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  FL US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline May 07, 2004 - 11:00am Central
Polls Open August 31, 2004 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close August 31, 2004 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2005 - 11:00am
Term End January 03, 2011 - 11:00am
ContributorWishful Thinking
Last ModifiedBarack O-blame-a December 26, 2006 03:54am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/1998
NameBob Graham Votes2,436,407 (62.47%)
Term01/03/1999 - 01/03/2005 Margin972,652 (+24.94%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2004
NameMel Martinez Votes3,672,864 (49.43%)
Term01/03/2005 - 09/09/2009 Margin82,663 (+1.11%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFL US Senate 11/02/2004
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/22/2003 08/31/2004
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Mel Martinez 10 8 4 1
William "Bill" McCollum, Jr. 22 2 ----
Johnnie B. Byrd, Jr. 2 ------
Leaning Call: Mel Martinez (60.00%)
Weighted Call: Mel Martinez (99.25%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/03/2003 08/29/2004

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name HUD Secretary Mel Martinez Rep. William "Bill" McCollum, Jr. Doug Gallagher St. Rep. Johnnie B. Byrd, Jr. Karen Saull Sonya L. March Larry Klayman
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 522,994 (44.86%) 360,474 (30.92%) 158,360 (13.58%) 68,982 (5.92%) 20,365 (1.75%) 17,804 (1.53%) 13,257 (1.14%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -162,520 (-13.94%) -364,634 (-31.27%) -454,012 (-38.94%) -502,629 (-43.11%) -505,190 (-43.33%) -509,737 (-43.72%)
Predict Avg.31.17% 26.83% 9.26% 6.83% 0.00% 0.38% 1.41%
Cash On Hand 8/11 $2,348,125.00 8/11 $1,721,689.00 8/11 $1,493,725.00 8/11 $528,783.00 6/30 $8,828.00 8/11 $5,297.00 8/11 $184,946.00
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 01/05/2004 08/12/2003 05/06/2004 03/02/2004 05/05/2004 01/02/2004 09/17/2003
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (20 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg28.52%-- 31.51%-- 9.16%-- 5.67%-- 1.52%-- 1.00%-- 2.00%--
Insider Advantage 
08/27/04-08/29/04		 32.00% -- 31.00% -- 9.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R) 
08/22/04-08/25/04		 30.00% -- 32.00% -- 7.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
08/24/04-08/25/04		 25.00% 11.0 29.00% 10.0 8.00% 3.0 6.00% 2.0 1.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Research 2000 
08/23/04-08/25/04		 31.00% -- 35.00% -- 12.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
08/23/04-08/24/04		 33.00% -- 27.00% -- 12.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% --
Unknown (R) 
08/18/04-08/18/04		 18.20% -- 34.60% -- 4.60% -- 5.20% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  NewsMax
R KYRepublican
  South Florida Sun-Sentinel
R SirWalter
  US Chamber of Commerce
R George F. Allen 🔗
D Charlie Crist 🔗
R Barack O-blame-a
R Tillie K. Fowler
R SC-Conservative
R Ileana Ros-Lehtinen 🔗
R Mark Foley
R NoMoreBS
R Tony82
R Thibo
PRB Mr. Techno
R GOP pubfin
IAP SC-Conservative
R John Sununu
R Mike DeWine
R Larry E. Craig
  Tampa Bay Times
R Daniel Webster
I Wishful Thinking
R PragCon 3.0
  Tampa Tribune
R Robert C. "Bob" Smith 🔗
I Chase McFadden
FWP CBlock941
NPA ...
R Lincoln Díaz-Balart
R Connie Mack IV 🔗
R Mario Diaz-Balart
D Nats In First!
R Scott Ellis
R John Ostalkiewicz
R Gustavo A. Barreiro 🔗
  Club for Growth
R Dennis K. Baxley 🔗
R Rob Brodner
R Alan L. Keyes
R Roy Moore
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name William Billy Kogut  
PartyRepublican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 3,695 (0.32%)  
Margin-519,299 (-44.54%)  
Predict Avg.0.00%  
Cash On Hand $--  
Website  
Entry Date 04/06/2004  
MATCHUP POLLS (20 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg1.00%--  
Insider Advantage 
08/27/04-08/29/04		 0.00% --
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R) 
08/22/04-08/25/04		 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
08/24/04-08/25/04		 0.00% 1.0
Research 2000 
08/23/04-08/25/04		 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
08/23/04-08/24/04		 0.00% --
Unknown (R) 
08/18/04-08/18/04		 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  


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NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 30, 2004 12:00am News Fla. Paper Withdraws Senate Endorsement  Article Ex-New Jerseyan 
Aug 29, 2004 12:00am Poll Martinez Surging  Article Qbanito 
Aug 29, 2004 12:00am News Martinez pulls plug on attack ad  Article Qbanito 
Aug 27, 2004 12:00am News Polls show Republican candidates for U.S. Senate race are neck and neck  Article Qbanito 
Aug 27, 2004 12:00am News Polls unclear on front-runner in Florida race  Article ArmyDem 
Aug 26, 2004 12:00am News Mack accuses Martinez of 'mean-spirited' attack  Article Qbanito 
Aug 26, 2004 12:00am Poll [FL] Poll shows Martinez leading GOP race  Article Scott³ 
Aug 23, 2004 12:00am Analysis A Republican question of electability [FL US Senate]  Article CBlock941 
Aug 19, 2004 12:00am News McCollum, Martinez spar over polls  Article Qbanito 
Jul 29, 2004 12:00am News Senate hopefuls' sniping persists  Article 737 
Jul 12, 2004 12:00am Press Release United States Republican Senate Primary [in FL] Narrows to a Three-Way Race  Article Wishful Thinking 
Jul 02, 2004 12:00am Amusing Gennifer Flowers joins [FL] Senate candidate on tour  Article RP 
Jun 30, 2004 12:00am News GOP Senate hopeful [Karen Saull] launches TV ad in first public exposure  Article Qbanito 
Jun 23, 2004 12:00am News Money-raising law confuses campaigns  Article Qbanito 
Jun 21, 2004 12:00am News Republicans court the faithful  Article Qbanito 
Jun 18, 2004 12:00am General Rich candidates up ante in [FL] Senate race  Article CBlock941 
Jun 07, 2004 12:00am Endorsement Senator To Endorse Martinez  Article Wishful Thinking 
May 11, 2004 12:00am General Byrd loses support of Jupiter [Florida House] lawmaker  Article CBlock941 
May 01, 2004 12:00am News Legislator [Webster] may back out of U.S. Senate bid  Article Qbanito 
Apr 28, 2004 12:00am News Fla.'s [Bob]Smith Endorses [Bill]McCollum for Senate  Article User 490 
Apr 27, 2004 12:00am News Washington group files complaint over contributions to Martinez  Article User 13 
Apr 19, 2004 12:00am News Tax crusader's wife launches surprise GOP Senate bid in Florida  Article Gerald Farinas 
Apr 17, 2004 12:00am News Head of GOP Senate committee says Florida could be two man race  Article Gerald Farinas 
Apr 16, 2004 12:00am News Former New Hampshire Sen. Smith ends bid for Florida seat  Article Qbanito 
Apr 15, 2004 12:00am News Election 2004: Republican Senate candidates differ on experience, not views  Article Qbanito 
Apr 13, 2004 12:00am News Webster falls short on signatures drive for ballot  Article Qbanito 
Apr 09, 2004 12:00am News Some believe Byrd's US senate candidate mixes politics with policy (FL)  Article SC-Conservative 
Apr 08, 2004 12:00am News (Bob) Smith reconsiders Senate bid  Article SC-Conservative 
Apr 02, 2004 12:00am News [FL Senate] Candidate puts $1.2 million in bid  Article JR725 
Apr 01, 2004 12:00am News Martinez leads '04 cash race  Article Qbanito 
Mar 30, 2004 12:00am News Ad takes swipe at Martinez  Article Qbanito 
Feb 22, 2004 12:00am News U.S. Senate candidate Webster seeks 93,000 signatures to get on ballot  Article Qbanito 
Feb 20, 2004 12:00am News Todd says no to run for [FL US] Senate  Article Qbanito 
Feb 17, 2004 12:00am News Doug Gallagher enters U.S. Senate race  Article Qbanito 
Feb 11, 2004 12:00am News McCollum lashes at Martinez in video  Article Qbanito 
Feb 10, 2004 12:00am News Republican heavy hitters to help Martinez  Article Qbanito 
Jan 29, 2004 12:00am News Former campaign official sues Klayman, claiming slander  Article Qbanito 
Jan 28, 2004 12:00am News Fowler to endorse Martinez  Article Qbanito 
Jan 26, 2004 12:00am News In Fla. senate race, conservatism name of game  Article Qbanito 
Jan 16, 2004 12:00am News Source: Rep. Harris Won't Run for Senate  Article User 13 
Jan 15, 2004 12:00am News Harris to announce decision for U.S. Senate on Friday  Article Qbanito 
Jan 14, 2004 12:00am News Foley to endorse Mel Martinez for Senate  Article Qbanito 
Jan 14, 2004 12:00am News As Katherine Harris eyes Senate, GOP may see trouble  Article ArmyDem 
Jan 13, 2004 12:00am News He's Unfazed By Possibility Of Harris Run, Martinez Says  Article Qbanito 
Jan 12, 2004 12:00am News Bid for Senate by Harris would create a frenzy  Article New York Democrat 
Jan 07, 2004 12:00am News McCollum nears $2 million, Byrd close behind in Senate race money  Article Qbanito 
Jan 07, 2004 12:00am News Katherine Harris Planning US Senate Bid  Article Stephen Yellin 
Jan 05, 2004 12:00am News Ex-HUD Chief Files for Fla. Senate Race  Article Qbanito 
Jan 05, 2004 12:00am News Ex-HUD Chief Filing for Fla. Senate Seat  Article New York Democrat 
Dec 17, 2003 12:00am News Bob Smith Enters Florida Senate Race  Article Stephen Yellin 
Dec 05, 2003 12:00am News Mel Martinez to run for U.S. Senate  Article Not in Public Domain 
Nov 26, 2003 12:00am News Crist tops Senate poll; not in race  Article Qbanito 
Nov 20, 2003 12:00am News Ex-senator from N.H. eyes race in Florida  Article Qbanito 
Nov 18, 2003 12:00am News Harris defends bid for Senate  Article karin1492 
Nov 13, 2003 12:00am News HUD chief may jump into the race for Senate  Article Qbanito 
Nov 08, 2003 12:00am News Katherine Harris to decide on Senate bid  Article Tony82 
Nov 07, 2003 12:00am News Rep. Katherine Harris weighs run for Senate  Article Qbanito 
Oct 19, 2003 12:00am News Byrd kicks off U.S. Senate run  Article Qbanito 
Oct 14, 2003 12:00am Speculative Sarasota auto dealer may join Senate race  Article eddy 9_99 
Oct 11, 2003 12:00am News GOP eyes Graham's return to Senate race  Article Qbanito 
Oct 08, 2003 12:00am News Rep. Weldon ends U.S. Senate bid  Article Qbanito 
Sep 30, 2003 12:00am News McCollum formally launches second campaign for U.S. Senate  Article Qbanito 
Sep 26, 2003 12:00am News Residency Of Senate Candidate Questioned  Article eddy 9_99 
Sep 24, 2003 12:00am News Watchdog joins crowded Senate field  Article Qbanito 
Sep 24, 2003 12:00am News Millionaire might join race for Graham's Senate seat  Article eddy 9_99 
Sep 04, 2003 12:00am News Rep. Foley Reportedly to Drop Senate Bid  Article PaGuy 
Aug 20, 2003 12:00am General Senate GOP primary seems to be moving to right  Article Ced 
Aug 17, 2003 12:00am News Veteran GOP legislator to join crowded race for U.S. Senate  Article eddy 9_99 
Jul 28, 2003 12:00am Analysis U.S. Senate race heats up among Florida GOP candidates  Article eddy 9_99 
Jul 27, 2003 12:00am News Speaker strides into big arena  Article eddy 9_99 
Jul 26, 2003 12:00am News Bush Advisers Hired For Byrd Senate Bid  Article Wishful Thinking 
Jul 25, 2003 12:00am General Florida House speaker comes to Boca in U.S. Senate campaign  Article eddy 9_99 
Jul 21, 2003 12:00am Commentary Outspoken Republican May Run for US Senate  Article Stephen Yellin 
Jul 16, 2003 12:00am News Weldon "encouraged" by prospective Senate campaign  Article eddy 9_99 
Jul 11, 2003 12:00am News Speaker may be looking at Senate run  Article eddy 9_99 
Jul 08, 2003 12:00am News GOP Congressman Sets Sights on Graham in Fla.  Article None Entered 
Jun 29, 2003 12:00am News Webster totes deep thoughts on D.C. trip  Article eddy 9_99 
Jun 19, 2003 12:00am News Pinellas commissioner considers Senate bid  Article eddy 9_99 
Jun 18, 2003 12:00am News Mel Martínez rules out U.S. Senate bid  Article eddy 9_99 
Jun 01, 2003 01:52pm Analysis Katherine the Cursed Could Have Senate Power  Article Nats In First! 
May 08, 2003 01:51pm News Despite criticism, Bush 'glad' he jetted to aircraft carrier  Article User 13 
May 08, 2003 12:40pm News With his voting record at issue, why won't U.S. Congressman Mark Foley just say that he's gay?  Article Not in Public Domain 
May 08, 2003 12:26pm News Weldon ponders run for Graham's Senate seat  Article Mr. Techno 
Apr 25, 2003 09:29am News Harris doesn't rule out Senate bid; White House doesn't trust Foley/McCollum  Article Stephen Yellin 
Apr 02, 2003 11:47pm General Foley leading McCollum by $2 million  Article eddy 9_99 
Mar 11, 2003 04:27pm General White House wants Mel Martinez to run for US Senate  Article eddy 9_99 
Feb 14, 2003 08:05pm General McCollum gets boost from Connie Mack  Article RP 

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