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  UK Parliament - New Forest East
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > England > South East > South East > New Forest East
OfficeParliament
TypeGeneral Election
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 06:00pm
Polls Open May 06, 2010 - 01:00am
Polls Close May 06, 2010 - 04:00pm
Term Start May 17, 2010 - 12:00pm
Term End May 17, 2015 - 12:00pm
ContributorRalphie
Last ModifiedImperator May 14, 2010 06:45pm
Data Sources[Link]
DescriptionBBC Profile:
The seat has been held by the Conservatives since the Second World War, often with around 60% of the vote.

The party's majorities began to decrease from the late 1980s, but their hold on the seat has remained firm. Dr Julian Lewis has held the seat since 1997, securing a majority of over 6,000 votes in 2005.

At the election, the seat gains the part-ward of Boldre and Sway from New Forest West. To find out what might have happened had this boundary change been in force at the last election, see a notional - or estimated - result below.

Encompassing a broad swathe of the famous Hampshire woodland and heath, known for its wild ponies, as well as significant shipping and petrochemical industries, New Forest East is a diverse constituency, at least economically.

The affluent villages of the forest and a clutch of wealthy seaside settlements provide the seat's middle-class base, but these are offset by the economic presence of the shipping and related industries.

The electorate is concentrated in the Waterside area in the east of the seat, principally in the towns of Totton, Marchwood, Hythe and Dibden. The Fawley oil refinery on the western shore of Southampton Water can be seen for miles around and is the single largest employer in the area, with thousands more employed in engineering, transport and manufacturing.

The western half of the seat, by contrast, is green, attractive, affluent and socially far more traditional and similar to the New Forest West seat. Lyndhurst and Brockenhurst are among the best-known beauty spots, and the Forest is a major attraction for tourists, ramblers and hunters.

Rallings & Thrasher Notional:
C 23,333 (49.41%)
LD 15,680 (33.20%)
Lab 5,787 (12.25%)
UKIP 2,422 (5.13%)
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyConservative Won05/05/2005
NameJulian Lewis Votes21,975 (48.58%)
Term05/17/2005 - 05/17/2010 Margin6,551 (+14.48%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Julian Lewis
Safe 1
Slight 1

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) MP Julian Lewis Terry Scriven Peter Sopowski Peter Day Beverley Golden
PartyConservative Liberal Democrats Labour UK Independence Green
Votes26,443 (52.85%) 15,136 (30.25%) 4,915 (9.82%) 2,518 (5.03%) 1,024 (2.05%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -11,307 (-22.60%) -21,528 (-43.03%) -23,925 (-47.82%) -25,419 (-50.80%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
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