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  CA Governor - Recall Replacement
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > Governor > Attempted Recall of Gavin Newsom > Newsom Recall Replacement Candidate
Office
TypeRecall
Filing Deadline July 16, 2021 - 12:00am
Polls Open September 14, 2021 - 09:00am
Polls Close September 14, 2021 - 10:00pm
Term Start September 15, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End September 14, 2021 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH October 22, 2021 07:20pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
DescriptionOver 50% of the voters voted “no” on the Recall Question. Accordingly, Governor Newsom was not recalled and the winner of this race did not take office.
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Larry A. Elder
Strong 2
Lean 1
Slight 11
Kevin L. Faulconer
Lean 1
Kevin Paffrath
Slight 1
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

04/29/2021 09/10/2021

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Larry A. Elder Kevin Paffrath Kevin L. Faulconer Brandon M. Ross John H. Cox Kevin P. Kiley Jacqueline McGowan
PartyRepublican Democratic Republican Democratic Republican Republican Democratic
Votes3,563,867 (48.41%) 706,778 (9.60%) 590,346 (8.02%) 392,029 (5.33%) 305,095 (4.14%) 255,490 (3.47%) 214,242 (2.91%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,857,089 (-38.81%) -2,973,521 (-40.39%) -3,171,838 (-43.09%) -3,258,772 (-44.27%) -3,308,377 (-44.94%) -3,349,625 (-45.50%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Data for Progress 
09/02-09/10		 22.00% (+0.0) 6.00% (+0.0) 4.00% (+0.0) 5.00% (+0.0) 7.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 4.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
09/07-09/08		 29.00% (+2.0) 9.00% (+3.0) 6.00% (+1.0) 3.00% (-2.0) 8.00% (+2.0) 3.00% (-2.0) 4.00% (-1.0)
Suffolk University 
09/06-09/07		 39.48% (+0.0) 4.72% (+0.0) 4.72% (+0.0) 1.72% (+0.0) 3.86% (+0.0) 1.72% (+0.0) 1.72% (+0.0)
University of California - Berkeley 
08/30-09/06		 38.00% (+20.0) 10.00% (+7.0) 8.00% (-2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 4.00% (-6.0) 4.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
09/02-09/04		 32.40% (+3.2) 13.40% (-8.6) 3.60% (-0.5) 0.00% (+0.0) 2.70% (-1.4) 3.50% (+0.0) 2.80% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
08/26-08/29		 29.20% (+0.0) 22.00% (+0.0) 4.10% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 4.10% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Gloria Romero [L]
R Brian D. Dahle [L]
R Betty Tom Chu [L]
NPA Michael Shellenberger [L]
R Southern_Moderate2
  Bakersfield Californian, The
BEER WSNJ
R Doug Ose
D Tristy100
NPA Louis J. Marinelli, III [L]
N CaliforniaModerate
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Joel Ventresca Daniel Watts Holly L. Baade Patrick Kilpatrick Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato Caitlyn Jenner John R. Drake
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Republican Democratic
Votes186,345 (2.53%) 167,355 (2.27%) 92,218 (1.25%) 86,617 (1.18%) 85,061 (1.16%) 75,215 (1.02%) 68,545 (0.93%)
Margin-3,377,522 (-45.88%) -3,396,512 (-46.14%) -3,471,649 (-47.16%) -3,477,250 (-47.24%) -3,478,806 (-47.26%) -3,488,652 (-47.39%) -3,495,322 (-47.48%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Data for Progress 
09/02-09/10		 0.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
09/07-09/08		 2.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 4.00% (-1.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (-2.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 4.00% (+2.0)
Suffolk University 
09/06-09/07		 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.43% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.86% (+0.0) 1.29% (+0.0)
University of California - Berkeley 
08/30-09/06		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-3.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
09/02-09/04		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.30% (+0.2) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
08/26-08/29		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.10% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Chilp3
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Dan Kapelovitz Jeff Hewitt Edward M. "Ted" Gaines Angelyne David Moore Anthony Trimino Michael Loebs
PartyGreen Libertarian Republican No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation Republican No Party Affiliation
Votes64,375 (0.87%) 50,378 (0.68%) 47,937 (0.65%) 35,900 (0.49%) 31,224 (0.42%) 28,101 (0.38%) 25,468 (0.35%)
Margin-3,499,492 (-47.54%) -3,513,489 (-47.73%) -3,515,930 (-47.76%) -3,527,967 (-47.92%) -3,532,643 (-47.99%) -3,535,766 (-48.03%) -3,538,399 (-48.07%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Data for Progress 
09/02-09/10		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
09/07-09/08		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Suffolk University 
09/06-09/07		 0.00% (+0.0) 1.29% (+0.0) 0.86% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
University of California - Berkeley 
08/30-09/06		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
09/02-09/04		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
08/26-08/29		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
I Charlotte Rose
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Heather Collins Major Singh David Lozano Denver Stoner Sam L. Gallucci Steve Chavez Lodge Jenny Rae Le Roux
PartyGreen No Party Affiliation Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Votes24,260 (0.33%) 21,394 (0.29%) 19,945 (0.27%) 19,588 (0.27%) 18,134 (0.25%) 17,435 (0.24%) 16,032 (0.22%)
Margin-3,539,607 (-48.08%) -3,542,473 (-48.12%) -3,543,922 (-48.14%) -3,544,279 (-48.15%) -3,545,733 (-48.17%) -3,546,432 (-48.17%) -3,547,835 (-48.19%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Data for Progress 
09/02-09/10		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
09/07-09/08		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Suffolk University 
09/06-09/07		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
University of California - Berkeley 
08/30-09/06		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
09/02-09/04		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
08/26-08/29		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name David Alexander Bramante Diego Javier Martínez Robert C. Newman, II Sarah Stephens Dennis Richter (W) Major Williams Denis Lucey
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican No Party Affiliation Republican No Party Affiliation
Votes11,501 (0.16%) 10,860 (0.15%) 10,602 (0.14%) 10,583 (0.14%) 10,468 (0.14%) 8,965 (0.12%) 8,182 (0.11%)
Margin-3,552,366 (-48.26%) -3,553,007 (-48.26%) -3,553,265 (-48.27%) -3,553,284 (-48.27%) -3,553,399 (-48.27%) -3,554,902 (-48.29%) -3,555,685 (-48.30%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Data for Progress 
09/02-09/10		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
09/07-09/08		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Suffolk University 
09/06-09/07		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
University of California - Berkeley 
08/30-09/06		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
09/02-09/04		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
08/26-08/29		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name James Hanink Daniel Mercuri Chauncey "Slim" Killens Leo S. Zacky Kevin K. Kaul David Hillberg Adam Papagan
PartyNo Party Affiliation Republican Republican Republican No Party Affiliation Republican No Party Affiliation
Votes7,193 (0.10%) 7,110 (0.10%) 6,879 (0.09%) 6,099 (0.08%) 5,600 (0.08%) 4,435 (0.06%) 4,021 (0.06%)
Margin-3,556,674 (-48.31%) -3,556,757 (-48.32%) -3,556,988 (-48.32%) -3,557,768 (-48.33%) -3,558,267 (-48.34%) -3,559,432 (-48.35%) -3,559,846 (-48.36%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Data for Progress 
09/02-09/10		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
09/07-09/08		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Suffolk University 
09/06-09/07		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
University of California - Berkeley 
08/30-09/06		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
09/02-09/04		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
08/26-08/29		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rhonda Furin Nickolas Wildstar Jeremiah "Jeremy" Marciniak Joe Symmon (W) Miki Habryn (W) Roxanne (W) Stacy Smith
PartyRepublican Republican No Party Affiliation Republican No Party Affiliation Democratic Democratic
Votes3,964 (0.05%) 3,811 (0.05%) 2,894 (0.04%) 2,397 (0.03%) 137 (0.00%) 116 (0.00%) 81 (0.00%)
Margin-3,559,903 (-48.36%) -3,560,056 (-48.36%) -3,560,973 (-48.37%) -3,561,470 (-48.38%) -3,563,730 (-48.41%) -3,563,751 (-48.41%) -3,563,786 (-48.41%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Data for Progress 
09/02-09/10		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
09/07-09/08		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Suffolk University 
09/06-09/07		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
University of California - Berkeley 
08/30-09/06		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
09/02-09/04		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
08/26-08/29		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (W) Vivek B. Mohan (W) Thuy E. Hugens (W) Vince Lundgren
PartyNo Party Affiliation American Independent No Party Affiliation
Votes68 (0.00%) 19 (0.00%) 5 (0.00%)
Margin-3,563,799 (-48.41%) -3,563,848 (-48.41%) -3,563,862 (-48.41%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Data for Progress 
09/02-09/10		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
09/07-09/08		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Suffolk University 
09/06-09/07		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
University of California - Berkeley 
08/30-09/06		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
09/02-09/04		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Trafalgar Group 
08/26-08/29		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 09, 2021 10:00pm News Larry Elder egged by woman in gorilla mask in 'racist' attack in California  Article data 
Sep 04, 2021 12:00am News California Democratic challenger says he was barred from entering Newsom’s ‘Stop the Republican Recall’ rally  Article data 
Apr 26, 2021 07:00pm News California effort to recall Gavin Newsom gets signatures needed to trigger vote  Article IndyGeorgia 
Apr 23, 2021 01:00pm News Caitlyn Jenner Announces Run For California Governor  Article Bojicat 
Feb 01, 2021 03:00pm News John Cox says he wants to run for governor again, which is likely bad news for Calif. Republicans  Article BrentinCO 

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