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  AZ US Senate - Appointment
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > Senate Class III
Office
TypeAppointment
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 12:00pm
Polls Open September 04, 2018 - 12:00am
Polls Close September 04, 2018 - 12:00pm
Term Start September 04, 2018 - 12:00pm
Term End December 31, 2018 - 11:55pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedM@ December 14, 2018 10:36am
Data Sources[Link]
DescriptionTerm end due to resignation - [Link]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameJohn McCain Votes1,359,267 (53.71%)
Term01/03/2017 - 08/25/2018 Margin328,022 (+12.96%)
COUNTY-LEVEL RESULTS
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Cindy Hensley McCain
Safe 2

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Jon Kyl
PartyRepublican
Votes1 (100.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%)
Predict Avg.0.00%
Finances$0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION
[View Previous Messages In This Discussion (12 Previous)]
 
D:6848Magical Horse ( 39.77 points)September 04, 2018 02:16pm
So many games could be in the works. If McSally loses, she could then be appointed to the seat. Kyl could even time his leave so that McSally would have seniority over Sinema, even if she wins.

I wouldn't put it past Ducey for this to be a hedge for him. If Garcia wins for Governor, Ducey could then appoint himself. He went on and on about how he was not going to appoint himself to replace John McCain - well, he would be replacing Jon Kyl. A risky move, but voters often have short term memory as well as overlooking things. Being employed as a Senator would be better for him than being an unemployed Governor.

 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 1532.08 points)September 04, 2018 05:02pm
If McSally can't win in 2018, I think she'd have an even tougher time when presidential turnout levels boost Democrats in Arizona, especially if Trump is still on the ballot.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)September 04, 2018 05:42pm
Old Dominion Democrat: If McSally can't win in 2018, I think she'd have an even tougher time when presidential turnout levels boost Democrats in Arizona, especially if Trump is still on the ballot.

Agree. And if McSally doesn’t win in 2018, the voters have rendered a judgment on her for the office. It will be difficult for the Governor to justify the appointment after a loss. However I will concede it is a possible scenario.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)September 04, 2018 05:44pm
If McSally gets appointed to the Senate after losing a Senate election, that'd get her term off to a rocky start. It'd probably be better for her to not be appointed to the seat and to win the primary in 2020.

 
R:250Mr. Politics ( 190.17 points)September 04, 2018 06:41pm
Solid pick.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 67.92 points)September 05, 2018 03:02pm
Not shocked Kyl got the appointment.

 
D:1RP ( 5618.82 points)December 14, 2018 10:22am
Kyl affirmed he is resigning on Dec 31. [Link]

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1821.84 points)December 14, 2018 11:17am
What a dumb appointment. Serve the 2 years or don't take the job, jeez.

McSally reportedly isn't Ducey's preferred pick - [Link]

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 947.07 points)December 14, 2018 05:16pm
Is there a way to create a 'sub' candidate selection we can predict from (don't know how best to phrase it)?

There are alternatives to McSally, as PA Indy mentions above; Kirk Adams (who may be the favorite), Maricopa County Attorney Bill Montgomery and Treasurer, Eileen Klein.

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