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MD US Senate - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Maryland
>
Senate Class I
Office
Senate
Honorific
Senator - Abbr: Sen.
Type
Democratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline
February 09, 2024 - 08:00pm Central
Polls Open
May 14, 2024 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close
May 14, 2024 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2031 - 12:00pm
Contributor
RP
Last Modified
BrentinCO
February 12, 2024 12:43pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/06/2018
Name
Benjamin L. Cardin
Votes
1,491,614 (64.86%)
Term
01/03/2019 - 01/03/2025
Margin
794,597 (+34.55%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Race
MD US Senate 11/05/2024
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
05/01/2023
05/14/2024
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Angela Alsobrooks
8
1
--
--
David Trone
4
1
1
--
Leaning Call: Angela Alsobrooks (52.63%)
Weighted Call: Angela Alsobrooks (72.51%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
11/09/2023
05/08/2024
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Blended Public Affairs
Emerson College
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
Goucher College
Hickman Research
OpinionWorks
University of Maryland
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Rep.
David Trone
County Executive
Angela Alsobrooks
Joseph Perez
Robert K. Houton
Scottie J. Griffin
Marcellus Crews
Steven Henry Seuferer
Party
Democratic
Democratic
Democratic
Democratic
Democratic
Democratic
Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
6/30 $5,262,901.00
6/30 $1,334,318.50
$--
$--
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Website
[Website]
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
Entry Date
05/04/2023
05/09/2023
02/08/2024
01/24/2024
12/15/2023
09/26/2023
03/08/2023
MATCHUP POLLS (9 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
41.91%
--
35.94%
--
0.93%
--
0.93%
--
0.93%
--
0.93%
--
0.00%
--
Emerson College
05/06/24-05/08/24
41.00%
--
42.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
04/08/24-04/10/24
43.00%
--
40.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
OpinionWorks
04/07/24-04/10/24
48.00%
--
29.00%
--
2.00%
--
2.00%
--
2.00%
--
2.00%
--
0.00%
--
Goucher College
03/19/24-03/24/24
42.00%
--
33.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
University of Maryland
03/05/24-03/12/24
34.00%
--
27.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Emerson College
02/12/24-02/12/24
32.00%
--
17.00%
--
4.00%
--
2.00%
--
1.00%
--
1.00%
--
3.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D
Anthony G. Brown
🔗
International Association of Sheet Metal, Air & Rail Transportation Workers (SMART)
International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental & Reinforcing Iron Workers
International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
International Association of Firefighters
D
Vicente Gonzalez
🔗
D
Veronica Escobar
🔗
D
Tim Ryan
🔗
D
Ted W. Lieu
🔗
D
Sylvia R. Garcia
🔗
D
Steve Cohen
🔗
D
Stephen F. Lynch
🔗
D
Scott Peters
🔗
D
Salud Carbajal
🔗
D
Ronald P. "Ron" Klink
🔗
D
Raúl Ruiz
🔗
D
Patrick J. Murphy
🔗
D
Patrick K. "Pat" Ryan
🔗
D
Morgan McGarvey
🔗
D
Mike Thompson
🔗
D
Marcy Kaptur
🔗
D
Lou Correa
🔗
D
Lori Loureiro Trahan
🔗
D
Kathy Manning
🔗
D
Juan C. Vargas
🔗
D
Jimmy Panetta
🔗
D
Jim Costa
🔗
D
Haley Stevens
🔗
D
Greg Stanton
🔗
D
Grace Napolitano
🔗
D
Eric Sorensen
🔗
D
Earl Blumenauer
🔗
D
Donald M. Payne, Jr.
🔗
D
Donald Norcross
🔗
D
Dina Titus
🔗
D
Derek Kilmer
🔗
D
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
🔗
D
Dean Phillips
🔗
D
Darren M. Soto
🔗
D
Daniel T. "Dan" Kildee
🔗
D
Christopher Pappas
🔗
D
Chris Deluzio
🔗
D
Cheri Bustos
🔗
D
Brian Higgins
🔗
D
Brad Schneider
🔗
N
Yamil Hernández
🔗
N
Tiara Burnett
🔗
D
Susan R. Hoffmann
🔗
D
Ryan Spiegel
🔗
D
Ronald N. Young
🔗
D
Rocio Treminio-Lopez
🔗
D
Robert T. Wu
🔗
D
Renee Knapp
🔗
N
Neil H. Harris
🔗
D
Natalie Ziegler
🔗
D
Nancy J. King
🔗
D
Mike Rogers
🔗
D
Michael O'Connor
🔗
N
Matthew J. Schindler
🔗
D
M. C. Keegan-Ayer
🔗
D
Linda K. Foley
🔗
D
Lily Qi
🔗
D
Lesley J. Lopez
🔗
D
Kris Fair
🔗
D
Ken Kerr
🔗
D
Katherine A. Klausmeier
🔗
D
Karen Lewis Young
🔗
N
Jud Ashman
🔗
N
Jim McNulty
🔗
D
Jill P. Carter
🔗
D
Jessica Fitzwater
🔗
D
Jerry Donald
🔗
D
Jan H. Gardner
🔗
D
Isaac "Yitzy" Schleifer
🔗
D
Harry "H. B." Bhandari
🔗
D
Geoffrey Grammer
🔗
D
Gary Simmons
🔗
D
David Fraser-Hidalgo
🔗
D
Chao Wu
🔗
D
Brooke Grossman
🔗
D
Briana Urbina
🔗
D
Brian J. Feldman
🔗
D
Brad W. Young
🔗
D
Joe Vogel
🔗
D
Pete Aguilar
🔗
D
Katherine M. Clark
🔗
D
Hakeem Jeffries
🔗
D
C. A. "Dutch" Ruppersberger
🔗
D
Frank J. Mrvan
🔗
D
Ed Case
🔗
D
Mike Levin
🔗
D
Frank Pallone, Jr.
🔗
D
John Garamendi
🔗
D
Josh Gottheimer
🔗
D
Brendan F. Boyle
🔗
D
Bill Pascrell
🔗
D
Mike Quigley
🔗
D
Greg Landsman
🔗
D
Jeff Jackson
🔗
D
Wiley Nickel
🔗
D
John B. Larson
🔗
D
Joseph D. Morelle
🔗
D
Gerald E. "Gerry" Connolly
🔗
D
Matt Cartwright
🔗
D
Ami Bera
🔗
D
Eric M. Swalwell
🔗
D
Chellie Pingree
🔗
D
Norma J. Torres
🔗
D
Susan Ellis Wild
🔗
D
Ann McLane Kuster
🔗
D
Adam Schiff
🔗
D
Colin Allred
🔗
D
Susie Lee
🔗
D
Jonathan L. Jackson
🔗
D
Antonio L. Hayes
🔗
Washington Post
D
Barbara Lee
🔗
D
Joyce Beatty
🔗
D
Gregory W. Meeks
🔗
D
Jasmine Felicia Crockett
🔗
D
Jamie Raskin
🔗
National Women's Political Caucus
Let America Vote
End Citizen's United (ECU)
Teamsters, International Brotherhood of
International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
American Federation of Government Employees
Amalgamated Transit Union
D
Terry Lierman
🔗
D
Kathleen Matthews
🔗
N
Victoria Jackson-Stanley
🔗
D
Bernard C. "Jack" Young
🔗
D
Susan Turnbull
🔗
D
Carol R. Fordonski
🔗
D
Paul L. Gunther
🔗
D
Courtney M. Billups
🔗
D
Gene M. Ransom, III
🔗
D
C. Sue Hecht
🔗
D
Maggie L. McIntosh
🔗
D
Gloria Gary Lawlah
🔗
D
Isiah "Ike" Leggett
🔗
D
Beverly B. Byron
🔗
D
Albert R. Wynn
🔗
D
Michele Gregory
🔗
D
Megan Outten
🔗
D
Antonio "Tony" Glover
🔗
D
Danielle McCray
🔗
D
Todd J. Nock
🔗
D
Gavin Buckley
🔗
D
Sydney Harrison
🔗
D
Jolene Ivey
🔗
D
Ingrid S. Harrison
🔗
D
Wanika Fisher
🔗
D
Mel Franklin
🔗
D
Calvin Hawkins
🔗
D
Dawn Luedtke
🔗
D
Kate Stewart
🔗
D
Opel Jones
🔗
D
Kavonte Duckett
🔗
D
Ralph E. Patterson, II
🔗
D
Amanda M. Stewart
🔗
D
Gilbert "B. J." Bowling
🔗
D
Kristerfer Burnett
🔗
D
Mark Conway
🔗
D
Sharon Green Middleton
🔗
D
Bill Henry
🔗
D
Julian Earl Jones, Jr.
🔗
D
Allison Pickard
🔗
D
Julian Ivey
🔗
D
Diana M. Fennell
🔗
D
Robbyn T. Lewis
🔗
D
Stephanie Smith
🔗
D
Jackie T. Addison
🔗
D
Aletheia McCaskill
🔗
D
Catherine M. "Cathi" Forbes
🔗
D
Elizabeth Embry
🔗
D
Regina T. Boyce
🔗
D
Michele Guyton
🔗
D
Samuel I. "Sandy" Rosenberg
🔗
D
Sheree Sample-Hughes
🔗
D
Andre V. Johnson Jr.
🔗
D
Andrew C. Pruski
🔗
D
Mark S. Chang
🔗
D
Dana Jones
🔗
D
Brian M. Crosby
🔗
D
Edith J. Patterson
🔗
D
Debra Davis
🔗
D
Jeffrie E. Long, Jr.
🔗
D
Kevin M. Harris
🔗
D
Jamila J. Woods
🔗
D
Veronica Turner
🔗
D
Kent Roberson
🔗
D
Karen Renee Toles
🔗
D
Andrea Harrison
🔗
D
Jazz M. Lewis
🔗
D
Marvin E. Holmes, Jr.
🔗
D
Adrian Boafo
🔗
D
Kym Taylor
🔗
D
Nicole A. Williams
🔗
D
Anne Healey
🔗
D
Ben Barnes
🔗
D
Lorig Charkoudian
🔗
D
Jheanelle Wilkins
🔗
D
Charlotte Crutchfield
🔗
D
Aaron M. Kaufman
🔗
D
Emily Shetty
🔗
D
Jared Solomon
🔗
D
Sara Love
🔗
D
Marc Korman
🔗
D
Pamela Queen
🔗
D
Anne Kaiser
🔗
D
Vanessa Atterbeary
🔗
D
Jessica Feldmark
🔗
D
Terri L. Hill
🔗
D
Dana Stein
🔗
D
N. Scott Phillips
🔗
D
Jennifer White
🔗
D
Courtney Watson
🔗
D
Nick Allen
🔗
D
Carl Jackson
🔗
D
Malcolm Augustine
🔗
D
Cory V. McCray
🔗
D
Mary Washington
🔗
D
Dawn D. Gile
🔗
D
Pamela G. Beidle
🔗
D
Arthur Ellis
🔗
D
Michael A. Jackson
🔗
D
C. Anthony Muse
🔗
D
Melony Ghee Griffith
🔗
D
Ron Watson
🔗
D
Alonzo T. Washington
🔗
D
William C. "Will" Smith
🔗
D
Benjamin F. Kramer
🔗
D
Jeff Waldstreicher
🔗
D
Ariana Kelly
🔗
D
Shelly Hettleman
🔗
D
Katie Fry Hester
🔗
D
Bill Ferguson
🔗
D
Byron MacFarlane
🔗
D
Mahasin El Amin
🔗
D
Anthony "Tony" Covington
🔗
D
John McCarthy
🔗
D
Ivan Bates
🔗
D
Steuart Pittman
🔗
D
Reuben B. Collins, II
🔗
D
Calvin Ball
🔗
D
Brian E. Frosh
🔗
D
Dereck Eugene Davis
🔗
D
Brooke Elizabeth Lierman
🔗
D
Kweisi Mfume
🔗
D
John P. Sarbanes
🔗
D
Raphael Warnock
🔗
D
Laphonza Butler
🔗
D
Kirsten Gillibrand
🔗
D
Cory Booker
🔗
D
Aruna Miller
🔗
D
Marc Elrich
🔗
D
Will Jawando
🔗
D
Wes Moore
🔗
D
Glenn F. Ivey
🔗
D
Adrienne A. Jones
🔗
D
Chris Van Hollen
🔗
D
Steny H. Hoyer
🔗
D
John A. Olszewski, Jr.
🔗
EMILY's List
D
Nick Charles
🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Brian E. Frydenborg
Michael W. Cobb, Sr.
Andrew Jaye Wildman
Party
Democratic
Democratic
Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$0.00
$--
$0.00
Website
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
Entry Date
07/10/2023
02/09/2024
06/01/2023
MATCHUP POLLS (9 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
0.00%
--
-0.07%
--
-0.07%
--
Emerson College
05/06/24-05/08/24
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)
04/08/24-04/10/24
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
OpinionWorks
04/07/24-04/10/24
0.00%
--
1.00%
--
1.00%
--
Goucher College
03/19/24-03/24/24
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
University of Maryland
03/05/24-03/12/24
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Emerson College
02/12/24-02/12/24
1.00%
--
2.00%
--
1.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Juan Dominguez (D)
Sep 06, 2023
-
Jan 04, 2024
John P. Sarbanes (D)
Oct 26, 2023
Will Jawando (D)
May 02, 2023
-
Oct 20, 2023
Jamie Raskin (D)
Jul 07, 2023
Thomas E. Perez (D)
Jun 08, 2023
John A. Olszewski, Jr. (D)
May 15, 2023
Wes Moore (D)
May 03, 2023
Benjamin L. Cardin (D)
May 01, 2023
Kweisi Mfume (D)
May 00, 2023
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
11/29/2023
David Trone
TVAd
Biography
spa
La granja
00:00:30
RP
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Dec 21, 2023 12:00pm
News
Alsobrooks shakes up staff as she lags in [MD] U.S. Senate race polls, fundraising
Article
BrentinCO
Oct 20, 2023 10:25am
News
Maryland Senate contest becomes a two-person race
Article
WA Indy
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Prediction
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DISCUSSION
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1
Previous Messages]
D:10973
Patrick
( 0.0000 points)
Fri, May 10, 2024 03:51:29 AM UTC0:00
Any chance someone interesting joins this race in the next few days?
Any chance someone interesting joins this race in the next few days?