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  SA National Assembly - Popular Vote
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > South Africa > SA National Assembly > Popular Vote
Office
TypeControl Indicator
Filing Deadline May 01, 2024 - 04:00pm
Polls Open May 28, 2024 - 11:00pm
Polls Close May 29, 2024 - 01:00pm
Term Start June 14, 2024 - 01:00am
Term End June 14, 2029 - 01:00am
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedBojicat March 15, 2025 02:08pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description[Link]
[Link]
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
African National Congress
Strong 1
Slight 1
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

10/23/2023 05/23/2024

CANDIDATES
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Name African National Congress Democratic Alliance MK - uMkhonto weSizwe Party Economic Freedom Fighters Inkatha Freedom Party Patriotic Alliance Freedom Front Plus
PartyAfrican National Congress Democratic Alliance MK - uMkhonto weSizwe Economic Freedom Fighters Inkatha Freedom Patriotic Alliance Freedom Front Plus
Votes6,459,683 (40.18%) 3,505,735 (21.81%) 2,344,309 (14.58%) 1,529,961 (9.52%) 618,207 (3.85%) 330,425 (2.06%) 218,850 (1.36%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,953,948 (-18.37%) -4,115,374 (-25.60%) -4,929,722 (-30.66%) -5,841,476 (-36.34%) -6,129,258 (-38.13%) -6,240,833 (-38.82%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Social Research Foundation 
05/20-05/23		 42.20% (+4.2) 24.40% (-0.6) 13.20% (-0.8) 9.30% (-1.7) 2.80% (-2.2) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-2.0)
Ipsos 
03/09-04/15		 40.20% (-0.3) 21.90% (+1.4) 8.40% (+0.0) 11.50% (-8.1) 4.40% (-0.5) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.80% (-0.3)
Social Research Foundation 
04/01-04/09		 38.00% (+0.0) 25.00% (+0.0) 14.00% (+0.0) 11.00% (+0.0) 5.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0)
SABI Strategy Group 
02/12-02/28		 39.00% (+0.0) 27.00% (+0.0) 13.00% (+0.0) 10.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Markdata 
01/19-02/14		 41.40% (+0.0) 20.00% (+0.0) 10.90% (+0.0) 15.50% (+0.0) 4.30% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.60% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
10/23-12/01		 40.50% (+0.0) 20.50% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 19.60% (+0.0) 4.90% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 2.10% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MK Jacob Zuma [L]
PDS Zeus the Moose
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name ActionSA African Christian Democratic Party United Democratic Movement RISE Mzansi Build One South Africa African Transformation Movement Al Jama-ah
PartyActionSA African Christian Democratic United Democratic Movement RISE Mzansi Build One South Africa African Transformation Movement Al Jama-ah
Votes192,373 (1.20%) 96,575 (0.60%) 78,448 (0.49%) 67,975 (0.42%) 65,912 (0.41%) 63,554 (0.40%) 39,067 (0.24%)
Margin-6,267,310 (-38.98%) -6,363,108 (-39.58%) -6,381,235 (-39.69%) -6,391,708 (-39.76%) -6,393,771 (-39.77%) -6,396,129 (-39.79%) -6,420,616 (-39.94%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Social Research Foundation 
05/20-05/23		 0.00% (-2.0) 0.00% (-2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
03/09-04/15		 3.40% (-0.9) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Social Research Foundation 
04/01-04/09		 2.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
SABI Strategy Group 
02/12-02/28		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Markdata 
01/19-02/14		 1.40% (+0.0) 0.50% (+0.0) 0.20% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.40% (+0.0) 0.20% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
10/23-12/01		 4.30% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name National Coloured Congress Pan Africanist Congress of Azania United Africans Transformation Good #Hope4SA Allied Movement for Change United Independent Movement
PartyNational Coloured Congress Pan Africanist Congress of Azania United Africans Transformation Good #Hope4SA Allied Movement for Change United Independent Movement
Votes37,422 (0.23%) 36,716 (0.23%) 35,679 (0.22%) 29,501 (0.18%) 27,206 (0.17%) 22,055 (0.14%) 20,003 (0.12%)
Margin-6,422,261 (-39.95%) -6,422,967 (-39.95%) -6,424,004 (-39.96%) -6,430,182 (-40.00%) -6,432,477 (-40.01%) -6,437,628 (-40.04%) -6,439,680 (-40.06%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Social Research Foundation 
05/20-05/23		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
03/09-04/15		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Social Research Foundation 
04/01-04/09		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
SABI Strategy Group 
02/12-02/28		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Markdata 
01/19-02/14		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.20% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.40% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
10/23-12/01		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name African Independent Congress National Freedom Party Azanian People's Organisation African Congress for Transformation African Heart Congress Congress of the People African People's Convention
PartyAfrican Independent Congress National Freedom Azanian People's Organisation African Congress for Transformation African Heart Congress Congress of the People African People's Convention
Votes19,900 (0.12%) 19,397 (0.12%) 19,048 (0.12%) 18,354 (0.11%) 16,306 (0.10%) 14,177 (0.09%) 13,195 (0.08%)
Margin-6,439,783 (-40.06%) -6,440,286 (-40.06%) -6,440,635 (-40.06%) -6,441,329 (-40.07%) -6,443,377 (-40.08%) -6,445,506 (-40.09%) -6,446,488 (-40.10%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Social Research Foundation 
05/20-05/23		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
03/09-04/15		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Social Research Foundation 
04/01-04/09		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
SABI Strategy Group 
02/12-02/28		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Markdata 
01/19-02/14		 0.70% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.10% (+0.0) 0.30% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
10/23-12/01		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name Africa Restoration Alliance Forum 4 Service Delivery Democratic Liberal Congress Alliance of Citizens for Change Action Alliance Development Party Conservatives in Action South African Royal Kingdoms Organization
PartyAfrica Restoration Alliance Forum 4 Service Delivery Democratic Liberal Congress Alliance of Citizens for Change Action Alliance Development Conservatives in Action South African Royal Kingdoms Organization
Votes11,108 (0.07%) 11,077 (0.07%) 10,904 (0.07%) 9,336 (0.06%) 7,802 (0.05%) 7,424 (0.05%) 6,685 (0.04%)
Margin-6,448,575 (-40.11%) -6,448,606 (-40.11%) -6,448,779 (-40.11%) -6,450,347 (-40.12%) -6,451,881 (-40.13%) -6,452,259 (-40.13%) -6,452,998 (-40.14%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Social Research Foundation 
05/20-05/23		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
03/09-04/15		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Social Research Foundation 
04/01-04/09		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
SABI Strategy Group 
02/12-02/28		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Markdata 
01/19-02/14		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.20% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
10/23-12/01		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name Northern Cape Communities Movement People's Movement for Change Abantu Batho Congress Economic Liberators Forum South Africa The Organic Humanity Movement African Content Movement Sizwe Ummah Nation
PartyNorthern Cape Communities Movement People's Movement for Change Abantu Batho Congress Economic Liberators Forum The Organic Humanity Movement African Content Movement Sizwe Ummah Nation
Votes6,629 (0.04%) 5,539 (0.03%) 5,531 (0.03%) 5,408 (0.03%) 5,241 (0.03%) 5,107 (0.03%) 5,016 (0.03%)
Margin-6,453,054 (-40.14%) -6,454,144 (-40.15%) -6,454,152 (-40.15%) -6,454,275 (-40.15%) -6,454,442 (-40.15%) -6,454,576 (-40.15%) -6,454,667 (-40.15%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Social Research Foundation 
05/20-05/23		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
03/09-04/15		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Social Research Foundation 
04/01-04/09		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
SABI Strategy Group 
02/12-02/28		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Markdata 
01/19-02/14		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
10/23-12/01		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name South African Rainbow Alliance African People's Movement Able Leadership Referendum Party All Citizens Party Africa Africans Reclaim Citizans
PartySouth African Rainbow Alliance African People's Movement Able Leadership Referendum All Citizens Africa Africans Reclaim Citizans
Votes4,796 (0.03%) 4,601 (0.03%) 3,867 (0.02%) 3,834 (0.02%) 3,693 (0.02%) 3,371 (0.02%) 2,992 (0.02%)
Margin-6,454,887 (-40.15%) -6,455,082 (-40.15%) -6,455,816 (-40.16%) -6,455,849 (-40.16%) -6,455,990 (-40.16%) -6,456,312 (-40.16%) -6,456,691 (-40.16%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Social Research Foundation 
05/20-05/23		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
03/09-04/15		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Social Research Foundation 
04/01-04/09		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
SABI Strategy Group 
02/12-02/28		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Markdata 
01/19-02/14		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
10/23-12/01		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
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Name Xiluva African Movement Congress Free Democrats
PartyXiluva African Movement Congress Free Democrats
Votes2,592 (0.02%) 2,141 (0.01%) 1,992 (0.01%)
Margin-6,457,091 (-40.16%) -6,457,542 (-40.17%) -6,457,691 (-40.17%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Social Research Foundation 
05/20-05/23		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
03/09-04/15		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Social Research Foundation 
04/01-04/09		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
SABI Strategy Group 
02/12-02/28		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Markdata 
01/19-02/14		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Ipsos 
10/23-12/01		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

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