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  AZ US Senate - R Primary
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > Senate Class I
Office
TypePrimary Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2024 - 06:00pm
Polls Open July 30, 2024 - 08:00am
Polls Close July 30, 2024 - 09:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2031 - 12:00pm
Last ModifiedRBH August 15, 2024 04:12pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameKyrsten Sinema Votes1,191,100 (49.96%)
Term01/03/2019 - 12/09/2022 Margin55,900 (+2.34%)
COUNTY-LEVEL RESULTS
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Kari Lake
Safe 3
Strong 2
Slight 3
Doug Ducey
Safe 1
Mark Lamb
Slight 1
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

08/02/2023 07/23/2024
Graph MoE
Ignore Pollsters:
Emerson College
Noble Predictive
Pulse Opinion Research

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Kari Lake Mark Lamb Elizabeth Jean Reye (W) Dustin P. Williams
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican
Votes409,339 (55.27%) 292,888 (39.55%) 38,208 (5.16%) 184 (0.03%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -116,451 (-15.72%) -371,131 (-50.11%) -409,155 (-55.25%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Noble Predictive 
07/22-07/23
50.00% (-4.0) 38.00% (+17.0) 3.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
Pulse Opinion Research 
02/21-02/26
55.00% (+0.0) 26.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
Noble Predictive 
02/06-02/13
54.00% (+14.0) 21.00% (+7.0) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
Noble Predictive 
10/25-10/31
40.00% (+0.0) 14.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
08/02-08/04
42.00% (+0.0) 11.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Larry A. Elder [L]
R Tim Scott [L]
R Doug Burgum [L]
R Daniel S. "Dan" Sullivan [L]
Grasshopper

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Mar 02, 2024 11:00pm News Kari Lake clarifies her stance on abortion  Article BrentinCO 
Jan 23, 2024 04:00pm Scandal Audio recording reveals the moment that senior Republican figure tried to bribe Kari Lake not to run for Senate  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
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