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  MA US Senate - D Primary
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Massachusetts > Senate Class II
Office
TypePrimary Election
Filing Deadline June 02, 2020 - 04:00pm
Polls Open September 01, 2020 - 06:00am
Polls Close September 01, 2020 - 07:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedCharlotte Rose October 04, 2020 03:07pm
Data Sources[Link]
/photo/1
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2014
NameEdward J. Markey Votes1,289,944 (61.87%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021 Margin497,994 (+23.88%)
COUNTY-LEVEL RESULTS
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Joseph P. Kennedy, III
Strong 3
Lean 1
Slight 3
Edward J. Markey
Strong 2
Lean 6
Slight 8
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

06/05/2019 08/27/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Edward J. Markey Joseph P. Kennedy, III (W) Write-In
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic
Votes782,694 (55.35%) 629,359 (44.51%) 1,935 (0.14%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -153,335 (-10.84%) -780,759 (-55.22%)
Predict Avg.52.49% 47.51% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Emerson College 
08/25-08/27
56.40% (+14.4) 43.60% (-14.4) 0.00% (+0.0)
Data for Progress 
08/24-08/25
50.00% (+0.0) 43.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
University of Massachusetts 
08/13-08/21
52.00% (+1.0) 40.00% (+4.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Survey USA 
08/12-08/16
44.00% (+0.0) 42.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
University of Massachusetts 
07/31-08/07
51.00% (+8.0) 36.00% (-4.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
JMC Analytics and Polling 
07/29-07/30
44.00% (+0.0) 41.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
NDP BigZuck08
I Joe Manchin [L]
D Charlotte KAP
D samir7243_ATL
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
D NCdem
D Pokemon
D Hakeem Jeffries [L]

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 12, 2020 03:00pm News Kennedy allies sweat as Massachusetts Senate race tightens  Article WA Indy 
Jul 27, 2020 01:55pm Oops Kennedy hit Markey for ignoring the towns of Dana, Enfield, and Prescott. But there was just one problem  Article IndyGeorgia 
Jan 29, 2020 10:40am News Joe Kennedy to host Spanish-only town halls for Senate campaign  Article WA Indy 
Sep 24, 2019 05:00am News Democrats dread Kennedy-Markey showdown in 2020  Article WA Indy 
Sep 19, 2019 08:00am News Joe Kennedy to challenge Sen. Markey in primary  Article Bojicat 
Aug 16, 2019 05:15pm News Joe Kennedy-for-Senate backers mount drive to drum out Ed Markey  Article EastTexasDem 

DISCUSSION
[View Previous Messages In This Discussion (125 Previous)]
 
D:10409Tar Heel Conservative Dem ( 0.00 points)April 08, 2020 01:09pm
If anybody has to guess. Who wins the primary this fall ?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)April 08, 2020 01:57pm
Tar Heel Conservative Dem: If anybody has to guess. Who wins the primary this fall ?
I say tossup. Markeys got advantage of incumbency, which may be helped more by the fact physical campaigning is no more

 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)April 10, 2020 04:10pm
I guess we'll see how it plays out in real elections, but I'd think the less physical campaigning there is, the better it is for name recognition candidates. Which might split more evenly here than the usual incumbent/challenger race since the challenger is a Kennedy.

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 478.42 points)July 16, 2020 10:10pm
I am ignorant when it comes to Massachusetts politics, why is Kennedy primarying Markey. Shouldn't the left have little to complain over him - or am I missing something

 
R:7501Maryland Republican ( 3666.82 points)July 16, 2020 10:44pm
I’m not expert, but my guess would be generational and probably the last name. If his name was Joseph Kennedy, Markey would be gliding towards re-election.

 
I:10200Jeaux ( 55.71 points)July 17, 2020 07:54am
I definitely prefer Kennedy primarily for the generational part...I personally think getting more of the younger generations into the federal government will go a long way

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)July 17, 2020 08:33am
WSNJ: I am ignorant when it comes to Massachusetts politics, why is Kennedy primarying Markey. Shouldn't the left have little to complain over him - or am I missing something

The Left has nothing to do with Kennedy's Primary, the more adherent leftists are backing Markey (Ro, AOC, Our Revolution). Kennedy is repeating the strategy of Seth Moulton and Ayanna Pressley, primary on ur age alone saying you'll bring a "new face" to politics and when u do ur digging they are either worse than or are no different than the incumbent

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)July 17, 2020 08:40am
The left also has ambitious politicians that aren't willing to wait for someone to step aside.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)July 17, 2020 11:44am
BrentinCO: The left also has ambitious politicians that aren't willing to wait for someone to step aside.
The diffrence is, the Left Primaries politicians that are bad to push issues, this is just a guy who wants to be like his papa

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1821.84 points)July 17, 2020 11:48am
BrentinCO: The left also has ambitious politicians that aren't willing to wait for someone to step aside.

The Left is never wrong

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)July 17, 2020 11:54am
WA Indy: The Left is never wrong

Glad to see ur on my page

 
D:1RP ( 5618.82 points)July 31, 2020 10:04am
Well, JMC isn't the best pollster, but this is interesting.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)July 31, 2020 04:47pm
The world has changed if a Kennedy doesn't get elected in Massachusetts

 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.00 points)August 03, 2020 06:10pm
#Markeymentum #Markeychusetts

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)August 03, 2020 06:43pm
Mine is #SnarkyWithMarkey

 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.93 points)August 05, 2020 11:25pm
[Link]

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)August 06, 2020 10:22am
@southern moderate2 what is the point of your link?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)August 06, 2020 12:13pm
BrentinCO: @southern moderate2 what is the point of your link?

Showin Markey was lit AF?

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)August 12, 2020 08:04pm
So as ppl got to know him they decided they didn't like him?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)August 12, 2020 09:49pm
BrentinCO: So as ppl got to know him they decided they didn't like him?

Exactly, he thought he could breeze his way through this on the Kennedy name but in this day in age, that don't fly

 
SNP:8431Progressive Scot ( 308.41 points)August 15, 2020 07:06pm
Is Markey more Progressive and to the left to Kennedy?. Im just wondering what the main differences is between the two of them.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)August 15, 2020 07:26pm
Progressive Scot: Im just wondering what the main differences is between the two of them.

One is a Kennedy, the other isn't.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)August 15, 2020 07:30pm
Yes he absolutely is.

Markey supported Med4All when Bernie brought it to the Senate and during his house Tenure while Joe took didn't support it till now.

2 years ago he was openly against Marijuana Legalization

Not that long ago Kennedy's family had huge stocks in Fossil Fuel Industries while Markey is Senate sponsor of GND

Kennedy is running a policy empty opportunist campaign mooching off his families name

 
SNP:8431Progressive Scot ( 308.41 points)August 15, 2020 07:33pm
To be honest had i been a Massachusetts voter id of voted for Markey. I love how authentic and passionate he is about environmental and supporting communities.

Kennedy seems more opportunistic, can't say im a fan of him.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)August 15, 2020 07:45pm
Progressive Scot: Kennedy seems more opportunistic

This is a pretty good analysis of the race and why Kennedy chose to challenge Markey now.
[Link]

From the article:

So why is Kennedy challenging Markey in the primary?

It appears to be a combination of ambition and style.

For a Kennedy, the ambition part is obvious. He’s the grandson of Robert F. Kennedy and the grand-nephew of John F. Kennedy and Ted Kennedy, each of whom served in the Senate. His father, Joe Kennedy II, previously served in the House. Kennedy III has already been elected four times to his House seat.

“The problem for ambitious Democrats in a heavily Democratic or Republican state — a state like Massachusetts — is that the ladder to the top statewide offices is often blocked by long-time incumbents,” said Steve Smith, a political scientist at Washington University in St. Louis who specializes in the Senate.

“The probability of knocking off such an incumbent is low, so primary challenges are uncommon. But a candidate with ambition and non-zero chances of winning may come to a ‘now or never’ decision.”

If Kennedy were to wait, a future Democratic primary “could see high-powered contestants like Attorney General Maura Healey or Reps. Seth Moulton or Ayanna Pressley,” said Maurice T. Cunningham, a University of Massachusetts-Boston political scientist. “If an opening does not come up in 2021, it could be four to six years — or even more — before a Senate seat opens. Polling told Kennedy that Markey is vulnerable, and the possible candidates down the road are all formidable.”

I actually think it will probably be a good thing if Markey defeats Kennedy. I've never been a big fan of the idea that just because someone is the offspring of a well-known politician that makes them qualified to hold political office. But in this country and others, voters seem to do it time and time again. Admittedly, when Kennedy announced, I automatically picked him to beat Markey easy. If Markey defeats Kennedy in this race, future Kennedys will actually have to earn their nominations instead of just expect them.

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