden - 40.00% -- 8.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% --
Nikki Haley - 19.00% -- Joe Biden - 39.00% -- 13.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
02/14/24-02/16/24		 Donald J. Trump - 45.00% -- Joe Biden - 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 37.00% -- Joe Biden - 42.00% -- 8.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 49.00% -- Kamala Harris - 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 48.00% -- Gavin Newsom - 33.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
01/17/24-01/28/24		 Donald J. Trump - 42.00% -- Joe Biden - 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 37.00% -- Joe Biden - 42.00% -- 8.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 
01/22/24-01/25/24		 Donald J. Trump - 48.00% -- Joe Biden - 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
01/15/24-01/21/24		 Donald J. Trump - 39.00% -- Joe Biden - 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/04/24-01/08/24		 Donald J. Trump - 46.00% -- Joe Biden - 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 39.00% -- Joe Biden - 41.00% -- 11.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
11/20/23-12/13/23		 Donald J. Trump - 41.00% -- Joe Biden - 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ron DeSantis - 39.00% -- Joe Biden - 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Nikki Haley - 37.00% -- Joe Biden - 33.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Donald J. Trump - 37.00% -- Joshua "Josh" Shapiro - 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/22/23-11/03/23		 Donald J. Trump - 48.00% -- Joe Biden - 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/05/23-10/10/23		 Donald J. Trump - 46.00% -- Joe Biden - 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/01/23-10/04/23		 Donald J. Trump - 45.00% -- Joe Biden - 36.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/28/23-10/02/23		 Donald J. Trump - 47.00% -- Joe Biden - 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
09/25/23-09/26/23		 Donald J. Trump - 45.00% -- Joe Biden - 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
08/09/23-08/20/23		 Donald J. Trump - 40.00% -- Joe Biden - 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
06/22/23-06/26/23		 Donald J. Trump - 47.00% -- Joe Biden - 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
05/05/23-05/08/23		 Ron DeSantis - 39.00% -- Joe Biden - 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ron DeSantis - 38.00% -- Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. - 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
09/23/22-09/26/22		 Donald J. Trump - 46.00% -- Joe Biden - 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Blueprint Polling 
07/19/22-07/21/22		 Donald J. Trump - 41.00% -- Joe Biden - 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
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